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Football · Premier League · England

Newcastle vs Aston Villa

Saturday, 17 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Newcastle vs Aston Villa in Premier League (Football) on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Model prediction: Newcastle 41% vs Aston Villa 39%, draw 20%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

England•Premier League
Newcastle(5)
Rank 11 · 8 pts
L4d
W27d
L32d
W38d
D41d
W48d
W51d
D54d
D61d
L62d
4W · 3D · 3L
vs
Aston Villa(3)
Rank 16 · 5 pts
W2d
D6d
W14d
W27d
W30d
L34d
W38d
D41d
L46d
L54d
5W · 2D · 3L
Saturday, 17 October 2026 at 19:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 5-2-3
Last 10 matches
1010
16/1821/15
1.602.10
1.801.50
10/107/10
5/106/10
8/108/10
6/105/10
2/102/10
0/103/10
9/108/10
7/108/10
8/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Newcastle at homeAston Villa away
66
2/64/6
3/61/6
1/61/6
1.832.00
1.671.67
6/64/6
4/64/6
1/64/6
6/65/6
4/63/6
0/61/6
0/62/6
5/65/6
6/64/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Newcastle: 1.82
Expected Goals
Aston Villa: 1.78
Newcastle
41%
Draw
20%
Aston Villa
39%
Over 2.5: 71%
BTTS: 66%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.1%
1 — Newcastle
2.20▲
Implied 43%
Edge -2.2%
X
3.80▼
Implied 25%
Edge -5.0%
2 — Aston Villa
3.00▼
Implied 32%
Edge +7.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Newcastle · # = league position now
12 Oct2026
Coventry#14 vs Newcastle#11
4-1L
19 Sept2026
Newcastle#11 vs Hull#8
2-1W
14 Sept2026
Leeds#7 vs Newcastle#11
4-1L
08 Sept2026
Millwall#11 vs Newcastle#11
0-1W
05 Sept2026
Newcastle#11 vs Bournemouth#18
2-2D
29 Aug2026
Tottenham#19 vs Newcastle#11
0-2W
26 Aug2026
Newcastle#11 vs West Brom#6
3-2W
23 Aug2026
Newcastle#11 vs Liverpool#9
2-2D
16 Aug2026
Newcastle#11 vs Strasbourg#11
1-1D
15 Aug2026
Newcastle#11 vs Bayer Leverkusen#4
1-2L
Team 2 Form
Aston Villa · # = league position now
14 Oct2026
Aston Villa#16 vs Fenerbahce#4
6-0W
10 Oct2026
Aston Villa#16 vs Brentford#4
2-2D
02 Oct2026
Sevilla#5 vs Aston Villa#16
1-3W
19 Sept2026
Tottenham#19 vs Aston Villa#16
2-3W
16 Sept2026
Coventry#14 vs Aston Villa#16
1-3W
12 Sept2026
Aston Villa#16 vs Nottingham#15
1-2L
08 Sept2026
Club Brugge kv#2 vs Aston Villa#16
2-3W
05 Sept2026
Hull#8 vs Aston Villa#16
0-0D
31 Aug2026
Aston Villa#16 vs Arsenal#2
0-1L
23 Aug2026
Brighton#3 vs Aston Villa#16
4-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
14 Feb2026
Aston Villa#16 vs Newcastle#11
1-3•
25 Jan2026
Newcastle#11 vs Aston Villa#16
0-2•
16 Aug2025
Aston Villa#16 vs Newcastle#11
0-0•
19 Apr2025
Aston Villa#16 vs Newcastle#11
4-1•
26 Dec2024
Newcastle#11 vs Aston Villa#16
3-0•
30 Jan2024
Aston Villa#16 vs Newcastle#11
1-3•
12 Aug2023
Newcastle#11 vs Aston Villa#16
5-1•
24 Jul2023
Newcastle#11 vs Aston Villa#16
3-3•
15 Apr2023
Aston Villa#16 vs Newcastle#11
3-0•
29 Oct2022
Newcastle#11 vs Aston Villa#16
4-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now

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