Baseball · MLB · Usa
Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers
Wednesday, 23 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 23 September 2026. Model prediction: Philadelphia Phillies 37% vs Milwaukee Brewers 63%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Philadelphia Philliesvs
Milwaukee Brewers23 Sept • 01:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Milwaukee Brewers
63%to win
by ~2.13 runs vs Philadelphia …
Projected Total
11.44runs
4.66 – 6.79
no market line
First 5 (F5)
3.32runs
2.09 – 1.23
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phil… | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Milwaukee Brewers | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 |
| Tot | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 3.1 | 2.6 |
from last 5+4 games
Philadelphia Phillies
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 4.5 — Allowed: 5 — Run env: 9.5
Milwaukee Brewers
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 7.8 — Allowed: 5 — Run env: 12.8
Philadelphia Phillies Form
Philadelphia Phil…
L0d
W3d
L3d
L4d
L6d
W6d
L7d
W9d
L10d
W10d
By inning:1-20-01-00-01-10-00-30-00-—
By inning:0-12-00-00-00-00-00-17-00-2
By inning:1-00-00-00-80-00-10-01-30-—
By inning:0-13-00-00-00-00-00-10-00-1
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-10-00-00-01-0
Milwaukee Brewers Form
Milwaukee Brewers
W0d
L3d
W3d
W4d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L10d
L10d
W11d
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-04-00-00-10-0
By inning:0-00-20-00-00-03-00-11-00-0
By inning:0-41-01-13-30-50-00-04-00-—
By inning:0-20-60-00-10-80-00-00-30-—
By inning:0-30-30-11-00-00-10-00-05-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-10-00-00-30-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-01-00-02-20-15-00-21-30-0
By inning:0-10-10-00-00-30-10-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-01-00-01-0
By inning:0-50-00-00-11-00-02-00-00-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Philadelphia Phillies 3 / Milwaukee Brewers 7. Average total: 9.8.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.66,
"team_2": 6.79,
"total": 11.44
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 37,
"team_2": 63
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 5,
"w_avg_rf": 4.57,
"w_avg_ra": 5.27,
"run_rate": 9.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 7.8,
"avg_ra": 5,
"w_avg_rf": 7.9,
"w_avg_ra": 4.74,
"run_rate": 12.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 9.8
},
"confidence": 85,
"winner": {
"team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"probability": 63,
"margin_runs": 2.13,
"opponent": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"opponent_probability": 37
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.44,
"team_1_proj": 4.66,
"team_2_proj": 6.79,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.09,
"team_2": 1.23,
"total": 3.32,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.85,
0.47,
0,
0.62,
0.15,
0.08,
1.01,
0.23,
1.24
],
"away": [
0,
0.19,
0.19,
0.85,
0,
1.28,
0,
2.88,
1.41
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.85,
0.66,
0.19,
1.47,
0.15,
1.36,
1.01,
3.11,
2.65
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.09,
"away": 1.23,
"total": 3.32
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.183,
"i2": 0.1,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.133,
"i5": 0.033,
"i6": 0.017,
"i7": 0.217,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.267
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.028,
"i3": 0.028,
"i4": 0.125,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.188,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.424,
"i9": 0.208
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Milwaukee Brewers to win",
"team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"win_prob": 63,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.1 runs; form 70% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Philadelphia Phillies +ML",
"team": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"win_prob": 37,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Philadelphia Phillies has a live shot (37%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers",
"date": "2026-09-23",
"time": "01:40",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Washington Nationals",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "6-3",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "4-9",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
7,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "12-2",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
8,
0,
1,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "1-2",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "11-7",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "4-5",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "4-2",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "13-9",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 22,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
1,
3,
5,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "20-0",
"home_points": 20,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
6,
0,
1,
8,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
5
],
"away": [
3,
3,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "12-8",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "7-10",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "14.06.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "4-0",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.06.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "8-9",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
5,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
2,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.06.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "6-0",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
3,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.25",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.25",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "6-3",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
5,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.09.25",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "8-10",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.06.25",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "31.05.25",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "7-17",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 17,
"total_points": 24,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "31.05.25",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "2-6",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "19.09.24",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.66,
"team_2": 6.79,
"total": 11.44
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 37,
"team_2": 63
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 5,
"w_avg_rf": 4.57,
"w_avg_ra": 5.27,
"run_rate": 9.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 7.8,
"avg_ra": 5,
"w_avg_rf": 7.9,
"w_avg_ra": 4.74,
"run_rate": 12.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 9.8
},
"confidence": 85,
"winner": {
"team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"probability": 63,
"margin_runs": 2.13,
"opponent": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"opponent_probability": 37
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.44,
"team_1_proj": 4.66,
"team_2_proj": 6.79,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.09,
"team_2": 1.23,
"total": 3.32,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.85,
0.47,
0,
0.62,
0.15,
0.08,
1.01,
0.23,
1.24
],
"away": [
0,
0.19,
0.19,
0.85,
0,
1.28,
0,
2.88,
1.41
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.85,
0.66,
0.19,
1.47,
0.15,
1.36,
1.01,
3.11,
2.65
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.09,
"away": 1.23,
"total": 3.32
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.183,
"i2": 0.1,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.133,
"i5": 0.033,
"i6": 0.017,
"i7": 0.217,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.267
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.028,
"i3": 0.028,
"i4": 0.125,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.188,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.424,
"i9": 0.208
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Milwaukee Brewers to win",
"team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"win_prob": 63,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.1 runs; form 70% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Philadelphia Phillies +ML",
"team": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"win_prob": 37,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Philadelphia Phillies has a live shot (37%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 37,
"team_2": 63
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.66,
"team_2": 6.79,
"total": 11.44
},
"predicted_winner": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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