Football · Serie A · Italy
Atalanta vs Frosinone
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Frosinone favourites at 47% (Atalanta 31%, draw 22%). That rests on Frosinone sitting 6th in the table to Atalanta's 11th. Atalanta lead the head-to-head 5-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Frosinone about 24% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 50%.
Key facts
- Atalanta have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
- They last met on 15 Jan 2024, when Atalanta won 5-0.
Italy•Serie A
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-2-1
Last 10 matches
1010
14/1420/12
1.402.00
1.401.20
8/108/10
4/106/10
8/108/10
5/103/10
2/102/10
2/102/10
8/109/10
6/106/10
6/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Atalanta at homeFrosinone away
54
4/51/4
0/52/4
1/51/4
2.001.25
1.001.25
5/53/4
3/51/4
2/51/4
4/53/4
1/51/4
1/51/4
0/51/4
4/52/4
4/52/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Atalanta: 1.28
Expected Goals
Frosinone: 1.65
Atalanta
31%
Draw
22%
Frosinone
47%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 50%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.3%
1 — Atalanta
1.77▲
Implied 54%
Edge -22.7%
X
4.20▼
Implied 23%
Edge -0.6%
2 — Frosinone
4.00▼
Implied 24%
Edge +23.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Atalanta · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Ajax#4 vs Atalanta#11
2-0L
18 Oct2026
ac Milan#4 vs Atalanta#11
3-2L
15 Oct2026
Atalanta#11 vs Pafos#5
3-1W
12 Oct2026
Atalanta#11 vs Venezia#20
3-1W
20 Sept2026
Juventus#8 vs Atalanta#11
2-0L
12 Sept2026
Atalanta#11 vs Cagliari#7
1-2L
05 Sept2026
as Roma#3 vs Atalanta#11
2-1L
31 Aug2026
Atalanta#11 vs Bologna#15
1-0W
27 Aug2026
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta#11
0-1W
23 Aug2026
Atalanta#11 vs Sassuolo#13
2-1W
Team 2 Form
Frosinone · # = league position now
16 Oct2026
Frosinone#6 vs Sassuolo#13
4-2W
10 Oct2026
Napoli#9 vs Frosinone#6
3-0L
02 Oct2026
Frosinone#6 vs Benevento#8
2-1W
20 Sept2026
Frosinone#6 vs Como#5
2-0W
12 Sept2026
Genoa#17 vs Frosinone#6
1-1D
06 Sept2026
Frosinone#6 vs Venezia#20
3-2W
02 Sept2026
Sassuolo#13 vs Frosinone#6
1-1D
29 Aug2026
Fiorentina#18 vs Frosinone#6
0-3W
23 Aug2026
Frosinone#6 vs Juventus#8
0-1L
16 Aug2026
Frosinone#6 vs Juve Stabia#18
4-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
15 Jan2024
Atalanta#11 vs Frosinone#6
5-0•
26 Aug2023
Frosinone#6 vs Atalanta#11
2-1•
20 Jan2019
Frosinone#6 vs Atalanta#11
0-5•
20 Aug2018
Atalanta#11 vs Frosinone#6
4-0•
23 Jan2016
Frosinone#6 vs Atalanta#11
0-0•
30 Aug2015
Atalanta#11 vs Frosinone#6
2-0•
31 Jan2011
Frosinone#6 vs Atalanta#11
0-1•
05 Sept2010
Atalanta#11 vs Frosinone#6
0-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Atalanta
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