Baseball · MLB · Usa
Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Model prediction: Houston Astros 50% vs Kansas City Royals 50%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Houston Astrosvs
Kansas City Royals16 Sept • 03:10
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Houston Astros
50%to win
by ~0.08 runs vs Kansas City R…
Projected Total
8.09runs
4 – 4.09
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.6runs
2.6 – 2
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Astros | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Kansas City Royals | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Tot | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
from last 5+5 games
Houston Astros
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 3.6 — Allowed: 4.7 — Run env: 8.3
Kansas City Royals
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 3.5 — Allowed: 4 — Run env: 7.5
Houston Astros Form
Houston Astros
L2d
L2d
L3d
W5d
L5d
W6d
L9d
L9d
W10d
W12d
By inning:0-30-00-40-20-22-00-32-00-—
By inning:1-00-00-00-00-21-00-10-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-10-00-00-00-2
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-10-00-00-01-0
By inning:0-00-04-42-00-10-61-00-00-—
Kansas City Royals Form
Kansas City Royals
L2d
L3d
W3d
W5d
L6d
L8d
W9d
L9d
L10d
W11d
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-00-01-10-20-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-10-01-20-10-10-—
By inning:1-00-02-00-00-20-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-10-11-01-30-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-01-01-2
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-10-00-30-00-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-10-22-12-01-30-02-01-0
By inning:9-50-00-00-00-00-00-00-31-0
By inning:0-02-00-00-11-00-10-00-20-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-01-00-10-00-00-1
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Houston Astros 6 / Kansas City Royals 4. Average total: 8.2.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4,
"team_2": 4.09,
"total": 8.09
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 50,
"team_2": 50
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3.6,
"avg_ra": 4.7,
"w_avg_rf": 3.49,
"w_avg_ra": 5.08,
"run_rate": 8.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3.5,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 3.29,
"w_avg_ra": 3.92,
"run_rate": 7.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 8.2
},
"confidence": 65,
"winner": {
"team": "Houston Astros",
"probability": 50,
"margin_runs": 0.08,
"opponent": "Kansas City Royals",
"opponent_probability": 50
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.09,
"team_1_proj": 4,
"team_2_proj": 4.09,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.6,
"team_2": 2,
"total": 4.6,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.17,
0,
0.52,
0.12,
1.79,
0.44,
0.44,
0,
0.53
],
"away": [
0,
0.2,
0,
0.57,
1.23,
0.33,
0.37,
0.98,
0.41
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.17,
0.2,
0.52,
0.69,
3.02,
0.77,
0.81,
0.98,
0.94
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.6,
"away": 2,
"total": 4.6
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.043,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.13,
"i4": 0.029,
"i5": 0.447,
"i6": 0.109,
"i7": 0.11,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.133
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.05,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.14,
"i5": 0.3,
"i6": 0.08,
"i7": 0.09,
"i8": 0.24,
"i9": 0.1
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Houston Astros vs Kansas City Royals",
"date": "2026-09-16",
"time": "03:10",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Houston Astros",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "14-4",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
2,
0
],
"away": [
3,
0,
4,
2,
2,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "1-2",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "11-7",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
4,
2,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
4,
0,
1,
6,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "6-2",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Kansas City Royals",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "5-1",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "4-5",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "2-9",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "14.06.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "4-0",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.06.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "7-8",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
1,
0,
2,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
2,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.06.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "8-10",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
9,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
5,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.05.25",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.05.25",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.05.25",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "5-7",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "27.04.25",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "3-7",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "27.04.25",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "26.04.25",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.09.24",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "7-2",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4,
"team_2": 4.09,
"total": 8.09
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 50,
"team_2": 50
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3.6,
"avg_ra": 4.7,
"w_avg_rf": 3.49,
"w_avg_ra": 5.08,
"run_rate": 8.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3.5,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 3.29,
"w_avg_ra": 3.92,
"run_rate": 7.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 8.2
},
"confidence": 65,
"winner": {
"team": "Houston Astros",
"probability": 50,
"margin_runs": 0.08,
"opponent": "Kansas City Royals",
"opponent_probability": 50
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.09,
"team_1_proj": 4,
"team_2_proj": 4.09,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.6,
"team_2": 2,
"total": 4.6,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.17,
0,
0.52,
0.12,
1.79,
0.44,
0.44,
0,
0.53
],
"away": [
0,
0.2,
0,
0.57,
1.23,
0.33,
0.37,
0.98,
0.41
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.17,
0.2,
0.52,
0.69,
3.02,
0.77,
0.81,
0.98,
0.94
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.6,
"away": 2,
"total": 4.6
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.043,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.13,
"i4": 0.029,
"i5": 0.447,
"i6": 0.109,
"i7": 0.11,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.133
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.05,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.14,
"i5": 0.3,
"i6": 0.08,
"i7": 0.09,
"i8": 0.24,
"i9": 0.1
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 50,
"team_2": 50
},
"prediction_quality": "medium",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4,
"team_2": 4.09,
"total": 8.09
},
"predicted_winner": "Houston Astros",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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