Arbroath vs Morton

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Arbroath favourites at 72% (Morton 8%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.72 to 0.36 and 4 wins in Arbroath's last 10 matches to 0 for Morton. Morton lead the head-to-head 5-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams scoring at 41%. Morton won 2-1, against the model's 72% for Arbroath.

Key facts before the match

• Morton have lost 5 matches in a row.
• They last met on 22 Aug 2026, when Arbroath won 2-1.