Football · FA Cup · England

Buxton vs Ashton Utd

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Buxton vs Ashton Utd in FA Cup (Football) on Saturday, 19 September 2026. Model prediction: Buxton 50% vs Ashton Utd 29%, draw 21%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

England•FA Cup

Buxton(6)

Ashton Utd(3)

Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 17:00

H2H: 6-1-3

Buxton — Last 10

W6d

W10d

L13d

W18d

W21d

L27d

L31d

D34d

W41d

W48d

6W · 1D · 3L

Played10

GF/GA20/15

Avg For2.00

Avg Against1.50

Scored ≥19/10

Scored ≥26/10

Conceded ≥19/10

Conceded ≥24/10

Clean Sheets1/10

Failed To Score1/10

Over 1.510/10

Over 2.59/10

BTTS8/10

Ashton Utd — Last 10

L6d

W13d

L18d

L21d

D24d

D27d

W31d

L34d

W38d

W41d

4W · 2D · 4L

Played10

GF/GA15/11

Avg For1.50

Avg Against1.10

Scored ≥17/10

Scored ≥23/10

Conceded ≥18/10

Conceded ≥23/10

Clean Sheets2/10

Failed To Score3/10

Over 1.57/10

Over 2.53/10

BTTS5/10

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Buxton: 1.81

Expected Goals

Ashton Utd: 1.32

Buxton

50%

Draw

21%

Ashton Utd

29%

Over 2.5: 58%

BTTS: 59%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Bookmaker odds not available for this match.

Open Flashscore

Team 1 Form

Buxton

12 Sept

Buxton vs Chester

3-1W

08 Sept

Buxton vs Brackley Town

5-0W

05 Sept

Morecambe vs Buxton

4-0L

31 Aug

Buxton vs Merthyr Town

2-1W

28 Aug

Oxford City vs Buxton

2-3W

22 Aug

Buxton vs Hebburn Town

1-2L

18 Aug

Bedford vs Buxton

2-1L

15 Aug

Southport vs Buxton

1-1D

08 Aug

Buxton vs Hereford

2-1W

01 Aug

Warrington vs Buxton

1-2W

Team 2 Form

Ashton Utd

12 Sept

Ashton Utd vs Cleethorpes

0-1L

05 Sept

Whitby vs Ashton Utd

2-5W

31 Aug

Curzon Ashton vs Ashton Utd

2-0L

28 Aug

Ashton Utd vs Gainsborough

1-2L

25 Aug

Ashton Utd vs Ilkeston

1-1D

22 Aug

Emley vs Ashton Utd

1-1D

18 Aug

Ashton Utd vs Whitby

2-0W

15 Aug

Bamber Bridge vs Ashton Utd

1-0L

11 Aug

Stockton vs Ashton Utd

0-1W

08 Aug

Ashton Utd vs Lancaster

4-1W

Head-to-Head

Last 10

10 Jul

Buxton vs Ashton Utd

1-0•

06 Jul

Buxton vs Ashton Utd

4-1•

11 Dec

Buxton vs Ashton Utd

3-0•

11 Sept

Ashton Utd vs Buxton

1-1•

02 Nov

Buxton vs Ashton Utd

1-2•

22 Mar

Buxton vs Ashton Utd

1-0•

28 Aug

Ashton Utd vs Buxton

1-4•

07 Mar

Buxton vs Ashton Utd

1-2•

20 Sept

Ashton Utd vs Buxton

1-3•

02 Jan

Ashton Utd vs Buxton

3-1•

Full Match Object

{
  "league": "FA Cup",
  "country": "England",
  "match": "Buxton vs Ashton Utd",
  "date": "2026-09-19",
  "time": "17:00",
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Buxton",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Buxton",
        "away": "Chester",
        "score": "3-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "08.09.26",
        "home": "Buxton",
        "away": "Brackley Town",
        "score": "5-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Morecambe",
        "away": "Buxton",
        "score": "4-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "31.08.26",
        "home": "Buxton",
        "away": "Merthyr Town",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "28.08.26",
        "home": "Oxford City",
        "away": "Buxton",
        "score": "2-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "22.08.26",
        "home": "Buxton",
        "away": "Hebburn Town",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "18.08.26",
        "home": "Bedford",
        "away": "Buxton",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "15.08.26",
        "home": "Southport",
        "away": "Buxton",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "08.08.26",
        "home": "Buxton",
        "away": "Hereford",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "01.08.26",
        "home": "Warrington",
        "away": "Buxton",
        "score": "1-2"
      }
    ],
    "standing": null,
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 9,
        "scored_2plus": 6,
        "conceded_1plus": 9,
        "conceded_2plus": 4,
        "clean_sheets": 1,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 10,
        "over_2_5": 9,
        "btts": 8,
        "total_scored": 20,
        "total_conceded": 15,
        "avg_scored": 2,
        "avg_conceded": 1.5
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 5,
        "scored_2plus": 4,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 1,
        "failed_to_score": 0,
        "over_1_5": 5,
        "over_2_5": 5,
        "btts": 4,
        "total_scored": 13,
        "total_conceded": 5,
        "avg_scored": 2.6,
        "avg_conceded": 1
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 4,
        "scored_2plus": 2,
        "conceded_1plus": 5,
        "conceded_2plus": 3,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 5,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 4,
        "total_scored": 7,
        "total_conceded": 10,
        "avg_scored": 1.4,
        "avg_conceded": 2
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 2.2,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.533,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        3,
        5,
        2
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        1,
        0,
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        0,
        3
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        4,
        2
      ]
    }
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Ashton Utd",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Ashton Utd",
        "away": "Cleethorpes",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Whitby",
        "away": "Ashton Utd",
        "score": "2-5"
      },
      {
        "date": "31.08.26",
        "home": "Curzon Ashton",
        "away": "Ashton Utd",
        "score": "2-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "28.08.26",
        "home": "Ashton Utd",
        "away": "Gainsborough",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "25.08.26",
        "home": "Ashton Utd",
        "away": "Ilkeston",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "22.08.26",
        "home": "Emley",
        "away": "Ashton Utd",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "18.08.26",
        "home": "Ashton Utd",
        "away": "Whitby",
        "score": "2-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "15.08.26",
        "home": "Bamber Bridge",
        "away": "Ashton Utd",
        "score": "1-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "11.08.26",
        "home": "Stockton",
        "away": "Ashton Utd",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "08.08.26",
        "home": "Ashton Utd",
        "away": "Lancaster",
        "score": "4-1"
      }
    ],
    "standing": null,
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 7,
        "scored_2plus": 3,
        "conceded_1plus": 8,
        "conceded_2plus": 3,
        "clean_sheets": 2,
        "failed_to_score": 3,
        "over_1_5": 7,
        "over_2_5": 3,
        "btts": 5,
        "total_scored": 15,
        "total_conceded": 11,
        "avg_scored": 1.5,
        "avg_conceded": 1.1
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 4,
        "scored_2plus": 2,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 1,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 4,
        "over_2_5": 2,
        "btts": 3,
        "total_scored": 8,
        "total_conceded": 5,
        "avg_scored": 1.6,
        "avg_conceded": 1
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 3,
        "scored_2plus": 1,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 2,
        "clean_sheets": 1,
        "failed_to_score": 2,
        "over_1_5": 3,
        "over_2_5": 1,
        "btts": 2,
        "total_scored": 7,
        "total_conceded": 6,
        "avg_scored": 1.4,
        "avg_conceded": 1.2
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 1.467,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.267,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        0,
        1,
        1
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        1,
        2,
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        5,
        0
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        2,
        2
      ]
    }
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "10.07.26",
        "home": "Buxton",
        "away": "Ashton Utd",
        "score": "1-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "06.07.24",
        "home": "Buxton",
        "away": "Ashton Utd",
        "score": "4-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "11.12.21",
        "home": "Buxton",
        "away": "Ashton Utd",
        "score": "3-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "11.09.21",
        "home": "Ashton Utd",
        "away": "Buxton",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "02.11.19",
        "home": "Buxton",
        "away": "Ashton Utd",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "22.03.18",
        "home": "Buxton",
        "away": "Ashton Utd",
        "score": "1-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "28.08.17",
        "home": "Ashton Utd",
        "away": "Buxton",
        "score": "1-4"
      },
      {
        "date": "07.03.17",
        "home": "Buxton",
        "away": "Ashton Utd",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "20.09.16",
        "home": "Ashton Utd",
        "away": "Buxton",
        "score": "1-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "02.01.16",
        "home": "Ashton Utd",
        "away": "Buxton",
        "score": "3-1"
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "draw": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    },
    "scraped_at": "2026-09-12T19:54:59.133111+00:00"
  },
  "model": {
    "expected_goals": {
      "team_1": 1.81,
      "team_2": 1.32
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 50,
      "draw": 21,
      "team_2": 29
    },
    "over_2_5_probability": 58,
    "btts_probability": 59,
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
    "_model_debug": {
      "rank_adj": [
        0,
        0
      ],
      "h2h_considered": 6,
      "over25_poisson": 61,
      "over25_empirical": 60,
      "btts_poisson": 61,
      "btts_empirical": 63
    }
  },
  "enrichment_status": "complete"
}

Team 1

{
  "name": "Buxton",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "12.09.26",
      "home": "Buxton",
      "away": "Chester",
      "score": "3-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "08.09.26",
      "home": "Buxton",
      "away": "Brackley Town",
      "score": "5-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.09.26",
      "home": "Morecambe",
      "away": "Buxton",
      "score": "4-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "31.08.26",
      "home": "Buxton",
      "away": "Merthyr Town",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "28.08.26",
      "home": "Oxford City",
      "away": "Buxton",
      "score": "2-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "22.08.26",
      "home": "Buxton",
      "away": "Hebburn Town",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "18.08.26",
      "home": "Bedford",
      "away": "Buxton",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "15.08.26",
      "home": "Southport",
      "away": "Buxton",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "08.08.26",
      "home": "Buxton",
      "away": "Hereford",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "01.08.26",
      "home": "Warrington",
      "away": "Buxton",
      "score": "1-2"
    }
  ],
  "standing": null,
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 9,
      "scored_2plus": 6,
      "conceded_1plus": 9,
      "conceded_2plus": 4,
      "clean_sheets": 1,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 10,
      "over_2_5": 9,
      "btts": 8,
      "total_scored": 20,
      "total_conceded": 15,
      "avg_scored": 2,
      "avg_conceded": 1.5
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 5,
      "scored_2plus": 4,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 1,
      "failed_to_score": 0,
      "over_1_5": 5,
      "over_2_5": 5,
      "btts": 4,
      "total_scored": 13,
      "total_conceded": 5,
      "avg_scored": 2.6,
      "avg_conceded": 1
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 4,
      "scored_2plus": 2,
      "conceded_1plus": 5,
      "conceded_2plus": 3,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 5,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 4,
      "total_scored": 7,
      "total_conceded": 10,
      "avg_scored": 1.4,
      "avg_conceded": 2
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 2.2,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.533,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      3,
      5,
      2
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      1,
      0,
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      0,
      3
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      4,
      2
    ]
  }
}

Team 2

{
  "name": "Ashton Utd",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "12.09.26",
      "home": "Ashton Utd",
      "away": "Cleethorpes",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.09.26",
      "home": "Whitby",
      "away": "Ashton Utd",
      "score": "2-5"
    },
    {
      "date": "31.08.26",
      "home": "Curzon Ashton",
      "away": "Ashton Utd",
      "score": "2-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "28.08.26",
      "home": "Ashton Utd",
      "away": "Gainsborough",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "25.08.26",
      "home": "Ashton Utd",
      "away": "Ilkeston",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "22.08.26",
      "home": "Emley",
      "away": "Ashton Utd",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "18.08.26",
      "home": "Ashton Utd",
      "away": "Whitby",
      "score": "2-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "15.08.26",
      "home": "Bamber Bridge",
      "away": "Ashton Utd",
      "score": "1-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "11.08.26",
      "home": "Stockton",
      "away": "Ashton Utd",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "08.08.26",
      "home": "Ashton Utd",
      "away": "Lancaster",
      "score": "4-1"
    }
  ],
  "standing": null,
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 7,
      "scored_2plus": 3,
      "conceded_1plus": 8,
      "conceded_2plus": 3,
      "clean_sheets": 2,
      "failed_to_score": 3,
      "over_1_5": 7,
      "over_2_5": 3,
      "btts": 5,
      "total_scored": 15,
      "total_conceded": 11,
      "avg_scored": 1.5,
      "avg_conceded": 1.1
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 4,
      "scored_2plus": 2,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 1,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 4,
      "over_2_5": 2,
      "btts": 3,
      "total_scored": 8,
      "total_conceded": 5,
      "avg_scored": 1.6,
      "avg_conceded": 1
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 3,
      "scored_2plus": 1,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 2,
      "clean_sheets": 1,
      "failed_to_score": 2,
      "over_1_5": 3,
      "over_2_5": 1,
      "btts": 2,
      "total_scored": 7,
      "total_conceded": 6,
      "avg_scored": 1.4,
      "avg_conceded": 1.2
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 1.467,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.267,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      0,
      1,
      1
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      1,
      2,
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      5,
      0
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      2,
      2
    ]
  }
}

Head-to-Head

{
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "10.07.26",
      "home": "Buxton",
      "away": "Ashton Utd",
      "score": "1-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "06.07.24",
      "home": "Buxton",
      "away": "Ashton Utd",
      "score": "4-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "11.12.21",
      "home": "Buxton",
      "away": "Ashton Utd",
      "score": "3-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "11.09.21",
      "home": "Ashton Utd",
      "away": "Buxton",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "02.11.19",
      "home": "Buxton",
      "away": "Ashton Utd",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "22.03.18",
      "home": "Buxton",
      "away": "Ashton Utd",
      "score": "1-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "28.08.17",
      "home": "Ashton Utd",
      "away": "Buxton",
      "score": "1-4"
    },
    {
      "date": "07.03.17",
      "home": "Buxton",
      "away": "Ashton Utd",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "20.09.16",
      "home": "Ashton Utd",
      "away": "Buxton",
      "score": "1-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "02.01.16",
      "home": "Ashton Utd",
      "away": "Buxton",
      "score": "3-1"
    }
  ]
}

Model

{
  "expected_goals": {
    "team_1": 1.81,
    "team_2": 1.32
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 50,
    "draw": 21,
    "team_2": 29
  },
  "over_2_5_probability": 58,
  "btts_probability": 59,
  "prediction_quality": "high",
  "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
  "_model_debug": {
    "rank_adj": [
      0,
      0
    ],
    "h2h_considered": 6,
    "over25_poisson": 61,
    "over25_empirical": 60,
    "btts_poisson": 61,
    "btts_empirical": 63
  }
}

Odds

{
  "match_winner": {
    "home": null,
    "draw": null,
    "away": null,
    "vig_pct": null
  },
  "scraped_at": "2026-09-12T19:54:59.133111+00:00"
}

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