Football · Championship · England

QPR vs Derby

Wednesday, 14 October 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

QPR vs Derby in Championship (Football) on Wednesday, 14 October 2026. Model prediction: QPR 77% vs Derby 6%, draw 17%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

EnglandChampionship
QPRQpr(5)
Rank 5 · 12 pts
vs
DerbyDerby(4)
Rank 22 · 4 pts
Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 21:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 5-1-4
Qpr — Last 10
D3d
D6d
L10d
W13d
W17d
D24d
W31d
D38d
W45d
W46d
5W · 4D · 1L
Played10
GF/GA19/8
Avg For1.90
Avg Against0.80
Scored ≥17/10
Scored ≥25/10
Conceded ≥17/10
Conceded ≥21/10
Clean Sheets3/10
Failed To Score3/10
Over 1.57/10
Over 2.55/10
BTTS6/10
Derby — Last 10
L3d
L6d
L10d
W14d
L17d
D24d
L31d
L38d
D42d
L45d
1W · 2D · 7L
Played10
GF/GA8/17
Avg For0.80
Avg Against1.70
Scored ≥16/10
Scored ≥22/10
Conceded ≥19/10
Conceded ≥26/10
Clean Sheets1/10
Failed To Score4/10
Over 1.58/10
Over 2.56/10
BTTS5/10
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Qpr: 1.92
Expected Goals
Derby: 0.32
Qpr
77%
Draw
17%
Derby
6%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 35%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Team 1 Form
Qpr
12 Sept
West Brom vs Qpr
1-1D
09 Sept
Charlton vs Qpr
0-0D
05 Sept
Qpr vs Middlesbrough
0-1L
02 Sept
Qpr vs Cardiff
2-1W
29 Aug
Blackburn vs Qpr
1-2W
22 Aug
Qpr vs Bolton
0-0D
15 Aug
Portsmouth vs Qpr
1-3W
08 Aug
Qpr vs Millwall
1-1D
01 Aug
Afc Wimbledon vs Qpr
2-3W
31 Jul
Bromley vs Qpr
0-7W
Team 2 Form
Derby
12 Sept
Derby vs Birmingham
1-2L
09 Sept
Derby vs West Brom
0-1L
05 Sept
West Ham vs Derby
3-0L
01 Sept
Portsmouth vs Derby
0-2W
29 Aug
Derby vs Swansea
0-3L
22 Aug
Derby vs Cardiff
2-2D
15 Aug
Charlton vs Derby
2-1L
08 Aug
Derby vs Lincoln
1-2L
04 Aug
Rotherham vs Derby
1-1D
01 Aug
Burton vs Derby
1-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
25 Apr
Qpr vs Derby
2-3
25 Oct
Derby vs Qpr
1-0
14 Feb
Qpr vs Derby
4-0
05 Oct
Derby vs Qpr
2-0
18 Apr
Qpr vs Derby
1-0
29 Nov
Derby vs Qpr
1-2
23 Jan
Qpr vs Derby
0-1
04 Nov
Derby vs Qpr
0-1
25 Feb
Qpr vs Derby
2-1
30 Nov
Derby vs Qpr
1-1
Full Match Object
{
  "league": "Championship",
  "country": "England",
  "match": "QPR vs Derby",
  "date": "2026-10-14",
  "time": "21:45",
  "team_1": {
    "name": "QPR",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "West Brom",
        "away": "QPR",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Charlton",
        "away": "QPR",
        "score": "0-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "QPR",
        "away": "Middlesbrough",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "02.09.26",
        "home": "QPR",
        "away": "Cardiff",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "29.08.26",
        "home": "Blackburn",
        "away": "QPR",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "22.08.26",
        "home": "QPR",
        "away": "Bolton",
        "score": "0-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "15.08.26",
        "home": "Portsmouth",
        "away": "QPR",
        "score": "1-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "08.08.26",
        "home": "QPR",
        "away": "Millwall",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "01.08.26",
        "home": "AFC Wimbledon",
        "away": "QPR",
        "score": "2-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "31.07.26",
        "home": "Bromley",
        "away": "QPR",
        "score": "0-7"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 5,
      "points": 12,
      "goal_diff": 3,
      "played": 7,
      "wins": 3,
      "draws": 3,
      "losses": 1,
      "goals": "8:5",
      "form": [
        "?",
        "D",
        "D",
        "L",
        "W",
        "W"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 7,
        "scored_2plus": 5,
        "conceded_1plus": 7,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 3,
        "failed_to_score": 3,
        "over_1_5": 7,
        "over_2_5": 5,
        "btts": 6,
        "total_scored": 19,
        "total_conceded": 8,
        "avg_scored": 1.9,
        "avg_conceded": 0.8
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 4,
        "scored_1plus": 2,
        "scored_2plus": 1,
        "conceded_1plus": 3,
        "conceded_2plus": 0,
        "clean_sheets": 1,
        "failed_to_score": 2,
        "over_1_5": 2,
        "over_2_5": 1,
        "btts": 2,
        "total_scored": 3,
        "total_conceded": 3,
        "avg_scored": 0.75,
        "avg_conceded": 0.75
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 6,
        "scored_1plus": 5,
        "scored_2plus": 4,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 1,
        "clean_sheets": 2,
        "failed_to_score": 1,
        "over_1_5": 5,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 4,
        "total_scored": 16,
        "total_conceded": 5,
        "avg_scored": 2.67,
        "avg_conceded": 0.83
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 1.6,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 0.8,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        0,
        2
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        1,
        1
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        1,
        0,
        2
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        1,
        0,
        1
      ]
    }
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Derby",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Birmingham",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "West Brom",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "West Ham",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "3-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "01.09.26",
        "home": "Portsmouth",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "0-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "29.08.26",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Swansea",
        "score": "0-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "22.08.26",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Cardiff",
        "score": "2-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "15.08.26",
        "home": "Charlton",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "08.08.26",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "Lincoln",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "04.08.26",
        "home": "Rotherham",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "1-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "01.08.26",
        "home": "Burton",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "1-0"
      }
    ],
    "standing": {
      "rank": 22,
      "points": 4,
      "goal_diff": -7,
      "played": 7,
      "wins": 1,
      "draws": 1,
      "losses": 5,
      "goals": "6:13",
      "form": [
        "?",
        "L",
        "L",
        "L",
        "W",
        "L"
      ]
    },
    "metrics": {
      "overall_last10": {
        "played": 10,
        "scored_1plus": 6,
        "scored_2plus": 2,
        "conceded_1plus": 9,
        "conceded_2plus": 6,
        "clean_sheets": 1,
        "failed_to_score": 4,
        "over_1_5": 8,
        "over_2_5": 6,
        "btts": 5,
        "total_scored": 8,
        "total_conceded": 17,
        "avg_scored": 0.8,
        "avg_conceded": 1.7
      },
      "home_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 3,
        "scored_2plus": 1,
        "conceded_1plus": 5,
        "conceded_2plus": 4,
        "clean_sheets": 0,
        "failed_to_score": 2,
        "over_1_5": 4,
        "over_2_5": 4,
        "btts": 3,
        "total_scored": 4,
        "total_conceded": 10,
        "avg_scored": 0.8,
        "avg_conceded": 2
      },
      "away_last10": {
        "played": 5,
        "scored_1plus": 3,
        "scored_2plus": 1,
        "conceded_1plus": 4,
        "conceded_2plus": 2,
        "clean_sheets": 1,
        "failed_to_score": 2,
        "over_1_5": 4,
        "over_2_5": 2,
        "btts": 2,
        "total_scored": 4,
        "total_conceded": 7,
        "avg_scored": 0.8,
        "avg_conceded": 1.4
      },
      "weighted_avg_scored": 0.733,
      "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.733,
      "last5_home_scored": [
        1,
        0,
        0
      ],
      "last5_home_conc": [
        2,
        1,
        3
      ],
      "last5_away_scored": [
        0,
        2
      ],
      "last5_away_conc": [
        3,
        0
      ]
    }
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "25.04.26",
        "home": "QPR",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "2-3"
      },
      {
        "date": "25.10.25",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "QPR",
        "score": "1-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "14.02.25",
        "home": "QPR",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "4-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "05.10.24",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "QPR",
        "score": "2-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "18.04.22",
        "home": "QPR",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "1-0"
      },
      {
        "date": "29.11.21",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "QPR",
        "score": "1-2"
      },
      {
        "date": "23.01.21",
        "home": "QPR",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "04.11.20",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "QPR",
        "score": "0-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "25.02.20",
        "home": "QPR",
        "away": "Derby",
        "score": "2-1"
      },
      {
        "date": "30.11.19",
        "home": "Derby",
        "away": "QPR",
        "score": "1-1"
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "draw": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    },
    "scraped_at": "2026-09-14T21:02:46.222336+00:00"
  },
  "model": {
    "expected_goals": {
      "team_1": 1.92,
      "team_2": 0.32
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 77,
      "draw": 17,
      "team_2": 6
    },
    "over_2_5_probability": 46,
    "btts_probability": 35,
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
    "_model_debug": {
      "rank_adj": [
        0.457,
        -0.457
      ],
      "h2h_considered": 6,
      "over25_poisson": 39,
      "over25_empirical": 55,
      "btts_poisson": 23,
      "btts_empirical": 55
    }
  },
  "enrichment_status": "complete"
}
Team 1
{
  "name": "QPR",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "12.09.26",
      "home": "West Brom",
      "away": "QPR",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "09.09.26",
      "home": "Charlton",
      "away": "QPR",
      "score": "0-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.09.26",
      "home": "QPR",
      "away": "Middlesbrough",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "02.09.26",
      "home": "QPR",
      "away": "Cardiff",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "29.08.26",
      "home": "Blackburn",
      "away": "QPR",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "22.08.26",
      "home": "QPR",
      "away": "Bolton",
      "score": "0-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "15.08.26",
      "home": "Portsmouth",
      "away": "QPR",
      "score": "1-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "08.08.26",
      "home": "QPR",
      "away": "Millwall",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "01.08.26",
      "home": "AFC Wimbledon",
      "away": "QPR",
      "score": "2-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "31.07.26",
      "home": "Bromley",
      "away": "QPR",
      "score": "0-7"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 5,
    "points": 12,
    "goal_diff": 3,
    "played": 7,
    "wins": 3,
    "draws": 3,
    "losses": 1,
    "goals": "8:5",
    "form": [
      "?",
      "D",
      "D",
      "L",
      "W",
      "W"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 7,
      "scored_2plus": 5,
      "conceded_1plus": 7,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 3,
      "failed_to_score": 3,
      "over_1_5": 7,
      "over_2_5": 5,
      "btts": 6,
      "total_scored": 19,
      "total_conceded": 8,
      "avg_scored": 1.9,
      "avg_conceded": 0.8
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 4,
      "scored_1plus": 2,
      "scored_2plus": 1,
      "conceded_1plus": 3,
      "conceded_2plus": 0,
      "clean_sheets": 1,
      "failed_to_score": 2,
      "over_1_5": 2,
      "over_2_5": 1,
      "btts": 2,
      "total_scored": 3,
      "total_conceded": 3,
      "avg_scored": 0.75,
      "avg_conceded": 0.75
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 6,
      "scored_1plus": 5,
      "scored_2plus": 4,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 1,
      "clean_sheets": 2,
      "failed_to_score": 1,
      "over_1_5": 5,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 4,
      "total_scored": 16,
      "total_conceded": 5,
      "avg_scored": 2.67,
      "avg_conceded": 0.83
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 1.6,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 0.8,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      0,
      2
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      1,
      1
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      1,
      0,
      2
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      1,
      0,
      1
    ]
  }
}
Team 2
{
  "name": "Derby",
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "12.09.26",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Birmingham",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "09.09.26",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "West Brom",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.09.26",
      "home": "West Ham",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "3-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "01.09.26",
      "home": "Portsmouth",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "0-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "29.08.26",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Swansea",
      "score": "0-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "22.08.26",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Cardiff",
      "score": "2-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "15.08.26",
      "home": "Charlton",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "08.08.26",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "Lincoln",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "04.08.26",
      "home": "Rotherham",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "1-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "01.08.26",
      "home": "Burton",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "1-0"
    }
  ],
  "standing": {
    "rank": 22,
    "points": 4,
    "goal_diff": -7,
    "played": 7,
    "wins": 1,
    "draws": 1,
    "losses": 5,
    "goals": "6:13",
    "form": [
      "?",
      "L",
      "L",
      "L",
      "W",
      "L"
    ]
  },
  "metrics": {
    "overall_last10": {
      "played": 10,
      "scored_1plus": 6,
      "scored_2plus": 2,
      "conceded_1plus": 9,
      "conceded_2plus": 6,
      "clean_sheets": 1,
      "failed_to_score": 4,
      "over_1_5": 8,
      "over_2_5": 6,
      "btts": 5,
      "total_scored": 8,
      "total_conceded": 17,
      "avg_scored": 0.8,
      "avg_conceded": 1.7
    },
    "home_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 3,
      "scored_2plus": 1,
      "conceded_1plus": 5,
      "conceded_2plus": 4,
      "clean_sheets": 0,
      "failed_to_score": 2,
      "over_1_5": 4,
      "over_2_5": 4,
      "btts": 3,
      "total_scored": 4,
      "total_conceded": 10,
      "avg_scored": 0.8,
      "avg_conceded": 2
    },
    "away_last10": {
      "played": 5,
      "scored_1plus": 3,
      "scored_2plus": 1,
      "conceded_1plus": 4,
      "conceded_2plus": 2,
      "clean_sheets": 1,
      "failed_to_score": 2,
      "over_1_5": 4,
      "over_2_5": 2,
      "btts": 2,
      "total_scored": 4,
      "total_conceded": 7,
      "avg_scored": 0.8,
      "avg_conceded": 1.4
    },
    "weighted_avg_scored": 0.733,
    "weighted_avg_conceded": 1.733,
    "last5_home_scored": [
      1,
      0,
      0
    ],
    "last5_home_conc": [
      2,
      1,
      3
    ],
    "last5_away_scored": [
      0,
      2
    ],
    "last5_away_conc": [
      3,
      0
    ]
  }
}
Head-to-Head
{
  "last_10_matches": [
    {
      "date": "25.04.26",
      "home": "QPR",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "2-3"
    },
    {
      "date": "25.10.25",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "QPR",
      "score": "1-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "14.02.25",
      "home": "QPR",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "4-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "05.10.24",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "QPR",
      "score": "2-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "18.04.22",
      "home": "QPR",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "1-0"
    },
    {
      "date": "29.11.21",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "QPR",
      "score": "1-2"
    },
    {
      "date": "23.01.21",
      "home": "QPR",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "04.11.20",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "QPR",
      "score": "0-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "25.02.20",
      "home": "QPR",
      "away": "Derby",
      "score": "2-1"
    },
    {
      "date": "30.11.19",
      "home": "Derby",
      "away": "QPR",
      "score": "1-1"
    }
  ]
}
Model
{
  "expected_goals": {
    "team_1": 1.92,
    "team_2": 0.32
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 77,
    "draw": 17,
    "team_2": 6
  },
  "over_2_5_probability": 46,
  "btts_probability": 35,
  "prediction_quality": "high",
  "model_version": "v2-2026-04-football",
  "_model_debug": {
    "rank_adj": [
      0.457,
      -0.457
    ],
    "h2h_considered": 6,
    "over25_poisson": 39,
    "over25_empirical": 55,
    "btts_poisson": 23,
    "btts_empirical": 55
  }
}
Odds
{
  "match_winner": {
    "home": null,
    "draw": null,
    "away": null,
    "vig_pct": null
  },
  "scraped_at": "2026-09-14T21:02:46.222336+00:00"
}

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