Baseball · MLB · Usa
San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins in MLB (Baseball) on Sunday, 20 September 2026. Model prediction: San Diego Padres 59% vs Miami Marlins 41%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
San Diego Padresvs
Miami Marlins20 Sept • 03:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
San Diego Padres
59%to win
by ~1.53 runs vs Miami Marlins
Projected Total
11.44runs
6.49 – 4.95
no market line
First 5 (F5)
7.18runs
4.59 – 2.59
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego Padres | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Miami Marlins | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Tot | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 |
from last 5+5 games
San Diego Padres
Last 10: 9–1 (90%)
RPG: 5.3 — Allowed: 4 — Run env: 9.3
Miami Marlins
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 5.8 — Allowed: 6.7 — Run env: 12.5
San Diego Padres Form
San Diego Padres
W0d
W1d
W3d
W3d
W6d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L9d
W10d
By inning:1-14-01-00-00-10-31-11-10-0
By inning:2-03-20-01-00-10-10-00-00-0
By inning:0-22-11-01-01-01-01-00-30-0
By inning:0-12-05-00-00-40-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-02-30-20-20-00-10-10-—
Miami Marlins Form
Miami Marlins
L0d
W2d
W3d
L3d
L5d
L6d
L8d
W9d
L10d
L10d
By inning:0-03-00-32-00-10-02-00-20-2
By inning:0-00-00-03-00-00-00-00-21-4
By inning:2-00-30-00-00-10-00-00-01-—
By inning:0-00-01-00-00-01-14-00-10-0
By inning:0-06-02-00-30-00-56-11-20-3
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-20-10-01-00-00-04-00-0
By inning:0-00-02-10-00-00-01-03-11-0
By inning:0-00-10-01-01-10-00-02-00-0
By inning:0-10-00-01-00-20-00-01-00-—
By inning:0-20-01-00-00-00-10-00-12-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — San Diego Padres 6 / Miami Marlins 4. Average total: 9.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 6.49,
"team_2": 4.95,
"total": 11.44
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 59,
"team_2": 41
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 5.3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 5.66,
"w_avg_ra": 4.19,
"run_rate": 9.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 5.8,
"avg_ra": 6.7,
"w_avg_rf": 5.91,
"w_avg_ra": 6.71,
"run_rate": 12.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 9
},
"confidence": 82,
"winner": {
"team": "San Diego Padres",
"probability": 59,
"margin_runs": 1.53,
"opponent": "Miami Marlins",
"opponent_probability": 41
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.44,
"team_1_proj": 6.49,
"team_2_proj": 4.95,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 4.59,
"team_2": 2.59,
"total": 7.18,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.88,
0.86,
1.3,
0,
1.55,
0.88,
0.19,
0.84,
0
],
"away": [
0.66,
0.4,
0.67,
0.74,
0.12,
0.16,
1.05,
0.31,
0.83
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.54,
1.26,
1.97,
0.74,
1.67,
1.04,
1.24,
1.15,
0.83
],
"first_five": {
"home": 4.59,
"away": 2.59,
"total": 7.18
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.135,
"i2": 0.133,
"i3": 0.2,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.239,
"i6": 0.136,
"i7": 0.029,
"i8": 0.129,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.133,
"i2": 0.08,
"i3": 0.135,
"i4": 0.15,
"i5": 0.025,
"i6": 0.033,
"i7": 0.213,
"i8": 0.063,
"i9": 0.167
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Miami Marlins +ML",
"team": "Miami Marlins",
"win_prob": 41,
"confidence": 82,
"reason": "Miami Marlins has a live shot (41%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins",
"date": "2026-09-20",
"time": "03:40",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "San Diego Padres",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Colorado Rockies",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "7-8",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
4,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "San Francisco Giants",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "4-6",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "San Francisco Giants",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
1,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "San Francisco Giants",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "5-7",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
5,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "9-2",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
2,
2,
0,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Miami Marlins",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "8-7",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
2,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
4
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
3,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "2-6",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
4,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "14-15",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 15,
"total_points": 29,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
6,
2,
0,
0,
0,
6,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
5,
1,
2,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "5-7",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "4-9",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "10-3",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "26.07.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
4,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.07.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.07.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
2,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.07.25",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.07.25",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "22.07.25",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "1-2",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "28.05.25",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "8-10",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "28.05.25",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "27.05.25",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "11.08.24",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 6.49,
"team_2": 4.95,
"total": 11.44
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 59,
"team_2": 41
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 5.3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 5.66,
"w_avg_ra": 4.19,
"run_rate": 9.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 5.8,
"avg_ra": 6.7,
"w_avg_rf": 5.91,
"w_avg_ra": 6.71,
"run_rate": 12.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 9
},
"confidence": 82,
"winner": {
"team": "San Diego Padres",
"probability": 59,
"margin_runs": 1.53,
"opponent": "Miami Marlins",
"opponent_probability": 41
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.44,
"team_1_proj": 6.49,
"team_2_proj": 4.95,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 4.59,
"team_2": 2.59,
"total": 7.18,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.88,
0.86,
1.3,
0,
1.55,
0.88,
0.19,
0.84,
0
],
"away": [
0.66,
0.4,
0.67,
0.74,
0.12,
0.16,
1.05,
0.31,
0.83
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.54,
1.26,
1.97,
0.74,
1.67,
1.04,
1.24,
1.15,
0.83
],
"first_five": {
"home": 4.59,
"away": 2.59,
"total": 7.18
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.135,
"i2": 0.133,
"i3": 0.2,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.239,
"i6": 0.136,
"i7": 0.029,
"i8": 0.129,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.133,
"i2": 0.08,
"i3": 0.135,
"i4": 0.15,
"i5": 0.025,
"i6": 0.033,
"i7": 0.213,
"i8": 0.063,
"i9": 0.167
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Miami Marlins +ML",
"team": "Miami Marlins",
"win_prob": 41,
"confidence": 82,
"reason": "Miami Marlins has a live shot (41%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 59,
"team_2": 41
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 6.49,
"team_2": 4.95,
"total": 11.44
},
"predicted_winner": "San Diego Padres",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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