Football · Conference League · Europe

Gent vs Aarhus

Thursday, 15 October 2026

Gent vs Aarhus in Conference League (Football) on Thursday, 15 October 2026. Model prediction: Gent 80% vs Aarhus 6%, draw 14%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

Europe•Conference League

Gent(0)

Rank 5 · 0 pts

Aarhus(0)

Rank 16 · 0 pts

Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 19:45

H2H: 0-0-0

Gent — Last 10

D2d

W9d

W12d

W16d

W19d

D26d

W30d

D33d

W37d

W40d

7W · 3D · 0L

Played10

GF/GA16/6

Avg For1.60

Avg Against0.60

Scored ≥19/10

Scored ≥25/10

Conceded ≥15/10

Conceded ≥21/10

Clean Sheets5/10

Failed To Score1/10

Over 1.57/10

Over 2.54/10

BTTS5/10

Aarhus — Last 10

L2d

D10d

L13d

L16d

L19d

D23d

L26d

L32d

L35d

W41d

1W · 2D · 7L

Played10

GF/GA10/23

Avg For1.00

Avg Against2.30

Scored ≥17/10

Scored ≥23/10

Conceded ≥110/10

Conceded ≥29/10

Clean Sheets0/10

Failed To Score3/10

Over 1.510/10

Over 2.58/10

BTTS7/10

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Gent: 2.22

Expected Goals

Aarhus: 0.4

Gent

80%

Draw

14%

Aarhus

Over 2.5: 53%

BTTS: 41%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 6.2%

1 — Gent

1.56▲

Implied 60%

Edge +19.6%

4.15▼

Implied 23%

Edge -8.7%

2 — Aarhus

5.55▼

Implied 17%

Edge -11.0%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Open Flashscore

Team 1 Form

Gent

13 Sept

Genk vs Gent

1-1D

06 Sept

Cercle Brugge Ksv vs Gent

0-3W

03 Sept

Gent vs Leuven

1-0W

30 Aug

Gent vs Club Brugge kv

2-1W

27 Aug

Hibernian vs Gent

2-3W

20 Aug

Gent vs Hibernian

0-0D

16 Aug

Raal la Louviere vs Gent

1-2W

13 Aug

Gent vs Goteborg

1-1D

09 Aug

Gent vs kv Mechelen

2-0W

06 Aug

Goteborg vs Gent

0-1W

Team 2 Form

Aarhus

13 Sept

Nordsjaelland vs Aarhus

2-0L

05 Sept

Aarhus vs Silkeborg

2-2D

02 Sept

Aarhus vs Midtjylland

0-2L

30 Aug

Randers fc vs Aarhus

2-1L

27 Aug

Aarhus vs Benfica

1-3L

23 Aug

Aarhus vs Odense

2-2D

20 Aug

Benfica vs Aarhus

3-1L

14 Aug

Viborg vs Aarhus

2-1L

11 Aug

Sabah Baku vs Aarhus

4-0L

05 Aug

Aarhus vs Sabah Baku

2-1W

Head-to-Head

Last 10

No rows.

Full Match Object

{
  "league": "Conference League",
  "country": "Europe",
  "match": "Gent vs Aarhus",
  "date": "2026-10-15",
  "time": "19:45",
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Gent",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Genk",
        "away": "Gent",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Cercle Brugge KSV",
        "away": "Gent",
        "score": "0-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "03.09.26",
        "home": "Gent",
        "away": "Leuven",
        "score": "1-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "30.08.26",
        "home": "Gent",
        "away": "Club Brugge KV",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "27.08.26",
        "home": "Hibernian",
        "away": "Gent",
        "score": "2-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "20.08.26",
        "home": "Gent",
        "away": "Hibernian",
        "score": "0-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "16.08.26",
        "home": "RAAL La Louviere",
        "away": "Gent",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "13.08.26",
        "home": "Gent",
        "away": "Goteborg",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "09.08.26",
        "home": "Gent",
        "away": "KV Mechelen",
        "score": "2-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "06.08.26",
        "home": "Goteborg",
        "away": "Gent",
        "score": "0-1"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 5,
      "points": 0,
      "goal_diff": 0,
      "played": 0,
      "wins": 0,
      "draws": 0,
      "losses": 0,
      "goals": "0:0",
      "form": [
        "?"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 9,
        "scored_2plus": 5,
        "conceded_1plus": 5,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 5,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 7,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 5,
        "total_scored": 16,
        "total_conceded": 6,
        "avg_scored": 1.6,
        "avg_conceded": 0.6
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 4,
        "scored_2plus": 2,
        "conceded_1plus": 2,
        "conceded_2plus": 0,
        "clean_sheets": 3,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 3,
        "over_2_5": 1,
        "btts": 2,
        "total_scored": 6,
        "total_conceded": 2,
        "avg_scored": 1.2,
        "avg_conceded": 0.4
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 5,
        "scored_2plus": 3,
        "conceded_1plus": 3,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 2,
        "failed_to_score": 0,
        "over_1_5": 4,
        "over_2_5": 3,
        "btts": 3,
        "total_scored": 10,
        "total_conceded": 4,
        "avg_scored": 2,
        "avg_conceded": 0.8
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 1.733,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 0.667,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        1,
        2
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        0,
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        1,
        3,
        3
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        1,
        0,
        2
      ]
    }
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Aarhus",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Nordsjaelland",
        "away": "Aarhus",
        "score": "2-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Aarhus",
        "away": "Silkeborg",
        "score": "2-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "02.09.26",
        "home": "Aarhus",
        "away": "Midtjylland",
        "score": "0-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "30.08.26",
        "home": "Randers FC",
        "away": "Aarhus",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "27.08.26",
        "home": "Aarhus",
        "away": "Benfica",
        "score": "1-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "23.08.26",
        "home": "Aarhus",
        "away": "Odense",
        "score": "2-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "20.08.26",
        "home": "Benfica",
        "away": "Aarhus",
        "score": "3-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "14.08.26",
        "home": "Viborg",
        "away": "Aarhus",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "11.08.26",
        "home": "Sabah Baku",
        "away": "Aarhus",
        "score": "4-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.08.26",
        "home": "Aarhus",
        "away": "Sabah Baku",
        "score": "2-1"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 16,
      "points": 0,
      "goal_diff": 0,
      "played": 0,
      "wins": 0,
      "draws": 0,
      "losses": 0,
      "goals": "0:0",
      "form": [
        "?"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 7,
        "scored_2plus": 3,
        "conceded_1plus": 10,
        "conceded_2plus": 9,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 3,
        "over_1_5": 10,
        "over_2_5": 8,
        "btts": 7,
        "total_scored": 10,
        "total_conceded": 23,
        "avg_scored": 1,
        "avg_conceded": 2.3
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 4,
        "scored_2plus": 3,
        "conceded_1plus": 5,
        "conceded_2plus": 4,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 5,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 4,
        "total_scored": 7,
        "total_conceded": 10,
        "avg_scored": 1.4,
        "avg_conceded": 2
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 3,
        "scored_2plus": 0,
        "conceded_1plus": 5,
        "conceded_2plus": 5,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 2,
        "over_1_5": 5,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 3,
        "total_scored": 3,
        "total_conceded": 13,
        "avg_scored": 0.6,
        "avg_conceded": 2.6
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 0.933,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 2.267,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        2,
        0,
        1
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        2,
        2,
        3
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        0,
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        2,
        2
      ]
    }
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": []
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": {
        "value": 1.56,
        "indicator": "up",
        "implied_pct": 60,
        "edge_pct": 19.6
      },
      "draw": {
        "value": 4.15,
        "indicator": "down",
        "implied_pct": 23,
        "edge_pct": -8.7
      },
      "away": {
        "value": 5.55,
        "indicator": "down",
        "implied_pct": 17,
        "edge_pct": -11
      },
      "vig_pct": 6.2
    },
    "scraped_at": "2026-09-15T21:11:06.131859+00:00"
  },
  "model": {
    "expected_goals": {
      "team_1": 2.22,
      "team_2": 0.4
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 80,
      "draw": 14,
      "team_2": 6
    },
    "over_2_5_probability": 53,
    "btts_probability": 41,
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
    "_model_debug": {
      "rank_adj": [
        0.275,
        -0.275
      ],
      "h2h_considered": 0,
      "over25_poisson": 49,
      "over25_empirical": 60,
      "btts_poisson": 29,
      "btts_empirical": 59
    }
  },
  "enrichment_status": "complete"
}

Team 1

{
  "name": "Gent",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "13.09.26",
      "home": "Genk",
      "away": "Gent",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "06.09.26",
      "home": "Cercle Brugge KSV",
      "away": "Gent",
      "score": "0-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "03.09.26",
      "home": "Gent",
      "away": "Leuven",
      "score": "1-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "30.08.26",
      "home": "Gent",
      "away": "Club Brugge KV",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "27.08.26",
      "home": "Hibernian",
      "away": "Gent",
      "score": "2-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "20.08.26",
      "home": "Gent",
      "away": "Hibernian",
      "score": "0-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "16.08.26",
      "home": "RAAL La Louviere",
      "away": "Gent",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "13.08.26",
      "home": "Gent",
      "away": "Goteborg",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "09.08.26",
      "home": "Gent",
      "away": "KV Mechelen",
      "score": "2-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "06.08.26",
      "home": "Goteborg",
      "away": "Gent",
      "score": "0-1"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 5,
    "points": 0,
    "goal_diff": 0,
    "played": 0,
    "wins": 0,
    "draws": 0,
    "losses": 0,
    "goals": "0:0",
    "form": [
      "?"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 9,
      "scored_2plus": 5,
      "conceded_1plus": 5,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 5,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 7,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 5,
      "total_scored": 16,
      "total_conceded": 6,
      "avg_scored": 1.6,
      "avg_conceded": 0.6
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 4,
      "scored_2plus": 2,
      "conceded_1plus": 2,
      "conceded_2plus": 0,
      "clean_sheets": 3,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 3,
      "over_2_5": 1,
      "btts": 2,
      "total_scored": 6,
      "total_conceded": 2,
      "avg_scored": 1.2,
      "avg_conceded": 0.4
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 5,
      "scored_2plus": 3,
      "conceded_1plus": 3,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 2,
      "failed_to_score": 0,
      "over_1_5": 4,
      "over_2_5": 3,
      "btts": 3,
      "total_scored": 10,
      "total_conceded": 4,
      "avg_scored": 2,
      "avg_conceded": 0.8
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 1.733,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 0.667,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      1,
      2
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      0,
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      1,
      3,
      3
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      1,
      0,
      2
    ]
  }
}

Team 2

{
  "name": "Aarhus",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "13.09.26",
      "home": "Nordsjaelland",
      "away": "Aarhus",
      "score": "2-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.09.26",
      "home": "Aarhus",
      "away": "Silkeborg",
      "score": "2-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "02.09.26",
      "home": "Aarhus",
      "away": "Midtjylland",
      "score": "0-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "30.08.26",
      "home": "Randers FC",
      "away": "Aarhus",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "27.08.26",
      "home": "Aarhus",
      "away": "Benfica",
      "score": "1-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "23.08.26",
      "home": "Aarhus",
      "away": "Odense",
      "score": "2-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "20.08.26",
      "home": "Benfica",
      "away": "Aarhus",
      "score": "3-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "14.08.26",
      "home": "Viborg",
      "away": "Aarhus",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "11.08.26",
      "home": "Sabah Baku",
      "away": "Aarhus",
      "score": "4-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.08.26",
      "home": "Aarhus",
      "away": "Sabah Baku",
      "score": "2-1"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 16,
    "points": 0,
    "goal_diff": 0,
    "played": 0,
    "wins": 0,
    "draws": 0,
    "losses": 0,
    "goals": "0:0",
    "form": [
      "?"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 7,
      "scored_2plus": 3,
      "conceded_1plus": 10,
      "conceded_2plus": 9,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 3,
      "over_1_5": 10,
      "over_2_5": 8,
      "btts": 7,
      "total_scored": 10,
      "total_conceded": 23,
      "avg_scored": 1,
      "avg_conceded": 2.3
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 4,
      "scored_2plus": 3,
      "conceded_1plus": 5,
      "conceded_2plus": 4,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 5,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 4,
      "total_scored": 7,
      "total_conceded": 10,
      "avg_scored": 1.4,
      "avg_conceded": 2
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 3,
      "scored_2plus": 0,
      "conceded_1plus": 5,
      "conceded_2plus": 5,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 2,
      "over_1_5": 5,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 3,
      "total_scored": 3,
      "total_conceded": 13,
      "avg_scored": 0.6,
      "avg_conceded": 2.6
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 0.933,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 2.267,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      2,
      0,
      1
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      2,
      2,
      3
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      0,
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      2,
      2
    ]
  }
}

Head-to-Head

{
  "last_10_matches": []
}

Model

{
  "expected_goals": {
    "team_1": 2.22,
    "team_2": 0.4
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 80,
    "draw": 14,
    "team_2": 6
  },
  "over_2_5_probability": 53,
  "btts_probability": 41,
  "prediction_quality": "high",
  "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
  "_model_debug": {
    "rank_adj": [
      0.275,
      -0.275
    ],
    "h2h_considered": 0,
    "over25_poisson": 49,
    "over25_empirical": 60,
    "btts_poisson": 29,
    "btts_empirical": 59
  }
}

Odds

{
  "match_winner": {
    "home": {
      "value": 1.56,
      "indicator": "up",
      "implied_pct": 60,
      "edge_pct": 19.6
    },
    "draw": {
      "value": 4.15,
      "indicator": "down",
      "implied_pct": 23,
      "edge_pct": -8.7
    },
    "away": {
      "value": 5.55,
      "indicator": "down",
      "implied_pct": 17,
      "edge_pct": -11
    },
    "vig_pct": 6.2
  },
  "scraped_at": "2026-09-15T21:11:06.131859+00:00"
}

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