Baseball · LMB · Mexico

Puebla vs Veracruz

Friday, 07 August 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Puebla6-10Veracruz

Puebla vs Veracruz in LMB (Baseball) was played on Friday, 07 August 2026. Final score: Puebla 6-10 Veracruz. Pre-match model prediction: Puebla 67% vs Veracruz 33%. See the head-to-head record and recent form. Compare the result with the pre-match model prediction.

MexicoLMB
PueblaPueblavsVeracruzVeracruz
07 Aug04:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Puebla6-10Veracruz
Predicted Winner
Puebla
67%to win
by ~2.92 runs vs Veracruz
Projected Total
8.09runs
5.52.59
no market line
First 5 (F5)
7.11runs
5.511.6
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected
123456789
Puebla1.41.42.80.00.00.00.00.00.0
Veracruz0.20.10.50.50.30.20.10.10.6
Tot1.61.53.30.50.30.20.10.10.6
from last 4+5 games
Puebla
Last 10: 73 (70%)
RPG: 4 — Allowed: 2 — Run env: 6
Veracruz
Last 10: 46 (40%)
RPG: 3.5 — Allowed: 6.8 — Run env: 10.3
Puebla Form
Puebla
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
7W · 3L
Yucatan vs Puebla
0-7W
By inning:0-01-01-00-03-01-00-01-00-0
Yucatan vs Puebla
1-2W
By inning:1-11-00-00-00-00-00-0
Puebla vs Yucatan
0-1L
By inning:0-00-01-00-00-00-00-0
Yucatan vs Puebla
4-1L
By inning:0-00-00-40-00-00-00-01-00-
Puebla vs Queretaro
5-1W
By inning:0-01-00-00-10-00-20-20-00-
Puebla vs Queretaro
10-5W
Puebla vs Queretaro
4-1W
Quintana Roo vs Puebla
0-1W
Quintana Roo vs Puebla
3-2L
Quintana Roo vs Puebla
4-8W
Veracruz Form
Veracruz
W
W
W
L
L
W
L
L
L
L
4W · 6L
Veracruz vs Quintana Roo
3-2W
By inning:0-00-12-00-00-00-00-20-00-
Veracruz vs Quintana Roo
4-3W
By inning:1-00-00-02-30-10-00-00-00-
Veracruz vs Quintana Roo
3-1W
By inning:0-20-00-00-00-00-00-00-11-
Veracruz vs Tabasco
4-19L
By inning:1-04-40-00-03-01-05-03-02-0
Veracruz vs Tabasco
3-6L
By inning:0-00-00-02-02-02-10-00-00-2
Veracruz vs Tabasco
4-3W
Diablos Rojos vs Veracruz
8-2L
Diablos Rojos vs Veracruz
10-7L
Diablos Rojos vs Veracruz
11-4L
Veracruz vs Campeche
1-5L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Puebla vs Veracruz
6-5
By inning:0-00-11-10-21-00-23-00-00-
Puebla vs Veracruz
10-9
By inning:0-00-00-01-02-60-00-06-20-2
Puebla vs Veracruz
9-6
By inning:0-02-10-00-11-00-00-31-42-
Veracruz vs Puebla
2-3
By inning:0-00-00-02-00-01-00-20-00-0
Veracruz vs Puebla
5-3
By inning:0-12-01-00-10-00-00-00-30-
Veracruz vs Puebla
3-2
Puebla vs Veracruz
13-12
Puebla vs Veracruz
15-3
Puebla vs Veracruz
1-4
Veracruz vs Puebla
1-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Puebla 6 / Veracruz 4. Average total: 11.2.
Model output
{
  "expected_runs": {
    "team_1": 5.5,
    "team_2": 2.59,
    "total": 8.09
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 67,
    "team_2": 33
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 7,
      "losses": 3,
      "win_rate": 0.7,
      "avg_rf": 4,
      "avg_ra": 2,
      "w_avg_rf": 3.91,
      "w_avg_ra": 1.87,
      "run_rate": 6,
      "blowout_rate": 0.2
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 4,
      "losses": 6,
      "win_rate": 0.4,
      "avg_rf": 3.5,
      "avg_ra": 6.8,
      "w_avg_rf": 3.51,
      "w_avg_ra": 6.5,
      "run_rate": 10.3,
      "blowout_rate": 0.3
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 6,
    "t2_wins": 4,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.6,
    "avg_total": 11.2
  },
  "confidence": 88,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Puebla",
    "probability": 67,
    "margin_runs": 2.92,
    "opponent": "Veracruz",
    "opponent_probability": 33
  },
  "total_runs": {
    "projected_total": 8.09,
    "team_1_proj": 5.5,
    "team_2_proj": 2.59,
    "market": null
  },
  "first_five": {
    "team_1": 5.51,
    "team_2": 1.6,
    "total": 7.11,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "inning_scores": null,
  "inning_prediction": {
    "home": [
      1.38,
      1.38,
      2.75,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      0
    ],
    "away": [
      0.2,
      0.11,
      0.52,
      0.52,
      0.25,
      0.2,
      0.14,
      0.08,
      0.57
    ],
    "per_inning_total": [
      1.58,
      1.49,
      3.27,
      0.52,
      0.25,
      0.2,
      0.14,
      0.08,
      0.57
    ],
    "first_five": {
      "home": 5.51,
      "away": 1.6,
      "total": 7.11
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 4,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.25,
      "i2": 0.25,
      "i3": 0.5,
      "i4": 0,
      "i5": 0,
      "i6": 0,
      "i7": 0,
      "i8": 0,
      "i9": 0
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.077,
      "i2": 0.042,
      "i3": 0.2,
      "i4": 0.2,
      "i5": 0.098,
      "i6": 0.077,
      "i7": 0.053,
      "i8": 0.032,
      "i9": 0.221
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "Puebla to win",
      "team": "Puebla",
      "win_prob": 67,
      "confidence": 88,
      "reason": "Projected edge ~2.9 runs; form 70% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
    },
    "high_risk": null
  },
  "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "baseball",
  "league": "LMB",
  "country": "Mexico",
  "match": "Puebla vs Veracruz",
  "date": "2026-08-07",
  "time": "04:00",
  "score": {
    "home": 6,
    "away": 10
  },
  "innings": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Puebla",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Yucatan",
        "away": "Puebla",
        "score": "0-7",
        "home_points": 0,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            3,
            1,
            0,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Yucatan",
        "away": "Puebla",
        "score": "1-2",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 3,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Puebla",
        "away": "Yucatan",
        "score": "0-1",
        "home_points": 0,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 1,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Yucatan",
        "away": "Puebla",
        "score": "4-1",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            4,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Puebla",
        "away": "Queretaro",
        "score": "5-1",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 6,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            2,
            2,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Puebla",
        "away": "Queretaro",
        "score": "10-5",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Puebla",
        "away": "Queretaro",
        "score": "4-1",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Quintana Roo",
        "away": "Puebla",
        "score": "0-1",
        "home_points": 0,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 1,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Quintana Roo",
        "away": "Puebla",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Quintana Roo",
        "away": "Puebla",
        "score": "4-8",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Veracruz",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Veracruz",
        "away": "Quintana Roo",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Veracruz",
        "away": "Quintana Roo",
        "score": "4-3",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Veracruz",
        "away": "Quintana Roo",
        "score": "3-1",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 4,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1
          ],
          "away": [
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Veracruz",
        "away": "Tabasco",
        "score": "4-19",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 19,
        "total_points": 23,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            4,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            1,
            5,
            3,
            2
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            4,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Veracruz",
        "away": "Tabasco",
        "score": "3-6",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            2,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Veracruz",
        "away": "Tabasco",
        "score": "4-3",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Diablos Rojos",
        "away": "Veracruz",
        "score": "8-2",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Diablos Rojos",
        "away": "Veracruz",
        "score": "10-7",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 17,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Diablos Rojos",
        "away": "Veracruz",
        "score": "11-4",
        "home_points": 11,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Veracruz",
        "away": "Campeche",
        "score": "1-5",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 6,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Puebla",
        "away": "Veracruz",
        "score": "6-5",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            1,
            1,
            2,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Puebla",
        "away": "Veracruz",
        "score": "10-9",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 9,
        "total_points": 19,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            6,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            6,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            2
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Puebla",
        "away": "Veracruz",
        "score": "9-6",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            2
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            4
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Veracruz",
        "away": "Puebla",
        "score": "2-3",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Veracruz",
        "away": "Puebla",
        "score": "5-3",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            2,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Veracruz",
        "away": "Puebla",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Puebla",
        "away": "Veracruz",
        "score": "13-12",
        "home_points": 13,
        "away_points": 12,
        "total_points": 25,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Puebla",
        "away": "Veracruz",
        "score": "15-3",
        "home_points": 15,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Puebla",
        "away": "Veracruz",
        "score": "1-4",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "",
        "home": "Veracruz",
        "away": "Puebla",
        "score": "1-0",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 1,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 5.5,
      "team_2": 2.59,
      "total": 8.09
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 67,
      "team_2": 33
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 7,
        "losses": 3,
        "win_rate": 0.7,
        "avg_rf": 4,
        "avg_ra": 2,
        "w_avg_rf": 3.91,
        "w_avg_ra": 1.87,
        "run_rate": 6,
        "blowout_rate": 0.2
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 4,
        "losses": 6,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "avg_rf": 3.5,
        "avg_ra": 6.8,
        "w_avg_rf": 3.51,
        "w_avg_ra": 6.5,
        "run_rate": 10.3,
        "blowout_rate": 0.3
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 6,
      "t2_wins": 4,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.6,
      "avg_total": 11.2
    },
    "confidence": 88,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Puebla",
      "probability": 67,
      "margin_runs": 2.92,
      "opponent": "Veracruz",
      "opponent_probability": 33
    },
    "total_runs": {
      "projected_total": 8.09,
      "team_1_proj": 5.5,
      "team_2_proj": 2.59,
      "market": null
    },
    "first_five": {
      "team_1": 5.51,
      "team_2": 1.6,
      "total": 7.11,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "inning_scores": null,
    "inning_prediction": {
      "home": [
        1.38,
        1.38,
        2.75,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        0
      ],
      "away": [
        0.2,
        0.11,
        0.52,
        0.52,
        0.25,
        0.2,
        0.14,
        0.08,
        0.57
      ],
      "per_inning_total": [
        1.58,
        1.49,
        3.27,
        0.52,
        0.25,
        0.2,
        0.14,
        0.08,
        0.57
      ],
      "first_five": {
        "home": 5.51,
        "away": 1.6,
        "total": 7.11
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 4,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.25,
        "i2": 0.25,
        "i3": 0.5,
        "i4": 0,
        "i5": 0,
        "i6": 0,
        "i7": 0,
        "i8": 0,
        "i9": 0
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.077,
        "i2": 0.042,
        "i3": 0.2,
        "i4": 0.2,
        "i5": 0.098,
        "i6": 0.077,
        "i7": 0.053,
        "i8": 0.032,
        "i9": 0.221
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "Puebla to win",
        "team": "Puebla",
        "win_prob": 67,
        "confidence": 88,
        "reason": "Projected edge ~2.9 runs; form 70% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
      },
      "high_risk": null
    },
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "model": {
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 67,
      "team_2": 33
    },
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 5.5,
      "team_2": 2.59,
      "total": 8.09
    },
    "predicted_winner": "Puebla",
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "source_match_id": "r3rPnmrg",
  "source_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/match/baseball/pericos-de-puebla-Ym0dYWtI/veracruz-el-aguila-ljyWOzDt/?mid=r3rPnmrg",
  "score_home": 6,
  "score_away": 10,
  "period_scores": [],
  "set_scores": [],
  "quarters": null,
  "_page_modified_at": "2026-09-15T00:53:39.438761Z",
  "_page_published_at": "2026-09-15T00:53:39.438761Z",
  "event_status": "FINISHED",
  "status": "FINISHED",
  "status_checked_at": "2026-09-15T00:53:39.438761Z",
  "finished": true
}

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