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Football · Greek Cup · Greece

AEK Athens vs Asteras Tripolis

Wednesday, 02 December 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes AEK Athens favourites at 72% (Asteras Tripolis 13%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.65 to 1.05, AEK Athens sitting 4th in the table to Asteras Tripolis's 8th, 5 wins in AEK Athens's last 10 matches to 2 for Asteras Tripolis and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give AEK Athens about 79% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 55%.

Key facts

  • They last met on 13 Sept 2026, when it finished 1-1.
  • Asteras Tripolis concede 2.25 goals a game away from home.
Greece•Greek Cup
Aek Athens(8)
Rank 4 · 6 pts
L1d
L5d
W9d
L13d
L19d
W23d
W43d
W46d
D50d
W55d
5W · 1D · 4L
vs
Asteras Tripolis(0)
Rank 8 · 4 pts
L1d
L6d
D9d
L15d
W23d
D43d
W47d
D50d
D53d
L56d
2W · 4D · 4L
Wednesday, 02 December 2026 at 20:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 8-2-0
Last 10 matches
1010
23/1611/16
2.301.10
1.601.60
9/107/10
4/103/10
7/108/10
4/105/10
3/102/10
1/103/10
9/109/10
7/105/10
6/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Aek Athens at homeAsteras Tripolis away
44
4/41/4
0/41/4
0/42/4
4.251.75
0.252.25
4/44/4
3/42/4
3/41/4
1/43/4
0/43/4
3/41/4
0/40/4
3/44/4
1/43/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Aek Athens: 2.65
Expected Goals
Asteras Tripolis: 1.05
Aek Athens
72%
Draw
15%
Asteras Tripolis
13%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 10.4%
1 — AEK Athens
1.15
Implied 79%
Edge -6.7%
X
6.60
Implied 14%
Edge +1.3%
2 — Asteras Tripolis
12.00
Implied 8%
Edge +5.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Aek Athens · # = league position now
01 Nov2026
Panathinaikos#2 vs Aek Athens#4
2-0L
28 Oct2026
Paok#3 vs Aek Athens#4
3-1L
24 Oct2026
Aek Athens#4 vs Panetolikos#10
5-0W
20 Oct2026
Manchester City#2 vs Aek Athens#4
5-1L
14 Oct2026
Shakhtar Donetsk#17 vs Aek Athens#4
3-1L
10 Oct2026
Aek Athens#4 vs Ofi Crete#7
3-0W
20 Sept2026
Volos#13 vs Aek Athens#4
1-2W
17 Sept2026
Aek Athens#4 vs Panserraikos#16
8-1W
13 Sept2026
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Aek Athens#4
1-1D
08 Sept2026
Aek Athens#4 vs Lask#3
1-0W
Team 2 Form
Asteras Tripolis · # = league position now
01 Nov2026
Paok#3 vs Asteras Tripolis#8
2-1L
27 Oct2026
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Kifisia#9
0-2L
24 Oct2026
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Levadiakos#11
0-0D
18 Oct2026
Panathinaikos#2 vs Asteras Tripolis#8
5-1L
10 Oct2026
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Atromitos#5
2-1W
20 Sept2026
Ofi Crete#7 vs Asteras Tripolis#8
2-2D
16 Sept2026
Niki Volos#12 vs Asteras Tripolis#8
0-3W
13 Sept2026
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Aek Athens#4
1-1D
10 Sept2026
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Aris#10
1-1D
07 Sept2026
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Iraklis 1908#9
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
13 Sept2026
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Aek Athens#4
1-1•
24 Jan2026
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Aek Athens#4
0-1•
31 Aug2025
Aek Athens#4 vs Asteras Tripolis#8
1-0•
23 Feb2025
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Aek Athens#4
0-3•
09 Nov2024
Aek Athens#4 vs Asteras Tripolis#8
3-0•
04 Feb2024
Aek Athens#4 vs Asteras Tripolis#8
4-2•
22 Oct2023
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Aek Athens#4
0-3•
25 Feb2023
Aek Athens#4 vs Asteras Tripolis#8
2-0•
06 Nov2022
Asteras Tripolis#8 vs Aek Athens#4
1-1•
06 Mar2022
Aek Athens#4 vs Asteras Tripolis#8
2-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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