Baseball · MLB · Usa
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
Thursday, 17 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres in MLB (Baseball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. Model prediction: Colorado Rockies 32% vs San Diego Padres 68%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Colorado Rockiesvs
San Diego Padres17 Sept • 22:10
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
San Diego Padres
68%to win
by ~2.98 runs vs Colorado Rock…
Projected Total
11.38runs
4.2 – 7.18
no market line
First 5 (F5)
7.31runs
2.24 – 5.07
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| San Diego Padres | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.0 |
| Tot | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 0.4 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
from last 5+5 games
Colorado Rockies
Last 10: 1–9 (10%)
RPG: 4.8 — Allowed: 7.8 — Run env: 12.6
San Diego Padres
Last 10: 9–1 (90%)
RPG: 5.3 — Allowed: 4 — Run env: 9.3
Colorado Rockies Form
Colorado Rockies
L0d
L2d
L3d
L3d
L4d
L5d
L6d
L9d
W9d
L10d
By inning:1-14-01-00-00-10-31-11-10-0
By inning:1-20-30-00-20-10-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-03-21-20-02-00-01-70-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-01-10-40-00-11-—
By inning:0-21-20-00-00-00-01-61-00-—
San Diego Padres Form
San Diego Padres
W0d
W1d
W3d
W3d
W6d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L9d
W10d
By inning:1-14-01-00-00-10-31-11-10-0
By inning:2-03-20-01-00-10-10-00-00-0
By inning:0-22-11-01-01-01-01-00-30-0
By inning:0-12-05-00-00-40-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-02-30-20-20-00-10-10-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:1-14-01-00-00-10-31-11-10-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-30-00-01-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-24-00-00-10-12-21-10-1
By inning:0-12-40-01-11-00-10-11-05-0
By inning:1-00-40-00-10-00-11-10-11-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Colorado Rockies 1 / San Diego Padres 9. Average total: 10.4.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.2,
"team_2": 7.18,
"total": 11.38
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 32,
"team_2": 68
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 1,
"losses": 9,
"win_rate": 0.1,
"avg_rf": 4.8,
"avg_ra": 7.8,
"w_avg_rf": 4.61,
"w_avg_ra": 7.89,
"run_rate": 12.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 5.3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 5.66,
"w_avg_ra": 4.19,
"run_rate": 9.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 1,
"t2_wins": 9,
"t1_win_rate": 0.1,
"avg_total": 10.4
},
"confidence": 89,
"winner": {
"team": "San Diego Padres",
"probability": 68,
"margin_runs": 2.98,
"opponent": "Colorado Rockies",
"opponent_probability": 32
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.38,
"team_1_proj": 4.2,
"team_2_proj": 7.18,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.24,
"team_2": 5.07,
"total": 7.31,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.48,
0.9,
0.26,
0.36,
0.24,
0.56,
0.61,
0.78,
0
],
"away": [
0.97,
0.95,
1.44,
0,
1.71,
0.98,
0.21,
0.93,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.45,
1.85,
1.7,
0.36,
1.95,
1.54,
0.82,
1.71,
0
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.24,
"away": 5.07,
"total": 7.31
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.115,
"i2": 0.215,
"i3": 0.061,
"i4": 0.086,
"i5": 0.058,
"i6": 0.133,
"i7": 0.145,
"i8": 0.186,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.135,
"i2": 0.133,
"i3": 0.2,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.239,
"i6": 0.136,
"i7": 0.029,
"i8": 0.129,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "San Diego Padres to win",
"team": "San Diego Padres",
"win_prob": 68,
"confidence": 89,
"reason": "Projected edge ~3.0 runs; form 90% vs 10% (last 10/10); H2H 90% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 11.4)",
"projected": 11.38,
"confidence": 89,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 10.9 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres",
"date": "2026-09-17",
"time": "22:10",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Colorado Rockies",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Colorado Rockies",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "7-8",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
4,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "8-1",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
3,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "11-7",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
3,
1,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
2,
2,
0,
0,
0,
7
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "6-2",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
4,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "10-3",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0
],
"away": [
2,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
6,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Colorado Rockies",
"away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
"score": "8-10",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Colorado Rockies",
"away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
"score": "10-7",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Colorado Rockies",
"away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "San Diego Padres",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Colorado Rockies",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "7-8",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
4,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "San Francisco Giants",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "4-6",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "San Francisco Giants",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
1,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "San Francisco Giants",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "5-7",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
5,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "9-2",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
2,
2,
0,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Washington Nationals",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Colorado Rockies",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "7-8",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
4,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.07.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.07.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "8-7",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
1,
2,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.04.26",
"home": "Colorado Rockies",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "8-10",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
1,
5
],
"away": [
1,
4,
0,
1,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.04.26",
"home": "Colorado Rockies",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "8-3",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
4,
0,
1,
0,
1,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "22.04.26",
"home": "Colorado Rockies",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "0-1",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "12.04.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "7-2",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "12.04.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "9-5",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "11.04.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "10.04.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.2,
"team_2": 7.18,
"total": 11.38
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 32,
"team_2": 68
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 1,
"losses": 9,
"win_rate": 0.1,
"avg_rf": 4.8,
"avg_ra": 7.8,
"w_avg_rf": 4.61,
"w_avg_ra": 7.89,
"run_rate": 12.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 5.3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 5.66,
"w_avg_ra": 4.19,
"run_rate": 9.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 1,
"t2_wins": 9,
"t1_win_rate": 0.1,
"avg_total": 10.4
},
"confidence": 89,
"winner": {
"team": "San Diego Padres",
"probability": 68,
"margin_runs": 2.98,
"opponent": "Colorado Rockies",
"opponent_probability": 32
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.38,
"team_1_proj": 4.2,
"team_2_proj": 7.18,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.24,
"team_2": 5.07,
"total": 7.31,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.48,
0.9,
0.26,
0.36,
0.24,
0.56,
0.61,
0.78,
0
],
"away": [
0.97,
0.95,
1.44,
0,
1.71,
0.98,
0.21,
0.93,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.45,
1.85,
1.7,
0.36,
1.95,
1.54,
0.82,
1.71,
0
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.24,
"away": 5.07,
"total": 7.31
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.115,
"i2": 0.215,
"i3": 0.061,
"i4": 0.086,
"i5": 0.058,
"i6": 0.133,
"i7": 0.145,
"i8": 0.186,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.135,
"i2": 0.133,
"i3": 0.2,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.239,
"i6": 0.136,
"i7": 0.029,
"i8": 0.129,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "San Diego Padres to win",
"team": "San Diego Padres",
"win_prob": 68,
"confidence": 89,
"reason": "Projected edge ~3.0 runs; form 90% vs 10% (last 10/10); H2H 90% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 11.4)",
"projected": 11.38,
"confidence": 89,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 10.9 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 32,
"team_2": 68
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.2,
"team_2": 7.18,
"total": 11.38
},
"predicted_winner": "San Diego Padres",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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