Aarhus vs Egnatia

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Egnatia favourites at 53% (Aarhus 26%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.76 to 1.16 and 6 wins in Egnatia's last 10 matches to 3 for Aarhus. It put over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 60%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 21%.