Baseball · Central American & Caribbean Games · North Central America
Mexico vs Nicaragua
Sunday, 02 August 2026
Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.Archived fixture
A final score is not available in this archive.
Mexico vs Nicaragua in Central American & Caribbean Games (Baseball) was scheduled for Sunday, 02 August 2026. A final score is not available in this archive. Pre-match model prediction: Mexico 62% vs Nicaragua 38%. See the head-to-head record and recent form.
North Central America • Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexicovs
Nicaragua02 Aug • 17:00
Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.
Predicted Winner
Mexico
62%to win
by ~2.02 runs vs Nicaragua
Projected Total
8.19runs
5.11 – 3.08
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.71runs
3.86 – 1.85
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Nicaragua | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
| Tot | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.3 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 |
from last 5+5 games
Mexico
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 5.1 — Allowed: 5 — Run env: 10.1
Nicaragua
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 2 — Allowed: 4.1 — Run env: 6.1
Mexico Form
Mexico
L
L
L
L
L
W
W
L
W
W
Colombia vs Mexico
By inning:2-01-10-00-20-70-20-0
Panama vs Mexico
By inning:0-00-10-20-12-00-00-—
Mexico vs LMB All Stars
By inning:0-00-02-00-00-03-00-30-00-0
Mexico vs Italy
By inning:0-01-00-01-03-01-01-12-00-0
USA vs Mexico
By inning:0-00-00-50-00-02-00-01-00-—
Mexico vs Brazil
Great Britain vs Mexico
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Mexico
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Mexico
LMB All Stars vs Mexico
Nicaragua Form
Nicaragua
L
W
L
L
L
L
W
L
L
W
Nicaragua vs Panama
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-01-0
Nicaragua vs Colombia
By inning:0-00-20-01-10-00-00-—
Nicaragua vs Venezuela
By inning:1-00-01-00-01-01-00-00-00-0
Israel vs Nicaragua
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-40-00-00-00-—
Netherlands vs Nicaragua
By inning:0-00-00-10-01-00-00-02-00-3
Dominican Republic vs Nicaragua
St.Louis Cardinals vs Nicaragua
New York Mets vs Nicaragua
Nicaragua vs Cuba
Nicaragua vs Cuba
Head-to-head summary
4 meetings — Mexico 4 / Nicaragua 0. Average total: 9.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.11,
"team_2": 3.08,
"total": 8.19
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 62,
"team_2": 38
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 5.1,
"avg_ra": 5,
"w_avg_rf": 4.84,
"w_avg_ra": 5.34,
"run_rate": 10.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 2,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 1.83,
"w_avg_ra": 3.97,
"run_rate": 6.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 4,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 0,
"t1_win_rate": 1,
"avg_total": 9
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Mexico",
"probability": 62,
"margin_runs": 2.02,
"opponent": "Nicaragua",
"opponent_probability": 38
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.19,
"team_1_proj": 5.11,
"team_2_proj": 3.08,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.86,
"team_2": 1.85,
"total": 5.71,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0,
0.45,
1.94,
0.54,
0.93,
0.9,
0.11,
0.22,
0
],
"away": [
0.15,
0.12,
0.31,
0.62,
0.65,
0.15,
0.62,
0,
0.46
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.15,
0.57,
2.25,
1.16,
1.58,
1.05,
0.73,
0.22,
0.46
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.86,
"away": 1.85,
"total": 5.71
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.089,
"i3": 0.38,
"i4": 0.106,
"i5": 0.183,
"i6": 0.176,
"i7": 0.022,
"i8": 0.044,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.04,
"i3": 0.1,
"i4": 0.2,
"i5": 0.21,
"i6": 0.05,
"i7": 0.2,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.15
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Mexico to win",
"team": "Mexico",
"win_prob": 62,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.0 runs; form 40% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 100% over last 4"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Nicaragua +ML",
"team": "Nicaragua",
"win_prob": 38,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Nicaragua has a live shot (38%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "Central American & Caribbean Games",
"country": "North Central America",
"match": "Mexico vs Nicaragua",
"date": "2026-08-02",
"time": "17:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Mexico",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Colombia",
"away": "Mexico",
"score": "12-3",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
7,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Panama",
"away": "Mexico",
"score": "4-2",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
2,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Mexico",
"away": "LMB All Stars",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Mexico",
"away": "Italy",
"score": "1-9",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
1,
3,
1,
1,
2,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "USA",
"away": "Mexico",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
5,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Mexico",
"away": "Brazil",
"score": "16-0",
"home_points": 16,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Great Britain",
"away": "Mexico",
"score": "2-8",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Mexico",
"score": "7-5",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Mexico",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "LMB All Stars",
"away": "Mexico",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Nicaragua",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Nicaragua",
"away": "Panama",
"score": "0-1",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Nicaragua",
"away": "Colombia",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Nicaragua",
"away": "Venezuela",
"score": "0-4",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Israel",
"away": "Nicaragua",
"score": "5-0",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Netherlands",
"away": "Nicaragua",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
2,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Dominican Republic",
"away": "Nicaragua",
"score": "12-3",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
"away": "Nicaragua",
"score": "1-2",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "New York Mets",
"away": "Nicaragua",
"score": "6-3",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Nicaragua",
"away": "Cuba",
"score": "0-6",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Nicaragua",
"away": "Cuba",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Nicaragua",
"away": "Mexico",
"score": "0-7",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
2,
2,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Mexico",
"away": "Nicaragua",
"score": "5-0",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
3,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Mexico",
"away": "Nicaragua",
"score": "12-1",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
6,
0,
0,
5,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Nicaragua",
"away": "Mexico",
"score": "0-11",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 11,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
2,
0,
5,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
}
]
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 62,
"team_2": 38
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.11,
"team_2": 3.08,
"total": 8.19
},
"predicted_winner": "Mexico",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.11,
"team_2": 3.08,
"total": 8.19
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 62,
"team_2": 38
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 5.1,
"avg_ra": 5,
"w_avg_rf": 4.84,
"w_avg_ra": 5.34,
"run_rate": 10.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 2,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 1.83,
"w_avg_ra": 3.97,
"run_rate": 6.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 4,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 0,
"t1_win_rate": 1,
"avg_total": 9
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Mexico",
"probability": 62,
"margin_runs": 2.02,
"opponent": "Nicaragua",
"opponent_probability": 38
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.19,
"team_1_proj": 5.11,
"team_2_proj": 3.08,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.86,
"team_2": 1.85,
"total": 5.71,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0,
0.45,
1.94,
0.54,
0.93,
0.9,
0.11,
0.22,
0
],
"away": [
0.15,
0.12,
0.31,
0.62,
0.65,
0.15,
0.62,
0,
0.46
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.15,
0.57,
2.25,
1.16,
1.58,
1.05,
0.73,
0.22,
0.46
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.86,
"away": 1.85,
"total": 5.71
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.089,
"i3": 0.38,
"i4": 0.106,
"i5": 0.183,
"i6": 0.176,
"i7": 0.022,
"i8": 0.044,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.04,
"i3": 0.1,
"i4": 0.2,
"i5": 0.21,
"i6": 0.05,
"i7": 0.2,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.15
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Mexico to win",
"team": "Mexico",
"win_prob": 62,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.0 runs; form 40% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 100% over last 4"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Nicaragua +ML",
"team": "Nicaragua",
"win_prob": 38,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Nicaragua has a live shot (38%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"_page_published_at": "2026-08-04T03:27:24.720727+03:00",
"_page_modified_at": "2026-08-04T03:27:24.720727+03:00"
}Prediction alerts
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