America MG vs Fortaleza

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Fortaleza favourites at 83% (America MG 2%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 1.95 to 0.14, 4 wins in Fortaleza's last 10 matches to 2 for America MG and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams scoring at 35%. Fortaleza won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Fortaleza are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• America MG have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 17 Jun 2026, when America MG won 3-0.
• 9 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.