Baseball · MLB · Usa
Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox in MLB (Baseball) on Sunday, 20 September 2026. Model prediction: Tampa Bay Rays 55% vs Boston Red Sox 45%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Tampa Bay Raysvs
Boston Red Sox20 Sept • 20:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Tampa Bay Rays
55%to win
by ~0.8 runs vs Boston Red Sox
Projected Total
7.75runs
4.27 – 3.48
no market line
First 5 (F5)
3.55runs
1.71 – 1.84
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 |
| Boston Red Sox | 0.2 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Tot | 0.7 | 0.1 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.1 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.2 |
from last 5+5 games
Tampa Bay Rays
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 5.4 — Allowed: 3.6 — Run env: 9
Boston Red Sox
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 3.6 — Allowed: 2.5 — Run env: 6.1
Tampa Bay Rays Form
Tampa Bay Rays
W2d
W2d
W3d
L5d
W5d
W6d
L9d
W9d
W10d
L11d
By inning:0-30-00-40-20-22-00-32-00-—
By inning:1-00-00-00-00-21-00-10-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-10-00-00-00-2
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-31-—
By inning:0-03-00-03-10-00-11-00-00-0
Boston Red Sox Form
Boston Red Sox
W2d
W3d
L3d
L5d
L6d
W8d
W9d
W9d
W10d
W11d
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-00-01-10-20-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-10-01-20-10-10-—
By inning:1-00-02-00-00-20-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-05-01-00-20-10-00-00-1
By inning:0-01-02-00-01-00-00-10-02-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-01-10-30-00-20-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-02-20-13-00-00-01-40-00-—
By inning:2-30-01-10-10-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-20-00-10-00-60-10-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-10-00-30-10-04-21-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Tampa Bay Rays 5 / Boston Red Sox 5. Average total: 8.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.27,
"team_2": 3.48,
"total": 7.75
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 55,
"team_2": 45
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 5.4,
"avg_ra": 3.6,
"w_avg_rf": 5.62,
"w_avg_ra": 3.37,
"run_rate": 9,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 3.6,
"avg_ra": 2.5,
"w_avg_rf": 3.58,
"w_avg_ra": 2.52,
"run_rate": 6.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 8
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"probability": 55,
"margin_runs": 0.8,
"opponent": "Boston Red Sox",
"opponent_probability": 45
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.75,
"team_1_proj": 4.27,
"team_2_proj": 3.48,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.71,
"team_2": 1.84,
"total": 3.55,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.43,
0,
0,
1.28,
0,
1.28,
0,
1.28,
0
],
"away": [
0.23,
0.11,
1.28,
0.11,
0.11,
0.7,
0.7,
0,
0.23
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.66,
0.11,
1.28,
1.39,
0.11,
1.98,
0.7,
1.28,
0.23
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.71,
"away": 1.84,
"total": 3.55
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.1,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.3,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.3,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.3,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.067,
"i2": 0.033,
"i3": 0.367,
"i4": 0.033,
"i5": 0.033,
"i6": 0.2,
"i7": 0.2,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.067
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Boston Red Sox +ML",
"team": "Boston Red Sox",
"win_prob": 45,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Boston Red Sox has a live shot (45%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox",
"date": "2026-09-20",
"time": "20:40",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "14-4",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
2,
0
],
"away": [
3,
0,
4,
2,
2,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
3,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Texas Rangers",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Texas Rangers",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Texas Rangers",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Texas Rangers",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "6-0",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Boston Red Sox",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "5-1",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Los Angeles Angels",
"score": "4-6",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
5,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Los Angeles Angels",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Los Angeles Angels",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Baltimore Orioles",
"away": "Boston Red Sox",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Baltimore Orioles",
"away": "Boston Red Sox",
"score": "0-5",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Baltimore Orioles",
"away": "Boston Red Sox",
"score": "0-1",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Baltimore Orioles",
"away": "Boston Red Sox",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "19.07.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
3,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.07.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
3,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.07.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
3,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.07.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "10-0",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
6,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.06.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Boston Red Sox",
"score": "7-5",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
3,
1,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.06.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Boston Red Sox",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.06.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Boston Red Sox",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "10.05.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.05.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.05.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.27,
"team_2": 3.48,
"total": 7.75
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 55,
"team_2": 45
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 5.4,
"avg_ra": 3.6,
"w_avg_rf": 5.62,
"w_avg_ra": 3.37,
"run_rate": 9,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 3.6,
"avg_ra": 2.5,
"w_avg_rf": 3.58,
"w_avg_ra": 2.52,
"run_rate": 6.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 8
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"probability": 55,
"margin_runs": 0.8,
"opponent": "Boston Red Sox",
"opponent_probability": 45
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.75,
"team_1_proj": 4.27,
"team_2_proj": 3.48,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.71,
"team_2": 1.84,
"total": 3.55,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.43,
0,
0,
1.28,
0,
1.28,
0,
1.28,
0
],
"away": [
0.23,
0.11,
1.28,
0.11,
0.11,
0.7,
0.7,
0,
0.23
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.66,
0.11,
1.28,
1.39,
0.11,
1.98,
0.7,
1.28,
0.23
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.71,
"away": 1.84,
"total": 3.55
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.1,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.3,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.3,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.3,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.067,
"i2": 0.033,
"i3": 0.367,
"i4": 0.033,
"i5": 0.033,
"i6": 0.2,
"i7": 0.2,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.067
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Boston Red Sox +ML",
"team": "Boston Red Sox",
"win_prob": 45,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Boston Red Sox has a live shot (45%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 55,
"team_2": 45
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.27,
"team_2": 3.48,
"total": 7.75
},
"predicted_winner": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Baseball board.