Baseball · PCL - Second stage · Usa
Sugar Land vs Las Vegas Aviators
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Sugar Land vs Las Vegas Aviators in PCL - Second stage (Baseball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Model prediction: Sugar Land 50% vs Las Vegas Aviators 50%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • PCL - Second stage
Sugar Landvs
Las Vegas Aviators16 Sept • 03:05
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Sugar Land
50%to win
by ~0.01 runs vs Las Vegas Avi…
Projected Total
10.42runs
5.21 – 5.21
no market line
First 5 (F5)
6.92runs
3.18 – 3.74
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sugar Land | 0.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Las Vegas Aviators | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| Tot | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
from last 5+4 games
Sugar Land
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 4.6 — Allowed: 5.1 — Run env: 9.7
Las Vegas Aviators
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
RPG: 5.2 — Allowed: 6.3 — Run env: 11.5
Sugar Land Form
Sugar Land
L0d
L1d
L2d
L4d
L4d
W6d
W7d
L8d
W9d
L10d
By inning:0-00-00-30-02-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-10-10-00-00-10-22-33-00-—
By inning:0-30-10-00-00-00-00-10-30-—
By inning:3-31-31-00-00-00-20-01-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-20-10-02-42-00-—
Las Vegas Aviators Form
Las Vegas Aviators
W0d
W1d
W2d
W3d
L4d
L7d
L7d
W8d
L9d
W11d
By inning:1-00-00-01-00-20-00-00-10-—
By inning:0-11-00-02-52-20-10-00-01-—
By inning:0-11-30-00-00-01-00-00-20-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-1
By inning:1-02-02-00-01-01-01-03-10-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-43-00-00-00-00-00-01-07-2
By inning:0-10-02-00-00-01-01-00-01-0
By inning:1-00-42-10-00-20-00-40-00-—
By inning:1-30-13-60-01-01-30-00-02-—
By inning:0-20-00-02-00-52-40-00-01-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Sugar Land 4 / Las Vegas Aviators 6. Average total: 11.6.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.21,
"team_2": 5.21,
"total": 10.42
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 50,
"team_2": 50
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 4.6,
"avg_ra": 5.1,
"w_avg_rf": 4.39,
"w_avg_ra": 5.3,
"run_rate": 9.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 5.2,
"avg_ra": 6.3,
"w_avg_rf": 4.93,
"w_avg_ra": 5.82,
"run_rate": 11.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 11.6
},
"confidence": 75,
"winner": {
"team": "Sugar Land",
"probability": 50,
"margin_runs": 0.01,
"opponent": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"opponent_probability": 50
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 10.42,
"team_1_proj": 5.21,
"team_2_proj": 5.21,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.18,
"team_2": 3.74,
"total": 6.92,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.91,
0.65,
1.04,
0.3,
0.28,
0.52,
1.11,
0.39,
0
],
"away": [
0.77,
1.11,
0.23,
1.08,
0.55,
0.77,
0.12,
0.35,
0.22
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.68,
1.76,
1.27,
1.38,
0.83,
1.29,
1.23,
0.74,
0.22
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.18,
"away": 3.74,
"total": 6.92
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.175,
"i2": 0.125,
"i3": 0.2,
"i4": 0.057,
"i5": 0.054,
"i6": 0.1,
"i7": 0.214,
"i8": 0.075,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.148,
"i2": 0.212,
"i3": 0.045,
"i4": 0.208,
"i5": 0.106,
"i6": 0.148,
"i7": 0.023,
"i8": 0.068,
"i9": 0.042
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 10.4)",
"projected": 10.42,
"confidence": 75,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 10.6 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "PCL - Second stage",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Sugar Land vs Las Vegas Aviators",
"date": "2026-09-16",
"time": "03:05",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Sugar Land",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
"away": "Sugar Land",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
"away": "Sugar Land",
"score": "8-5",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
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2,
3,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
1,
2,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
"away": "Sugar Land",
"score": "8-0",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
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0
],
"away": [
3,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
"away": "Sugar Land",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
3,
3,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
"away": "Sugar Land",
"score": "7-4",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
4,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Reno Aces",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Reno Aces",
"score": "9-2",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Reno Aces",
"score": "5-8",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Reno Aces",
"score": "11-4",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Reno Aces",
"score": "1-2",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
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],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
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1
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "9-6",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
2,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
5,
2,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "6-2",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
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1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
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],
"away": [
0,
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1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sacramento River Cats",
"score": "1-11",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 11,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
2,
0,
1,
1,
1,
3,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
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1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "El Paso Chihuahuas",
"away": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"score": "7-0",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "El Paso Chihuahuas",
"away": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"score": "9-7",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "El Paso Chihuahuas",
"away": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"score": "5-8",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "El Paso Chihuahuas",
"away": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"score": "9-3",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "El Paso Chihuahuas",
"away": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"score": "12-14",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 14,
"total_points": 26,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sugar Land",
"score": "6-11",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 11,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
7
],
"away": [
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sugar Land",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sugar Land",
"score": "11-3",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
4,
1,
0,
2,
0,
4,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sugar Land",
"score": "13-8",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 21,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
3,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
3,
1,
6,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.08.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sugar Land",
"score": "11-5",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
5,
4,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.08.26",
"home": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"away": "Sugar Land",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "23.06.25",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "22.06.25",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "21.06.25",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "20.06.25",
"home": "Sugar Land",
"away": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.21,
"team_2": 5.21,
"total": 10.42
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 50,
"team_2": 50
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 4.6,
"avg_ra": 5.1,
"w_avg_rf": 4.39,
"w_avg_ra": 5.3,
"run_rate": 9.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 5.2,
"avg_ra": 6.3,
"w_avg_rf": 4.93,
"w_avg_ra": 5.82,
"run_rate": 11.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 11.6
},
"confidence": 75,
"winner": {
"team": "Sugar Land",
"probability": 50,
"margin_runs": 0.01,
"opponent": "Las Vegas Aviators",
"opponent_probability": 50
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 10.42,
"team_1_proj": 5.21,
"team_2_proj": 5.21,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.18,
"team_2": 3.74,
"total": 6.92,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.91,
0.65,
1.04,
0.3,
0.28,
0.52,
1.11,
0.39,
0
],
"away": [
0.77,
1.11,
0.23,
1.08,
0.55,
0.77,
0.12,
0.35,
0.22
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.68,
1.76,
1.27,
1.38,
0.83,
1.29,
1.23,
0.74,
0.22
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.18,
"away": 3.74,
"total": 6.92
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.175,
"i2": 0.125,
"i3": 0.2,
"i4": 0.057,
"i5": 0.054,
"i6": 0.1,
"i7": 0.214,
"i8": 0.075,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.148,
"i2": 0.212,
"i3": 0.045,
"i4": 0.208,
"i5": 0.106,
"i6": 0.148,
"i7": 0.023,
"i8": 0.068,
"i9": 0.042
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 10.4)",
"projected": 10.42,
"confidence": 75,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 10.6 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 50,
"team_2": 50
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.21,
"team_2": 5.21,
"total": 10.42
},
"predicted_winner": "Sugar Land",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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