Football · EFL Cup · England

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa

Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa in EFL Cup (Football) on Wednesday, 28 October 2026. Model prediction: Bournemouth 35% vs Aston Villa 44%, draw 21%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

England•EFL Cup

Bournemouth(3)

W1d

L6d

L26d

W29d

D34d

W38d

D41d

D48d

L54d

L62d

3W · 3D · 4L

vs

Aston Villa(4)

W2d

D6d

W14d

W27d

W30d

L34d

W38d

D41d

L46d

L54d

5W · 2D · 3L

Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 22:45

UpcomingUpcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

H2H: 3-3-4

Last 10 matches

10Matches played10

17/16Goals scored / conceded21/15

1.70Avg goals scored per match2.10

1.60Avg goals conceded per match1.50

9/10Scored 1+ goals7/10

5/10Scored 2+ goals6/10

8/10Conceded 1+ goals8/10

5/10Conceded 2+ goals5/10

2/10Kept a clean sheet (conceded 0)2/10

1/10Failed to score3/10

9/10Match had 2+ goals (over 1.5)8/10

8/10Match had 3+ goals (over 2.5)8/10

7/10Both teams scored6/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Bournemouth at homeAston Villa away

5Matches played6

2/5Won4/6

2/5Drew1/6

1/5Lost1/6

2.00Avg goals scored per match2.00

0.80Avg goals conceded per match1.67

4/5Scored 1+ goals4/6

3/5Scored 2+ goals4/6

2/5Scored 3+ goals4/6

3/5Conceded 1+ goals5/6

1/5Conceded 2+ goals3/6

2/5Kept a clean sheet (conceded 0)1/6

1/5Failed to score2/6

3/5Match had 3+ goals (over 2.5)5/6

2/5Both teams scored4/6

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Bournemouth: 1.61

Expected Goals

Aston Villa: 1.82

Bournemouth

35%

Draw

21%

Aston Villa

44%

Over 2.5: 68%

BTTS: 66%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 5.5%

1 — Bournemouth

2.20▼

Implied 43%

Edge -8.1%

X

3.60

Implied 26%

Edge -5.3%

2 — Aston Villa

3.10▲

Implied 31%

Edge +13.4%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Team 1 Form

Bournemouth · # = league position now

15 Oct2026

Bournemouth#18 vs Sturm Graz#4

3-0W

10 Oct2026

Chelsea#6 vs Bournemouth#18

5-1L

20 Sept2026

Bournemouth#18 vs Liverpool#9

0-1L

17 Sept2026

Real Sociedad#6 vs Bournemouth#18

1-2W

12 Sept2026

Bournemouth#18 vs Brentford#4

2-2D

08 Sept2026

Bournemouth#18 vs Lincoln#18

4-0W

05 Sept2026

Newcastle#11 vs Bournemouth#18

2-2D

29 Aug2026

Bournemouth#18 vs Everton#5

1-1D

23 Aug2026

Manchester City#1 vs Bournemouth#18

2-1L

15 Aug2026

Mainz#8 vs Bournemouth#18

2-1L

Team 2 Form

Aston Villa · # = league position now

14 Oct2026

Aston Villa#16 vs Fenerbahce#4

6-0W

10 Oct2026

Aston Villa#16 vs Brentford#4

2-2D

02 Oct2026

Sevilla#5 vs Aston Villa#16

1-3W

19 Sept2026

Tottenham#19 vs Aston Villa#16

2-3W

16 Sept2026

Coventry#14 vs Aston Villa#16

1-3W

12 Sept2026

Aston Villa#16 vs Nottingham#15

1-2L

08 Sept2026

Club Brugge kv#2 vs Aston Villa#16

2-3W

05 Sept2026

Hull#8 vs Aston Villa#16

0-0D

31 Aug2026

Aston Villa#16 vs Arsenal#2

0-1L

23 Aug2026

Brighton#3 vs Aston Villa#16

4-0L

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

07 Feb2026

Bournemouth#18 vs Aston Villa#16

1-1•

09 Nov2025

Aston Villa#16 vs Bournemouth#18

4-0•

10 May2025

Bournemouth#18 vs Aston Villa#16

0-1•

26 Oct2024

Aston Villa#16 vs Bournemouth#18

1-1•

21 Apr2024

Aston Villa#16 vs Bournemouth#18

3-1•

03 Dec2023

Bournemouth#18 vs Aston Villa#16

2-2•

18 Mar2023

Aston Villa#16 vs Bournemouth#18

3-0•

06 Aug2022

Bournemouth#18 vs Aston Villa#16

2-0•

01 Feb2020

Bournemouth#18 vs Aston Villa#16

2-1•

17 Aug2019

Aston Villa#16 vs Bournemouth#18

1-2•

Upcoming matches

# = league position now

Bournemouth

18 Oct16:00

Bournemouth#18 vs Sunderland#17England · Premier League

H

22 Oct22:00

Bournemouth#5 vs ac Milan#16Europe · Europa League

H

25 Oct17:00

Manchester Utd#13 vs Bournemouth#18England · Premier League

A

31 Oct18:00

Bournemouth#18 vs Leeds#7England · Premier League

H

05 Nov20:45

Sparta Prague#11 vs Bournemouth#5Europe · Europa League

A

Aston Villa

17 Oct19:30

Newcastle#11 vs Aston Villa#16England · Premier League

A

21 Oct22:00

Aston Villa#3 vs Viking#27Europe · Champions League

H

24 Oct14:30

Aston Villa#16 vs Manchester City#1England · Premier League

H

31 Oct23:00

Aston Villa#16 vs Fulham#20England · Premier League

H

03 Nov23:00

Barcelona#2 vs Aston Villa#3Europe · Champions League

A

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