Baseball · NPB · Japan
Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons
Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons in NPB (Baseball) on Tuesday, 22 September 2026. Model prediction: Yokohama BayStars 64% vs Chunichi Dragons 36%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Yokohama BayStarsvs
Chunichi Dragons22 Sept • 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Yokohama BayStars
64%to win
by ~2.25 runs vs Chunichi Drag…
Projected Total
7.23runs
4.74 – 2.49
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.13runs
1.97 – 2.16
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama BayStars | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Chunichi Dragons | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Tot | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
from last 4+3 games
Yokohama BayStars
Last 10: 9–1 (90%)
RPG: 6 — Allowed: 1.7 — Run env: 7.7
Chunichi Dragons
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
RPG: 3.4 — Allowed: 2.7 — Run env: 6.1
Yokohama BayStars Form
Yokohama BayStars
W0d
W1d
W2d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W6d
L7d
W9d
W10d
By inning:1-40-50-11-00-00-00-10-20-—
By inning:0-10-10-00-02-01-00-10-00-0
By inning:0-40-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-01-03-00-00-00-00-00-23-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-03-03-0
Chunichi Dragons Form
Chunichi Dragons
W0d
W1d
W2d
L3d
L5d
L6d
W7d
W10d
W11d
L12d
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-12-01-00-00-0
By inning:2-00-00-00-02-00-00-00-02-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-43-00-03-00-00-00-10-00-0
By inning:0-01-10-22-00-00-00-00-20-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-10-11-00-02-00-00-00-00-2
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-01-00-00-40-—
By inning:1-10-00-01-00-02-01-00-00-0
By inning:0-10-01-01-01-01-00-00-02-2
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Yokohama BayStars 6 / Chunichi Dragons 4. Average total: 5.9.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.74,
"team_2": 2.49,
"total": 7.23
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 64,
"team_2": 36
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 6,
"avg_ra": 1.7,
"w_avg_rf": 6.33,
"w_avg_ra": 1.7,
"run_rate": 7.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 3.4,
"avg_ra": 2.7,
"w_avg_rf": 3.48,
"w_avg_ra": 2.55,
"run_rate": 6.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 5.9
},
"confidence": 85,
"winner": {
"team": "Yokohama BayStars",
"probability": 64,
"margin_runs": 2.25,
"opponent": "Chunichi Dragons",
"opponent_probability": 36
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.23,
"team_1_proj": 4.74,
"team_2_proj": 2.49,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.97,
"team_2": 2.16,
"total": 4.13,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.59,
0,
0,
0.59,
0.79,
1.58,
0,
1.18,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0.58,
0.33,
0.42,
0.83,
0,
0,
0.33,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.59,
0.58,
0.33,
1.01,
1.62,
1.58,
0,
1.51,
0
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.97,
"away": 2.16,
"total": 4.13
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 3,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.125,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.125,
"i5": 0.167,
"i6": 0.333,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.25,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.233,
"i3": 0.133,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.333,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.133,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Yokohama BayStars to win",
"team": "Yokohama BayStars",
"win_prob": 64,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.2 runs; form 90% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Chunichi Dragons +ML",
"team": "Chunichi Dragons",
"win_prob": 36,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Chunichi Dragons has a live shot (36%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons",
"date": "2026-09-22",
"time": "12:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Yokohama BayStars",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "13-2",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
5,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "5-0",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "8-1",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "9-2",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Chunichi Dragons",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "0-6",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "0-1",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "5-1",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "1-1",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "4-2",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
4
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.08.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.08.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.08.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "26.07.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "5-1",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "25.07.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "0-5",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "24.07.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.07.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": null,
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.74,
"team_2": 2.49,
"total": 7.23
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 64,
"team_2": 36
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 6,
"avg_ra": 1.7,
"w_avg_rf": 6.33,
"w_avg_ra": 1.7,
"run_rate": 7.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 3.4,
"avg_ra": 2.7,
"w_avg_rf": 3.48,
"w_avg_ra": 2.55,
"run_rate": 6.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 5.9
},
"confidence": 85,
"winner": {
"team": "Yokohama BayStars",
"probability": 64,
"margin_runs": 2.25,
"opponent": "Chunichi Dragons",
"opponent_probability": 36
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.23,
"team_1_proj": 4.74,
"team_2_proj": 2.49,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.97,
"team_2": 2.16,
"total": 4.13,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.59,
0,
0,
0.59,
0.79,
1.58,
0,
1.18,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0.58,
0.33,
0.42,
0.83,
0,
0,
0.33,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.59,
0.58,
0.33,
1.01,
1.62,
1.58,
0,
1.51,
0
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.97,
"away": 2.16,
"total": 4.13
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 3,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.125,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.125,
"i5": 0.167,
"i6": 0.333,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.25,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.233,
"i3": 0.133,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.333,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.133,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Yokohama BayStars to win",
"team": "Yokohama BayStars",
"win_prob": 64,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.2 runs; form 90% vs 50% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Chunichi Dragons +ML",
"team": "Chunichi Dragons",
"win_prob": 36,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Chunichi Dragons has a live shot (36%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 64,
"team_2": 36
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.74,
"team_2": 2.49,
"total": 7.23
},
"predicted_winner": "Yokohama BayStars",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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