Football · National · France

Bastia vs Orleans

Thursday, 01 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Bastia vs Orleans in National (Football) on Thursday, 01 October 2026. Model prediction: Bastia 33% vs Orleans 44%, draw 23%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

FranceNational
BastiaBastia(1)
Rank 8 · 9 pts
vs
OrleansOrleans(1)
Rank 14 · 7 pts
Thursday, 01 October 2026 at 21:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 1-2-1
Bastia — Last 10
W1d
L8d
W17d
L24d
W30d
L37d
D44d
D51d
L65d
L127d
3W · 2D · 5L
Played10
GF/GA11/18
Avg For1.10
Avg Against1.80
Scored ≥17/10
Scored ≥23/10
Conceded ≥17/10
Conceded ≥26/10
Clean Sheets3/10
Failed To Score3/10
Over 1.57/10
Over 2.54/10
BTTS4/10
Orleans — Last 10
L1d
D8d
L15d
W24d
L30d
W37d
W50d
L54d
W57d
L64d
4W · 1D · 5L
Played10
GF/GA11/13
Avg For1.10
Avg Against1.30
Scored ≥17/10
Scored ≥24/10
Conceded ≥17/10
Conceded ≥23/10
Clean Sheets3/10
Failed To Score3/10
Over 1.57/10
Over 2.54/10
BTTS4/10
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Bastia: 1.23
Expected Goals
Orleans: 1.46
Bastia
33%
Draw
23%
Orleans
44%
Over 2.5: 42%
BTTS: 49%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Bastia
12 Sept
Bourg en Bresse vs Bastia
0-1W
05 Sept
Bastia vs Amiens
0-3L
27 Aug
Caen vs Bastia
0-1W
20 Aug
Bastia vs Versailles
2-3L
14 Aug
Aubagne vs Bastia
0-1W
07 Aug
Bastia vs le Puy-en-velay
0-2L
31 Jul
Bastia vs Annecy
2-2D
24 Jul
Aubagne vs Bastia
1-1D
10 Jul
Rodez vs Bastia
5-3L
09 May
Bastia vs le Mans
0-2L
Team 2 Form
Orleans
12 Sept
Orleans vs Versailles
0-4L
05 Sept
le Puy-en-velay vs Orleans
1-1D
29 Aug
Orleans vs la Roche
0-1L
20 Aug
Fleury-merogis vs Orleans
0-2W
14 Aug
Orleans vs Rouen
1-2L
07 Aug
Concarneau vs Orleans
0-2W
25 Jul
Auxerre vs Orleans
1-2W
21 Jul
Red Star vs Orleans
3-2L
18 Jul
Orleans vs Paris 13 Atl.
1-0W
11 Jul
Clermont vs Orleans
1-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
29 Mar
Orleans vs Bastia
2-1
23 Oct
Bastia vs Orleans
1-1
20 May
Bastia vs Orleans
0-0
22 Dec
Orleans vs Bastia
0-2
Full Match Object
{
  "league": "National",
  "country": "France",
  "match": "Bastia vs Orleans",
  "date": "2026-10-01",
  "time": "21:45",
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Bastia",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Bourg en Bresse",
        "away": "Bastia",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Bastia",
        "away": "Amiens",
        "score": "0-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "27.08.26",
        "home": "Caen",
        "away": "Bastia",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "20.08.26",
        "home": "Bastia",
        "away": "Versailles",
        "score": "2-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "14.08.26",
        "home": "Aubagne",
        "away": "Bastia",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "07.08.26",
        "home": "Bastia",
        "away": "Le Puy-en-Velay",
        "score": "0-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "31.07.26",
        "home": "Bastia",
        "away": "Annecy",
        "score": "2-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "24.07.26",
        "home": "Aubagne",
        "away": "Bastia",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "10.07.26",
        "home": "Rodez",
        "away": "Bastia",
        "score": "5-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "09.05.26",
        "home": "Bastia",
        "away": "Le Mans",
        "score": "0-2"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 8,
      "points": 9,
      "goal_diff": -3,
      "played": 6,
      "wins": 3,
      "draws": 0,
      "losses": 3,
      "goals": "5:8",
      "form": [
        "?",
        "W",
        "L",
        "W",
        "L",
        "W"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 7,
        "scored_2plus": 3,
        "conceded_1plus": 7,
        "conceded_2plus": 6,
        "clean_sheets": 3,
        "failed_to_score": 3,
        "over_1_5": 7,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 4,
        "total_scored": 11,
        "total_conceded": 18,
        "avg_scored": 1.1,
        "avg_conceded": 1.8
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 2,
        "scored_2plus": 2,
        "conceded_1plus": 5,
        "conceded_2plus": 5,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 3,
        "over_1_5": 5,
        "over_2_5": 3,
        "btts": 2,
        "total_scored": 4,
        "total_conceded": 12,
        "avg_scored": 0.8,
        "avg_conceded": 2.4
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 5,
        "scored_2plus": 1,
        "conceded_1plus": 2,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 3,
        "failed_to_score": 0,
        "over_1_5": 2,
        "over_2_5": 1,
        "btts": 2,
        "total_scored": 7,
        "total_conceded": 6,
        "avg_scored": 1.4,
        "avg_conceded": 1.2
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 1.067,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.6,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        0,
        2
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        3,
        3
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        1,
        1,
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        0,
        0,
        0
      ]
    }
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Orleans",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Orleans",
        "away": "Versailles",
        "score": "0-4"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Le Puy-en-Velay",
        "away": "Orleans",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "29.08.26",
        "home": "Orleans",
        "away": "La Roche",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "20.08.26",
        "home": "Fleury-Merogis",
        "away": "Orleans",
        "score": "0-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "14.08.26",
        "home": "Orleans",
        "away": "Rouen",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "07.08.26",
        "home": "Concarneau",
        "away": "Orleans",
        "score": "0-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "25.07.26",
        "home": "Auxerre",
        "away": "Orleans",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "21.07.26",
        "home": "Red Star",
        "away": "Orleans",
        "score": "3-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "18.07.26",
        "home": "Orleans",
        "away": "Paris 13 Atl.",
        "score": "1-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "11.07.26",
        "home": "Clermont",
        "away": "Orleans",
        "score": "1-0"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 14,
      "points": 7,
      "goal_diff": -2,
      "played": 6,
      "wins": 2,
      "draws": 1,
      "losses": 3,
      "goals": "6:8",
      "form": [
        "?",
        "L",
        "D",
        "L",
        "W",
        "L"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 7,
        "scored_2plus": 4,
        "conceded_1plus": 7,
        "conceded_2plus": 3,
        "clean_sheets": 3,
        "failed_to_score": 3,
        "over_1_5": 7,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 4,
        "total_scored": 11,
        "total_conceded": 13,
        "avg_scored": 1.1,
        "avg_conceded": 1.3
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 4,
        "scored_1plus": 2,
        "scored_2plus": 0,
        "conceded_1plus": 3,
        "conceded_2plus": 2,
        "clean_sheets": 1,
        "failed_to_score": 2,
        "over_1_5": 2,
        "over_2_5": 2,
        "btts": 1,
        "total_scored": 2,
        "total_conceded": 7,
        "avg_scored": 0.5,
        "avg_conceded": 1.75
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 6,
        "scored_1plus": 5,
        "scored_2plus": 4,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 2,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 5,
        "over_2_5": 2,
        "btts": 3,
        "total_scored": 9,
        "total_conceded": 6,
        "avg_scored": 1.5,
        "avg_conceded": 1
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 1,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.4,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        0,
        0,
        1
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        4,
        1,
        2
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        1,
        2
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        1,
        0
      ]
    }
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "29.03.21",
        "home": "Orleans",
        "away": "Bastia",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "23.10.20",
        "home": "Bastia",
        "away": "Orleans",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "20.05.11",
        "home": "Bastia",
        "away": "Orleans",
        "score": "0-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "22.12.10",
        "home": "Orleans",
        "away": "Bastia",
        "score": "0-2"
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": null,
  "model": {
    "expected_goals": {
      "team_1": 1.23,
      "team_2": 1.46
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 33,
      "draw": 23,
      "team_2": 44
    },
    "over_2_5_probability": 42,
    "btts_probability": 49,
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
    "_model_debug": {
      "rank_adj": [
        0.133,
        -0.133
      ],
      "h2h_considered": 4,
      "over25_poisson": 50,
      "over25_empirical": 40,
      "btts_poisson": 54,
      "btts_empirical": 40
    }
  },
  "enrichment_status": "complete"
}
Team 1
{
  "name": "Bastia",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "12.09.26",
      "home": "Bourg en Bresse",
      "away": "Bastia",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.09.26",
      "home": "Bastia",
      "away": "Amiens",
      "score": "0-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "27.08.26",
      "home": "Caen",
      "away": "Bastia",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "20.08.26",
      "home": "Bastia",
      "away": "Versailles",
      "score": "2-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "14.08.26",
      "home": "Aubagne",
      "away": "Bastia",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "07.08.26",
      "home": "Bastia",
      "away": "Le Puy-en-Velay",
      "score": "0-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "31.07.26",
      "home": "Bastia",
      "away": "Annecy",
      "score": "2-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "24.07.26",
      "home": "Aubagne",
      "away": "Bastia",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "10.07.26",
      "home": "Rodez",
      "away": "Bastia",
      "score": "5-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "09.05.26",
      "home": "Bastia",
      "away": "Le Mans",
      "score": "0-2"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 8,
    "points": 9,
    "goal_diff": -3,
    "played": 6,
    "wins": 3,
    "draws": 0,
    "losses": 3,
    "goals": "5:8",
    "form": [
      "?",
      "W",
      "L",
      "W",
      "L",
      "W"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 7,
      "scored_2plus": 3,
      "conceded_1plus": 7,
      "conceded_2plus": 6,
      "clean_sheets": 3,
      "failed_to_score": 3,
      "over_1_5": 7,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 4,
      "total_scored": 11,
      "total_conceded": 18,
      "avg_scored": 1.1,
      "avg_conceded": 1.8
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 2,
      "scored_2plus": 2,
      "conceded_1plus": 5,
      "conceded_2plus": 5,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 3,
      "over_1_5": 5,
      "over_2_5": 3,
      "btts": 2,
      "total_scored": 4,
      "total_conceded": 12,
      "avg_scored": 0.8,
      "avg_conceded": 2.4
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 5,
      "scored_2plus": 1,
      "conceded_1plus": 2,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 3,
      "failed_to_score": 0,
      "over_1_5": 2,
      "over_2_5": 1,
      "btts": 2,
      "total_scored": 7,
      "total_conceded": 6,
      "avg_scored": 1.4,
      "avg_conceded": 1.2
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 1.067,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.6,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      0,
      2
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      3,
      3
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      1,
      1,
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      0,
      0,
      0
    ]
  }
}
Team 2
{
  "name": "Orleans",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "12.09.26",
      "home": "Orleans",
      "away": "Versailles",
      "score": "0-4"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.09.26",
      "home": "Le Puy-en-Velay",
      "away": "Orleans",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "29.08.26",
      "home": "Orleans",
      "away": "La Roche",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "20.08.26",
      "home": "Fleury-Merogis",
      "away": "Orleans",
      "score": "0-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "14.08.26",
      "home": "Orleans",
      "away": "Rouen",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "07.08.26",
      "home": "Concarneau",
      "away": "Orleans",
      "score": "0-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "25.07.26",
      "home": "Auxerre",
      "away": "Orleans",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "21.07.26",
      "home": "Red Star",
      "away": "Orleans",
      "score": "3-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "18.07.26",
      "home": "Orleans",
      "away": "Paris 13 Atl.",
      "score": "1-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "11.07.26",
      "home": "Clermont",
      "away": "Orleans",
      "score": "1-0"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 14,
    "points": 7,
    "goal_diff": -2,
    "played": 6,
    "wins": 2,
    "draws": 1,
    "losses": 3,
    "goals": "6:8",
    "form": [
      "?",
      "L",
      "D",
      "L",
      "W",
      "L"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 7,
      "scored_2plus": 4,
      "conceded_1plus": 7,
      "conceded_2plus": 3,
      "clean_sheets": 3,
      "failed_to_score": 3,
      "over_1_5": 7,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 4,
      "total_scored": 11,
      "total_conceded": 13,
      "avg_scored": 1.1,
      "avg_conceded": 1.3
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 4,
      "scored_1plus": 2,
      "scored_2plus": 0,
      "conceded_1plus": 3,
      "conceded_2plus": 2,
      "clean_sheets": 1,
      "failed_to_score": 2,
      "over_1_5": 2,
      "over_2_5": 2,
      "btts": 1,
      "total_scored": 2,
      "total_conceded": 7,
      "avg_scored": 0.5,
      "avg_conceded": 1.75
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 6,
      "scored_1plus": 5,
      "scored_2plus": 4,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 2,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 5,
      "over_2_5": 2,
      "btts": 3,
      "total_scored": 9,
      "total_conceded": 6,
      "avg_scored": 1.5,
      "avg_conceded": 1
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 1,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.4,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      0,
      0,
      1
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      4,
      1,
      2
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      1,
      2
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      1,
      0
    ]
  }
}
Head-to-Head
{
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "29.03.21",
      "home": "Orleans",
      "away": "Bastia",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "23.10.20",
      "home": "Bastia",
      "away": "Orleans",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "20.05.11",
      "home": "Bastia",
      "away": "Orleans",
      "score": "0-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "22.12.10",
      "home": "Orleans",
      "away": "Bastia",
      "score": "0-2"
    }
  ]
}
Model
{
  "expected_goals": {
    "team_1": 1.23,
    "team_2": 1.46
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 33,
    "draw": 23,
    "team_2": 44
  },
  "over_2_5_probability": 42,
  "btts_probability": 49,
  "prediction_quality": "high",
  "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
  "_model_debug": {
    "rank_adj": [
      0.133,
      -0.133
    ],
    "h2h_considered": 4,
    "over25_poisson": 50,
    "over25_empirical": 40,
    "btts_poisson": 54,
    "btts_empirical": 40
  }
}
Odds
null

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