America MG vs Cuiaba

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Cuiaba favourites at 72% (America MG 10%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 1.92 to 0.51, 6 wins in Cuiaba's last 10 matches to 3 for America MG and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 40%. America MG won 1-0, against the model's 72% for Cuiaba.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 3 Jul 2026, when Cuiaba won 1-0.