Basketball · LNBP · Mexico
Freseros vs Soles
Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Freseros vs Soles in LNBP (Basketball) on Tuesday, 15 September 2026. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Mexico • LNBP
Freseros vs Soles
15 Sept • 05:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Soles
66%to win
by ~4.8 pts vs Freseros
Projected Total
172.6pts
83.9 – 88.7
no market line
Halftime Proj
87.9pts
40 – 47.9
model projection
Quarter Scores
projected| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frese… | 19.5 | 20.5 | 21.5 | 22.5 |
| Soles | 25.3 | 22.6 | 22.9 | 17.8 |
| Total | 44.8 | 43.1 | 44.4 | 40.3 |
from last 5+5 games
Freseros
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
PPG: 88.4 — Allowed: 89.4 — Pace: 177.8
Soles
Last 10: 8–2 (80%)
PPG: 88 — Allowed: 75.8 — Pace: 163.8
Freseros Form
Freseros
W2d
W3d
L14d
L15d
L19d
W20d
W24d
W25d
L28d
L29d
Q:24-2027-1316-2519-32
Q:18-1719-2619-1815-21
Q:13-2220-1515-1519-25
Q:25-2719-3227-1520-17OT 26-38
Q:26-2228-2111-2222-19
Soles Form
Soles
L1d
W2d
W14d
W15d
L19d
W20d
W23d
W24d
W28d
W29d
Q:21-1815-2522-1923-12
Q:24-2419-2216-2617-18
Q:26-2222-2621-2620-12
Q:36-1318-2430-1318-25
Q:20-2023-2017-1618-18
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Head-to-head summary
6 meetings — Freseros 2 / Soles 4. Average total: 166.7.
Freseros
3.9
Implied 23.2%
Edge +10.8%
Soles
1.18
Implied 76.8%
Edge -10.8%
Bookmaker vig: 10.39%
Model output
{
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 83.9,
"team_2": 88.7,
"total": 172.6
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 34,
"team_2": 66
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 88.4,
"avg_pa": 89.4,
"w_avg_pf": 87.8,
"w_avg_pa": 88.5,
"pace": 177.8,
"blowout_rate": 0
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_pf": 88,
"avg_pa": 75.8,
"w_avg_pf": 87.6,
"w_avg_pa": 76.4,
"pace": 163.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 6,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
"avg_total": 166.7
},
"confidence": 87,
"winner": {
"team": "Soles",
"probability": 66,
"margin_pts": 4.8,
"opponent": "Freseros",
"opponent_probability": 34
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 172.6,
"team_1_proj": 83.9,
"team_2_proj": 88.7,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 40,
"team_2": 47.9,
"total": 87.9,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
19.5,
20.5,
21.5,
22.5
],
"away": [
25.3,
22.6,
22.9,
17.8
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.8,
43.1,
44.4,
40.3
],
"halftime": {
"home": 40,
"away": 47.9,
"total": 87.9
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.232,
"q2": 0.244,
"q3": 0.256,
"q4": 0.268,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.285,
"q2": 0.255,
"q3": 0.258,
"q4": 0.201,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Soles to win",
"team": "Soles",
"win_prob": 66,
"confidence": 87,
"reason": "Projected margin ~5 pts; form 80% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 67% over last 6"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "basketball",
"league": "LNBP",
"country": "Mexico",
"match": "Freseros vs Soles",
"date": "2026-09-15",
"time": "05:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"quarters": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Freseros",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Lobos Plateados",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "86-90",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 176,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
27,
16,
19
],
"away": [
20,
13,
25,
32
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Lobos Plateados",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "71-82",
"home_points": 71,
"away_points": 82,
"total_points": 153,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
18,
19,
19,
15
],
"away": [
17,
26,
18,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "Astros",
"score": "67-77",
"home_points": 67,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 144,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
13,
20,
15,
19
],
"away": [
22,
15,
15,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "Astros",
"score": "117-129",
"home_points": 117,
"away_points": 129,
"total_points": 246,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
25,
19,
27,
20,
26
],
"away": [
27,
32,
15,
17,
38
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.08.26",
"home": "Gambusinos",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "87-84",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 171,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
28,
11,
22
],
"away": [
22,
21,
22,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.08.26",
"home": "Gambusinos",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "73-77",
"home_points": 73,
"away_points": 77,
"total_points": 150,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "80-76",
"home_points": 80,
"away_points": 76,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "20.08.26",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "93-89",
"home_points": 93,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 182,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.08.26",
"home": "Fuerza Regia",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "101-100",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 100,
"total_points": 201,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Fuerza Regia",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "105-94",
"home_points": 105,
"away_points": 94,
"total_points": 199,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Soles",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Astros",
"away": "Soles",
"score": "81-74",
"home_points": 81,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
21,
15,
22,
23
],
"away": [
18,
25,
19,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Astros",
"away": "Soles",
"score": "76-90",
"home_points": 76,
"away_points": 90,
"total_points": 166,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
19,
16,
17
],
"away": [
24,
22,
26,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "89-86",
"home_points": 89,
"away_points": 86,
"total_points": 175,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
26,
22,
21,
20
],
"away": [
22,
26,
26,
12
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "El Calor de Cancun",
"score": "102-75",
"home_points": 102,
"away_points": 75,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
36,
18,
30,
18
],
"away": [
13,
24,
13,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.08.26",
"home": "Correcaminos",
"away": "Soles",
"score": "78-74",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 74,
"total_points": 152,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
20,
23,
17,
18
],
"away": [
20,
20,
16,
18
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.08.26",
"home": "Correcaminos",
"away": "Soles",
"score": "74-100",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 100,
"total_points": 174,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "22.08.26",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "Mineros",
"score": "78-71",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 71,
"total_points": 149,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "21.08.26",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "Mineros",
"score": "84-68",
"home_points": 84,
"away_points": 68,
"total_points": 152,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "17.08.26",
"home": "Santos",
"away": "Soles",
"score": "74-105",
"home_points": 74,
"away_points": 105,
"total_points": 179,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Santos",
"away": "Soles",
"score": "75-84",
"home_points": 75,
"away_points": 84,
"total_points": 159,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "04.08.25",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "88-67",
"home_points": 88,
"away_points": 67,
"total_points": 155,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
31,
22,
19
],
"away": [
17,
18,
13,
19
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.08.25",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "78-56",
"home_points": 78,
"away_points": 56,
"total_points": 134,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
16,
31,
16,
15
],
"away": [
16,
11,
20,
9
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.08.24",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "Soles",
"score": "101-102",
"home_points": 101,
"away_points": 102,
"total_points": 203,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": {
"home": [
28,
20,
26,
27
],
"away": [
27,
30,
20,
25
]
}
},
{
"date": "24.08.24",
"home": "Freseros",
"away": "Soles",
"score": "94-83",
"home_points": 94,
"away_points": 83,
"total_points": 177,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
24,
32,
16,
22
],
"away": [
24,
21,
17,
21
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.09.23",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "87-69",
"home_points": 87,
"away_points": 69,
"total_points": 156,
"home_won": true,
"quarters": {
"home": [
27,
19,
19,
22
],
"away": [
19,
13,
15,
22
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.09.23",
"home": "Soles",
"away": "Freseros",
"score": "86-89",
"home_points": 86,
"away_points": 89,
"total_points": 175,
"home_won": false,
"quarters": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 3.9,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 23.2,
"edge_vs_model": 10.8
},
"away": {
"value": 1.18,
"indicator": null,
"implied_pct": 76.8,
"edge_vs_model": -10.8
},
"vig_pct": 10.39
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_points": {
"team_1": 83.9,
"team_2": 88.7,
"total": 172.6
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 34,
"team_2": 66
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_pf": 88.4,
"avg_pa": 89.4,
"w_avg_pf": 87.8,
"w_avg_pa": 88.5,
"pace": 177.8,
"blowout_rate": 0
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_pf": 88,
"avg_pa": 75.8,
"w_avg_pf": 87.6,
"w_avg_pa": 76.4,
"pace": 163.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 6,
"t1_wins": 2,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3333333333333333,
"avg_total": 166.7
},
"confidence": 87,
"winner": {
"team": "Soles",
"probability": 66,
"margin_pts": 4.8,
"opponent": "Freseros",
"opponent_probability": 34
},
"total_points": {
"projected_total": 172.6,
"team_1_proj": 83.9,
"team_2_proj": 88.7,
"market": null
},
"halftime": {
"team_1": 40,
"team_2": 47.9,
"total": 87.9,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"quarter_scores": null,
"quarter_prediction": {
"home": [
19.5,
20.5,
21.5,
22.5
],
"away": [
25.3,
22.6,
22.9,
17.8
],
"per_quarter_total": [
44.8,
43.1,
44.4,
40.3
],
"halftime": {
"home": 40,
"away": 47.9,
"total": 87.9
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"q1": 0.232,
"q2": 0.244,
"q3": 0.256,
"q4": 0.268,
"samples": 5
},
"t2_fractions": {
"q1": 0.285,
"q2": 0.255,
"q3": 0.258,
"q4": 0.201,
"samples": 5
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Soles to win",
"team": "Soles",
"win_prob": 66,
"confidence": 87,
"reason": "Projected margin ~5 pts; form 80% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 67% over last 6"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v2-2026-05-basketball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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