Football · Championship · Scotland
Dunfermline vs Inverness
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Inverness favourites at 39% (Dunfermline 36%, draw 25%). Bookmakers give Inverness about 28% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams scoring at 48%.
Key facts
- Dunfermline kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- Dunfermline are unbeaten in 5 matches.
- Dunfermline are 4th in Championship on 21 points from 12 games; Inverness are 5th on 19.
- They last met on 1 Aug 2026, when it finished 0-0.
- Only 1 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
Scotland•Championship
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 1-7-2
Last 10 matches
1010
10/716/11
1.001.60
0.701.10
9/109/10
1/106/10
4/106/10
1/104/10
6/104/10
1/101/10
5/1010/10
1/104/10
4/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Dunfermline at homeInverness away
55
2/52/5
2/51/5
1/52/5
1.001.80
1.001.60
4/55/5
1/53/5
0/51/5
2/54/5
1/53/5
3/51/5
1/50/5
1/54/5
2/54/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Dunfermline: 1.14
Expected Goals
Inverness: 1.2
Dunfermline
36%
Draw
25%
Inverness
39%
Over 2.5: 28%
BTTS: 48%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.4%
1 — Dunfermline
2.05▼
Implied 45%
Edge -8.6%
X
3.30
Implied 28%
Edge -2.7%
2 — Inverness
3.30▲
Implied 28%
Edge +11.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Dunfermline · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
Stenhousemuir#2 vs Dunfermline#4
0-1W
24 Oct2026
Queen's Park#10 vs Dunfermline#4
0-1W
20 Oct2026
Dunfermline#4 vs Partick Thistle#1
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Dunfermline#4 vs Livingston#6
0-0D
10 Oct2026
Ayr#7 vs Dunfermline#4
1-1D
03 Oct2026
Dunfermline#4 vs Aberdeen#9
1-4L
19 Sept2026
Morton#9 vs Dunfermline#4
0-1W
12 Sept2026
Dunfermline#4 vs Queen's Park#10
2-0W
05 Sept2026
Arbroath#8 vs Dunfermline#4
1-1D
28 Aug2026
Dunfermline#4 vs Raith#3
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Inverness · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Raith#3 vs Inverness#5
0-2W
17 Oct2026
Inverness#5 vs Arbroath#8
2-0W
13 Oct2026
Queen's Park#10 vs Inverness#5
2-1L
10 Oct2026
Inverness#5 vs Stenhousemuir#2
2-0W
25 Sept2026
Inverness#5 vs Morton#9
2-0W
19 Sept2026
Livingston#6 vs Inverness#5
2-2D
12 Sept2026
Ayr#7 vs Inverness#5
1-3W
05 Sept2026
Inverness#5 vs Raith#3
0-2L
29 Aug2026
Stenhousemuir#2 vs Inverness#5
3-1L
21 Aug2026
Inverness#5 vs Partick Thistle#1
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
01 Aug2026
Inverness#5 vs Dunfermline#4
0-0•
27 Apr2024
Dunfermline#4 vs Inverness#5
1-1•
27 Feb2024
Inverness#5 vs Dunfermline#4
0-0•
18 Nov2023
Dunfermline#4 vs Inverness#5
1-1•
02 Sept2023
Inverness#5 vs Dunfermline#4
1-1•
26 Mar2022
Inverness#5 vs Dunfermline#4
2-0•
22 Jan2022
Dunfermline#4 vs Inverness#5
1-1•
13 Nov2021
Inverness#5 vs Dunfermline#4
1-2•
18 Sept2021
Dunfermline#4 vs Inverness#5
0-0•
20 Mar2021
Dunfermline#4 vs Inverness#5
0-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Dunfermline
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