Football · Conference League · Europe

Lugano vs Crvena zvezda

Thursday, 15 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Lugano vs Crvena zvezda in Conference League (Football) on Thursday, 15 October 2026. Model prediction: Lugano 60% vs Crvena zvezda 20%, draw 20%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

Europe•Conference League
LuganoLugano(0)
Rank 24 · 0 pts
vs
Crvena zvezdaCrvena Zvezda(0)
Rank 25 · 0 pts
Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 19:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 0-0-0
Lugano — Last 10
D3d
W9d
W12d
W16d
D19d
W26d
W30d
D33d
W37d
W40d
7W · 3D · 0L
Played10
GF/GA30/9
Avg For3.00
Avg Against0.90
Scored ≥110/10
Scored ≥28/10
Conceded ≥17/10
Conceded ≥22/10
Clean Sheets3/10
Failed To Score0/10
Over 1.59/10
Over 2.57/10
BTTS7/10
Crvena Zvezda — Last 10
W2d
D5d
W9d
W16d
L19d
W23d
W26d
L35d
W38d
L42d
6W · 1D · 3L
Played10
GF/GA15/9
Avg For1.50
Avg Against0.90
Scored ≥17/10
Scored ≥25/10
Conceded ≥14/10
Conceded ≥22/10
Clean Sheets6/10
Failed To Score3/10
Over 1.57/10
Over 2.54/10
BTTS2/10
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Lugano: 1.86
Expected Goals
Crvena Zvezda: 0.96
Lugano
60%
Draw
20%
Crvena Zvezda
20%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 46%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.9%
1 — Lugano
2.70▲
Implied 35%
Edge +25.0%
X
3.55▲
Implied 27%
Edge -6.6%
2 — Crvena zvezda
2.46▼
Implied 38%
Edge -18.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Open Flashscore
Team 1 Form
Lugano
12 Sept
Lugano vs Young Boys
2-2D
06 Sept
Basel vs Lugano
1-3W
03 Sept
Lugano vs Servette
1-0W
30 Aug
Sion vs Lugano
1-2W
27 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Lugano
1-1D
20 Aug
Lugano vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
2-1W
16 Aug
Vedeggio vs Lugano
1-10W
13 Aug
Nsi Runavik vs Lugano
2-2D
09 Aug
Lugano vs Zurich
5-0W
06 Aug
Lugano vs Nsi Runavik
2-0W
Team 2 Form
Crvena Zvezda
13 Sept
Imt Novi Beograd vs Crvena Zvezda
0-1W
10 Sept
Radnik vs Crvena Zvezda
0-0D
06 Sept
Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan
2-1W
30 Aug
Zemun vs Crvena Zvezda
0-2W
27 Aug
Plzen vs Crvena Zvezda
5-1L
23 Aug
Crvena Zvezda vs Cukaricki
4-0W
20 Aug
Crvena Zvezda vs Plzen
3-0W
11 Aug
Crvena Zvezda vs h. Beer Sheva
0-2L
08 Aug
Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar
2-0W
04 Aug
h. Beer Sheva vs Crvena Zvezda
1-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
No rows.
Full Match Object
{
  "league": "Conference League",
  "country": "Europe",
  "match": "Lugano vs Crvena zvezda",
  "date": "2026-10-15",
  "time": "19:45",
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Lugano",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Lugano",
        "away": "Young Boys",
        "score": "2-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Basel",
        "away": "Lugano",
        "score": "1-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "03.09.26",
        "home": "Lugano",
        "away": "Servette",
        "score": "1-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "30.08.26",
        "home": "Sion",
        "away": "Lugano",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "27.08.26",
        "home": "Maccabi Tel Aviv",
        "away": "Lugano",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "20.08.26",
        "home": "Lugano",
        "away": "Maccabi Tel Aviv",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "16.08.26",
        "home": "Vedeggio",
        "away": "Lugano",
        "score": "1-10"
      },
      {
        "date": "13.08.26",
        "home": "NSI Runavik",
        "away": "Lugano",
        "score": "2-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "09.08.26",
        "home": "Lugano",
        "away": "Zurich",
        "score": "5-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "06.08.26",
        "home": "Lugano",
        "away": "NSI Runavik",
        "score": "2-0"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 24,
      "points": 0,
      "goal_diff": 0,
      "played": 0,
      "wins": 0,
      "draws": 0,
      "losses": 0,
      "goals": "0:0",
      "form": [
        "?"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 10,
        "scored_2plus": 8,
        "conceded_1plus": 7,
        "conceded_2plus": 2,
        "clean_sheets": 3,
        "failed_to_score": 0,
        "over_1_5": 9,
        "over_2_5": 7,
        "btts": 7,
        "total_scored": 30,
        "total_conceded": 9,
        "avg_scored": 3,
        "avg_conceded": 0.9
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 5,
        "scored_2plus": 4,
        "conceded_1plus": 2,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 3,
        "failed_to_score": 0,
        "over_1_5": 4,
        "over_2_5": 3,
        "btts": 2,
        "total_scored": 12,
        "total_conceded": 3,
        "avg_scored": 2.4,
        "avg_conceded": 0.6
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 5,
        "scored_2plus": 4,
        "conceded_1plus": 5,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 0,
        "over_1_5": 5,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 5,
        "total_scored": 18,
        "total_conceded": 6,
        "avg_scored": 3.6,
        "avg_conceded": 1.2
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 2.6,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 0.933,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        2,
        1
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        2,
        0
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        3,
        2,
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        1,
        1,
        1
      ]
    }
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Crvena zvezda",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "IMT Novi Beograd",
        "away": "Crvena zvezda",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Radnik",
        "away": "Crvena zvezda",
        "score": "0-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Crvena zvezda",
        "away": "Partizan",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "30.08.26",
        "home": "Zemun",
        "away": "Crvena zvezda",
        "score": "0-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "27.08.26",
        "home": "Plzen",
        "away": "Crvena zvezda",
        "score": "5-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "23.08.26",
        "home": "Crvena zvezda",
        "away": "Cukaricki",
        "score": "4-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "20.08.26",
        "home": "Crvena zvezda",
        "away": "Plzen",
        "score": "3-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "11.08.26",
        "home": "Crvena zvezda",
        "away": "H. Beer Sheva",
        "score": "0-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "08.08.26",
        "home": "Crvena zvezda",
        "away": "Novi Pazar",
        "score": "2-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "04.08.26",
        "home": "H. Beer Sheva",
        "away": "Crvena zvezda",
        "score": "1-0"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 25,
      "points": 0,
      "goal_diff": 0,
      "played": 0,
      "wins": 0,
      "draws": 0,
      "losses": 0,
      "goals": "0:0",
      "form": [
        "?"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 7,
        "scored_2plus": 5,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 2,
        "clean_sheets": 6,
        "failed_to_score": 3,
        "over_1_5": 7,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 2,
        "total_scored": 15,
        "total_conceded": 9,
        "avg_scored": 1.5,
        "avg_conceded": 0.9
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 4,
        "scored_2plus": 4,
        "conceded_1plus": 2,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 3,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 5,
        "over_2_5": 3,
        "btts": 1,
        "total_scored": 11,
        "total_conceded": 3,
        "avg_scored": 2.2,
        "avg_conceded": 0.6
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 3,
        "scored_2plus": 1,
        "conceded_1plus": 2,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 3,
        "failed_to_score": 2,
        "over_1_5": 2,
        "over_2_5": 1,
        "btts": 1,
        "total_scored": 4,
        "total_conceded": 6,
        "avg_scored": 0.8,
        "avg_conceded": 1.2
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 1.4,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 1,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        2
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        1,
        0,
        2,
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        0,
        0,
        0,
        5
      ]
    }
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": []
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": {
        "value": 2.7,
        "indicator": "up",
        "implied_pct": 35,
        "edge_pct": 25
      },
      "draw": {
        "value": 3.55,
        "indicator": "up",
        "implied_pct": 27,
        "edge_pct": -6.6
      },
      "away": {
        "value": 2.46,
        "indicator": "down",
        "implied_pct": 38,
        "edge_pct": -18.4
      },
      "vig_pct": 5.9
    },
    "scraped_at": "2026-09-15T21:11:06.134965+00:00"
  },
  "model": {
    "expected_goals": {
      "team_1": 1.86,
      "team_2": 0.96
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 60,
      "draw": 20,
      "team_2": 20
    },
    "over_2_5_probability": 54,
    "btts_probability": 46,
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
    "_model_debug": {
      "rank_adj": [
        0.025,
        -0.025
      ],
      "h2h_considered": 0,
      "over25_poisson": 54,
      "over25_empirical": 55,
      "btts_poisson": 52,
      "btts_empirical": 37
    }
  },
  "enrichment_status": "complete"
}
Team 1
{
  "name": "Lugano",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "12.09.26",
      "home": "Lugano",
      "away": "Young Boys",
      "score": "2-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "06.09.26",
      "home": "Basel",
      "away": "Lugano",
      "score": "1-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "03.09.26",
      "home": "Lugano",
      "away": "Servette",
      "score": "1-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "30.08.26",
      "home": "Sion",
      "away": "Lugano",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "27.08.26",
      "home": "Maccabi Tel Aviv",
      "away": "Lugano",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "20.08.26",
      "home": "Lugano",
      "away": "Maccabi Tel Aviv",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "16.08.26",
      "home": "Vedeggio",
      "away": "Lugano",
      "score": "1-10"
    },
    {
      "date": "13.08.26",
      "home": "NSI Runavik",
      "away": "Lugano",
      "score": "2-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "09.08.26",
      "home": "Lugano",
      "away": "Zurich",
      "score": "5-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "06.08.26",
      "home": "Lugano",
      "away": "NSI Runavik",
      "score": "2-0"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 24,
    "points": 0,
    "goal_diff": 0,
    "played": 0,
    "wins": 0,
    "draws": 0,
    "losses": 0,
    "goals": "0:0",
    "form": [
      "?"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 10,
      "scored_2plus": 8,
      "conceded_1plus": 7,
      "conceded_2plus": 2,
      "clean_sheets": 3,
      "failed_to_score": 0,
      "over_1_5": 9,
      "over_2_5": 7,
      "btts": 7,
      "total_scored": 30,
      "total_conceded": 9,
      "avg_scored": 3,
      "avg_conceded": 0.9
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 5,
      "scored_2plus": 4,
      "conceded_1plus": 2,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 3,
      "failed_to_score": 0,
      "over_1_5": 4,
      "over_2_5": 3,
      "btts": 2,
      "total_scored": 12,
      "total_conceded": 3,
      "avg_scored": 2.4,
      "avg_conceded": 0.6
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 5,
      "scored_2plus": 4,
      "conceded_1plus": 5,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 0,
      "over_1_5": 5,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 5,
      "total_scored": 18,
      "total_conceded": 6,
      "avg_scored": 3.6,
      "avg_conceded": 1.2
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 2.6,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 0.933,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      2,
      1
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      2,
      0
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      3,
      2,
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      1,
      1,
      1
    ]
  }
}
Team 2
{
  "name": "Crvena zvezda",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "13.09.26",
      "home": "IMT Novi Beograd",
      "away": "Crvena zvezda",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "10.09.26",
      "home": "Radnik",
      "away": "Crvena zvezda",
      "score": "0-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "06.09.26",
      "home": "Crvena zvezda",
      "away": "Partizan",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "30.08.26",
      "home": "Zemun",
      "away": "Crvena zvezda",
      "score": "0-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "27.08.26",
      "home": "Plzen",
      "away": "Crvena zvezda",
      "score": "5-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "23.08.26",
      "home": "Crvena zvezda",
      "away": "Cukaricki",
      "score": "4-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "20.08.26",
      "home": "Crvena zvezda",
      "away": "Plzen",
      "score": "3-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "11.08.26",
      "home": "Crvena zvezda",
      "away": "H. Beer Sheva",
      "score": "0-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "08.08.26",
      "home": "Crvena zvezda",
      "away": "Novi Pazar",
      "score": "2-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "04.08.26",
      "home": "H. Beer Sheva",
      "away": "Crvena zvezda",
      "score": "1-0"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 25,
    "points": 0,
    "goal_diff": 0,
    "played": 0,
    "wins": 0,
    "draws": 0,
    "losses": 0,
    "goals": "0:0",
    "form": [
      "?"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 7,
      "scored_2plus": 5,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 2,
      "clean_sheets": 6,
      "failed_to_score": 3,
      "over_1_5": 7,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 2,
      "total_scored": 15,
      "total_conceded": 9,
      "avg_scored": 1.5,
      "avg_conceded": 0.9
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 4,
      "scored_2plus": 4,
      "conceded_1plus": 2,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 3,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 5,
      "over_2_5": 3,
      "btts": 1,
      "total_scored": 11,
      "total_conceded": 3,
      "avg_scored": 2.2,
      "avg_conceded": 0.6
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 3,
      "scored_2plus": 1,
      "conceded_1plus": 2,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 3,
      "failed_to_score": 2,
      "over_1_5": 2,
      "over_2_5": 1,
      "btts": 1,
      "total_scored": 4,
      "total_conceded": 6,
      "avg_scored": 0.8,
      "avg_conceded": 1.2
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 1.4,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 1,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      2
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      1,
      0,
      2,
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      0,
      0,
      0,
      5
    ]
  }
}
Head-to-Head
{
  "last_10_matches": []
}
Model
{
  "expected_goals": {
    "team_1": 1.86,
    "team_2": 0.96
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 60,
    "draw": 20,
    "team_2": 20
  },
  "over_2_5_probability": 54,
  "btts_probability": 46,
  "prediction_quality": "high",
  "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
  "_model_debug": {
    "rank_adj": [
      0.025,
      -0.025
    ],
    "h2h_considered": 0,
    "over25_poisson": 54,
    "over25_empirical": 55,
    "btts_poisson": 52,
    "btts_empirical": 37
  }
}
Odds
{
  "match_winner": {
    "home": {
      "value": 2.7,
      "indicator": "up",
      "implied_pct": 35,
      "edge_pct": 25
    },
    "draw": {
      "value": 3.55,
      "indicator": "up",
      "implied_pct": 27,
      "edge_pct": -6.6
    },
    "away": {
      "value": 2.46,
      "indicator": "down",
      "implied_pct": 38,
      "edge_pct": -18.4
    },
    "vig_pct": 5.9
  },
  "scraped_at": "2026-09-15T21:11:06.134965+00:00"
}

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