Baseball · MLB · Usa
Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Model prediction: Minnesota Twins 37% vs New York Yankees 63%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Minnesota Twinsvs
New York Yankees16 Sept • 02:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
New York Yankees
63%to win
by ~2.06 runs vs Minnesota Twi…
Projected Total
8.78runs
3.36 – 5.42
no market line
First 5 (F5)
2.89runs
1.54 – 1.35
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Twins | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| New York Yankees | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 |
| Tot | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
from last 5+4 games
Minnesota Twins
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 2.8 — Allowed: 5.7 — Run env: 8.5
New York Yankees
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 4.9 — Allowed: 3.4 — Run env: 8.3
Minnesota Twins Form
Minnesota Twins
L0d
L2d
W3d
L3d
L6d
W6d
L8d
L8d
W9d
L10d
By inning:0-00-01-00-00-00-20-06-11-0
By inning:1-00-01-12-00-02-00-10-03-0
By inning:0-01-00-40-02-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-00-02-10-03-0
By inning:0-20-00-32-00-00-00-10-10-—
New York Yankees Form
New York Yankees
W0d
W2d
L3d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W6d
L9d
W9d
L10d
By inning:0-00-01-00-00-00-20-06-11-0
By inning:0-10-00-10-00-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:1-02-01-00-11-00-11-05-01-0
By inning:0-11-30-00-00-10-01-01-11-—
By inning:0-21-20-00-00-00-01-61-00-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-01-00-00-00-20-06-11-0
By inning:1-00-00-01-02-02-00-00-00-1
By inning:3-02-00-01-10-30-01-04-00-0
By inning:1-10-00-21-00-00-00-20-00-—
By inning:0-01-01-02-05-06-00-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Minnesota Twins 5 / New York Yankees 5. Average total: 12.3.
Minnesota Twins
2.44
Implied 39%
Edge -2%
New York Yankees
1.56
Implied 61%
Edge +2%
Bookmaker vig: 5.09%
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.36,
"team_2": 5.42,
"total": 8.78
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 37,
"team_2": 63
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 2.8,
"avg_ra": 5.7,
"w_avg_rf": 2.79,
"w_avg_ra": 5.83,
"run_rate": 8.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 4.9,
"avg_ra": 3.4,
"w_avg_rf": 5.01,
"w_avg_ra": 3.52,
"run_rate": 8.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 12.3
},
"confidence": 85,
"winner": {
"team": "New York Yankees",
"probability": 63,
"margin_runs": 2.06,
"opponent": "Minnesota Twins",
"opponent_probability": 37
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.78,
"team_1_proj": 3.36,
"team_2_proj": 5.42,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.54,
"team_2": 1.35,
"total": 2.89,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.27,
0.22,
0.45,
0.15,
0.45,
0.15,
0.37,
0.6,
0.71
],
"away": [
0.11,
1.02,
0.11,
0,
0.11,
0.91,
0.91,
1.8,
0.45
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.38,
1.24,
0.56,
0.15,
0.56,
1.06,
1.28,
2.4,
1.16
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.54,
"away": 1.35,
"total": 2.89
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.079,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.133,
"i4": 0.044,
"i5": 0.133,
"i6": 0.044,
"i7": 0.109,
"i8": 0.179,
"i9": 0.212
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.021,
"i2": 0.188,
"i3": 0.021,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.021,
"i6": 0.167,
"i7": 0.167,
"i8": 0.333,
"i9": 0.083
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "New York Yankees to win",
"team": "New York Yankees",
"win_prob": 63,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.1 runs; form 70% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Minnesota Twins +ML",
"team": "Minnesota Twins",
"win_prob": 37,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Minnesota Twins has a live shot (37%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees",
"date": "2026-09-16",
"time": "02:40",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Minnesota Twins",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "3-8",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
6,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "Cleveland Guardians",
"score": "2-9",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
1,
2,
0,
2,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "Cleveland Guardians",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "Cleveland Guardians",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "7-2",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "10-1",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "4-6",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "New York Yankees",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "3-8",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
6,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "2-12",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
1,
0,
1,
0,
1,
5,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
1
],
"away": [
1,
3,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "10-3",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0
],
"away": [
2,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
6,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "3-8",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
6,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.07.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
2,
2,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.07.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "4-11",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 11,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
4,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.07.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.03.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "0-15",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 15,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
1,
2,
5,
6,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.02.26",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "5-17",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 17,
"total_points": 22,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "18.09.25",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "5-10",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "17.09.25",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "9-10",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 19,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "16.09.25",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "7-0",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "14.08.25",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 2.44,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 39,
"edge_vs_model": -2
},
"away": {
"value": 1.56,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 61,
"edge_vs_model": 2
},
"vig_pct": 5.09
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.36,
"team_2": 5.42,
"total": 8.78
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 37,
"team_2": 63
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 2.8,
"avg_ra": 5.7,
"w_avg_rf": 2.79,
"w_avg_ra": 5.83,
"run_rate": 8.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 4.9,
"avg_ra": 3.4,
"w_avg_rf": 5.01,
"w_avg_ra": 3.52,
"run_rate": 8.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 12.3
},
"confidence": 85,
"winner": {
"team": "New York Yankees",
"probability": 63,
"margin_runs": 2.06,
"opponent": "Minnesota Twins",
"opponent_probability": 37
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.78,
"team_1_proj": 3.36,
"team_2_proj": 5.42,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.54,
"team_2": 1.35,
"total": 2.89,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.27,
0.22,
0.45,
0.15,
0.45,
0.15,
0.37,
0.6,
0.71
],
"away": [
0.11,
1.02,
0.11,
0,
0.11,
0.91,
0.91,
1.8,
0.45
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.38,
1.24,
0.56,
0.15,
0.56,
1.06,
1.28,
2.4,
1.16
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.54,
"away": 1.35,
"total": 2.89
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.079,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.133,
"i4": 0.044,
"i5": 0.133,
"i6": 0.044,
"i7": 0.109,
"i8": 0.179,
"i9": 0.212
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.021,
"i2": 0.188,
"i3": 0.021,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.021,
"i6": 0.167,
"i7": 0.167,
"i8": 0.333,
"i9": 0.083
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "New York Yankees to win",
"team": "New York Yankees",
"win_prob": 63,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.1 runs; form 70% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 50% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Minnesota Twins +ML",
"team": "Minnesota Twins",
"win_prob": 37,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Minnesota Twins has a live shot (37%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 37,
"team_2": 63
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.36,
"team_2": 5.42,
"total": 8.78
},
"predicted_winner": "New York Yankees",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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