Baseball · MLB · Usa

Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers in MLB (Baseball) on Saturday, 19 September 2026. Model prediction: Baltimore Orioles 37% vs Milwaukee Brewers 63%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

UsaMLB
Baltimore OriolesBaltimore OriolesvsMilwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers
19 Sept23:05
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Milwaukee Brewers
63%to win
by ~2.21 runs vs Baltimore Ori…
Projected Total
10.81runs
4.36.51
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.17runs
2.461.71
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected
123456789
Baltimore Orioles0.60.10.41.10.30.90.10.40.4
Milwaukee Brewers0.50.20.20.80.01.20.01.12.4
Tot1.10.30.61.90.32.10.11.62.9
from last 5+4 games
Baltimore Orioles
Last 10: 46 (40%)
RPG: 3.4 — Allowed: 4.7 — Run env: 8.1
Milwaukee Brewers
Last 10: 64 (60%)
RPG: 7.4 — Allowed: 5.1 — Run env: 12.5
Baltimore Orioles Form
Baltimore Orioles
W0d
L2d
L3d
W3d
W5d
L6d
W8d
L9d
L9d
L10d
4W · 6L
15 Sept
New York Mets vs Baltimore Orioles
1-2W
By inning:0-01-00-00-10-00-00-01-00-0
13 Sept
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
8-1L
By inning:0-00-10-00-01-30-00-00-40-
12 Sept
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
7-3L
By inning:0-20-00-31-00-00-12-10-00-
12 Sept
Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles
4-7W
By inning:1-05-00-00-10-00-11-00-00-2
10 Sept
Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians
9-5W
By inning:2-00-00-80-00-03-10-00-00-
09 Sept
Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians
5-9L
07 Sept
Baltimore Orioles vs Cleveland Guardians
6-4W
06 Sept
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
1-3L
06 Sept
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
0-5L
05 Sept
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox
0-1L
Milwaukee Brewers Form
Milwaukee Brewers
L2d
W2d
W3d
W5d
W6d
W8d
L9d
L9d
W10d
L11d
6W · 4L
13 Sept
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds
3-4L
By inning:0-00-20-00-00-03-00-11-00-0
13 Sept
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds
13-9W
By inning:0-41-01-13-30-50-00-04-00-
12 Sept
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds
20-0W
By inning:0-20-60-00-10-80-00-00-30-
10 Sept
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs
8-6W
By inning:0-30-30-11-00-00-10-00-05-
09 Sept
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs
4-3W
By inning:1-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-02-2
07 Sept
Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs
4-3W
06 Sept
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers
12-8L
06 Sept
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers
5-3L
05 Sept
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers
7-10W
04 Sept
Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers
2-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
21 May
Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles
4-8
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-10-10-02-00-1
21 May
Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles
5-2
By inning:0-00-00-10-20-00-02-00-20-
20 May
Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles
5-4
By inning:0-01-30-00-00-10-03-00-10-
14 Apr
Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers
6-4
By inning:1-10-11-11-00-00-01-20-10-
13 Apr
Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers
5-11
By inning:0-31-13-14-00-00-00-03-00-0
13 Apr
Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers
1-11
08 Jun
Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles
3-6
08 Jun
Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles
10-2
07 Jun
Milwaukee Brewers vs Baltimore Orioles
4-3
14 Apr
Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers
2-4
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Baltimore Orioles 3 / Milwaukee Brewers 7. Average total: 10.
Model output
{
  "expected_runs": {
    "team_1": 4.3,
    "team_2": 6.51,
    "total": 10.81
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 37,
    "team_2": 63
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 4,
      "losses": 6,
      "win_rate": 0.4,
      "avg_rf": 3.4,
      "avg_ra": 4.7,
      "w_avg_rf": 3.54,
      "w_avg_ra": 4.82,
      "run_rate": 8.1,
      "blowout_rate": 0.2
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 6,
      "losses": 4,
      "win_rate": 0.6,
      "avg_rf": 7.4,
      "avg_ra": 5.1,
      "w_avg_rf": 7.8,
      "w_avg_ra": 5.06,
      "run_rate": 12.5,
      "blowout_rate": 0.1
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 3,
    "t2_wins": 7,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.3,
    "avg_total": 10
  },
  "confidence": 85,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
    "probability": 63,
    "margin_runs": 2.21,
    "opponent": "Baltimore Orioles",
    "opponent_probability": 37
  },
  "total_runs": {
    "projected_total": 10.81,
    "team_1_proj": 4.3,
    "team_2_proj": 6.51,
    "market": null
  },
  "first_five": {
    "team_1": 2.46,
    "team_2": 1.71,
    "total": 4.17,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "inning_scores": null,
  "inning_prediction": {
    "home": [
      0.59,
      0.11,
      0.37,
      1.07,
      0.32,
      0.86,
      0.12,
      0.43,
      0.43
    ],
    "away": [
      0.54,
      0.18,
      0.18,
      0.81,
      0,
      1.22,
      0,
      1.13,
      2.44
    ],
    "per_inning_total": [
      1.13,
      0.29,
      0.55,
      1.88,
      0.32,
      2.08,
      0.12,
      1.56,
      2.87
    ],
    "first_five": {
      "home": 2.46,
      "away": 1.71,
      "total": 4.17
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 4,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.137,
      "i2": 0.025,
      "i3": 0.086,
      "i4": 0.25,
      "i5": 0.075,
      "i6": 0.199,
      "i7": 0.029,
      "i8": 0.1,
      "i9": 0.1
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.083,
      "i2": 0.028,
      "i3": 0.028,
      "i4": 0.125,
      "i5": 0,
      "i6": 0.188,
      "i7": 0,
      "i8": 0.174,
      "i9": 0.375
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "Milwaukee Brewers to win",
      "team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
      "win_prob": 63,
      "confidence": 85,
      "reason": "Projected edge ~2.2 runs; form 60% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
    },
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
      "pick": "Baltimore Orioles +ML",
      "team": "Baltimore Orioles",
      "win_prob": 37,
      "confidence": 85,
      "reason": "Baltimore Orioles has a live shot (37%) at a price the market may shade."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "baseball",
  "league": "MLB",
  "country": "Usa",
  "match": "Baltimore Orioles vs Milwaukee Brewers",
  "date": "2026-09-19",
  "time": "23:05",
  "status": "",
  "score": null,
  "innings": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Baltimore Orioles",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "New York Mets",
        "away": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "score": "1-2",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 3,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
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            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
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            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
        "away": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "score": "8-1",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            0,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            4
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
        "away": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "score": "7-3",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
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            0,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            0,
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            0,
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            1,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
        "away": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "score": "4-7",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            5,
            0,
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          ],
          "away": [
            0,
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            2
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "away": "Cleveland Guardians",
        "score": "9-5",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 14,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            8,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "away": "Cleveland Guardians",
        "score": "5-9",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 9,
        "total_points": 14,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "07.09.26",
        "home": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "away": "Cleveland Guardians",
        "score": "6-4",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "away": "Boston Red Sox",
        "score": "1-3",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 4,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "away": "Boston Red Sox",
        "score": "0-5",
        "home_points": 0,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "away": "Boston Red Sox",
        "score": "0-1",
        "home_points": 0,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 1,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Milwaukee Brewers",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Cincinnati Reds",
        "score": "3-4",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
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      },
      {
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        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Cincinnati Reds",
        "score": "13-9",
        "home_points": 13,
        "away_points": 9,
        "total_points": 22,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            1,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            4,
            0,
            1,
            3,
            5,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Cincinnati Reds",
        "score": "20-0",
        "home_points": 20,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 20,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
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          ],
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            3
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Chicago Cubs",
        "score": "8-6",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 14,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            5
          ],
          "away": [
            3,
            3,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Chicago Cubs",
        "score": "4-3",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "07.09.26",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Chicago Cubs",
        "score": "4-3",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Cincinnati Reds",
        "away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "score": "12-8",
        "home_points": 12,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 20,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Cincinnati Reds",
        "away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "score": "5-3",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Cincinnati Reds",
        "away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "score": "7-10",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 10,
        "total_points": 17,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "04.09.26",
        "home": "Chicago Cubs",
        "away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "score": "2-1",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 3,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "21.05.25",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "score": "4-8",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
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            0,
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            1,
            1,
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            1
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      },
      {
        "date": "21.05.25",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "score": "5-2",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
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            0,
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            0,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            1,
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            0,
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            2
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "20.05.25",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "score": "5-4",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            3,
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "14.04.24",
        "home": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "score": "6-4",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.04.24",
        "home": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "score": "5-11",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 11,
        "total_points": 16,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            3,
            4,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            3,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.04.24",
        "home": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "score": "1-11",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 11,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "08.06.23",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "score": "3-6",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "08.06.23",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "score": "10-2",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "07.06.23",
        "home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "away": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "score": "4-3",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "14.04.22",
        "home": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "score": "2-4",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 6,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 4.3,
      "team_2": 6.51,
      "total": 10.81
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 37,
      "team_2": 63
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 4,
        "losses": 6,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "avg_rf": 3.4,
        "avg_ra": 4.7,
        "w_avg_rf": 3.54,
        "w_avg_ra": 4.82,
        "run_rate": 8.1,
        "blowout_rate": 0.2
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 6,
        "losses": 4,
        "win_rate": 0.6,
        "avg_rf": 7.4,
        "avg_ra": 5.1,
        "w_avg_rf": 7.8,
        "w_avg_ra": 5.06,
        "run_rate": 12.5,
        "blowout_rate": 0.1
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 3,
      "t2_wins": 7,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.3,
      "avg_total": 10
    },
    "confidence": 85,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
      "probability": 63,
      "margin_runs": 2.21,
      "opponent": "Baltimore Orioles",
      "opponent_probability": 37
    },
    "total_runs": {
      "projected_total": 10.81,
      "team_1_proj": 4.3,
      "team_2_proj": 6.51,
      "market": null
    },
    "first_five": {
      "team_1": 2.46,
      "team_2": 1.71,
      "total": 4.17,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "inning_scores": null,
    "inning_prediction": {
      "home": [
        0.59,
        0.11,
        0.37,
        1.07,
        0.32,
        0.86,
        0.12,
        0.43,
        0.43
      ],
      "away": [
        0.54,
        0.18,
        0.18,
        0.81,
        0,
        1.22,
        0,
        1.13,
        2.44
      ],
      "per_inning_total": [
        1.13,
        0.29,
        0.55,
        1.88,
        0.32,
        2.08,
        0.12,
        1.56,
        2.87
      ],
      "first_five": {
        "home": 2.46,
        "away": 1.71,
        "total": 4.17
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 4,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.137,
        "i2": 0.025,
        "i3": 0.086,
        "i4": 0.25,
        "i5": 0.075,
        "i6": 0.199,
        "i7": 0.029,
        "i8": 0.1,
        "i9": 0.1
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.083,
        "i2": 0.028,
        "i3": 0.028,
        "i4": 0.125,
        "i5": 0,
        "i6": 0.188,
        "i7": 0,
        "i8": 0.174,
        "i9": 0.375
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "Milwaukee Brewers to win",
        "team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
        "win_prob": 63,
        "confidence": 85,
        "reason": "Projected edge ~2.2 runs; form 60% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
      },
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
        "pick": "Baltimore Orioles +ML",
        "team": "Baltimore Orioles",
        "win_prob": 37,
        "confidence": 85,
        "reason": "Baltimore Orioles has a live shot (37%) at a price the market may shade."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "model": {
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 37,
      "team_2": 63
    },
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 4.3,
      "team_2": 6.51,
      "total": 10.81
    },
    "predicted_winner": "Milwaukee Brewers",
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  }
}

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