Baseball · NPB · Japan
Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka S. Hawks
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka S. Hawks in NPB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Model prediction: Orix Buffaloes 34% vs Fukuoka S. Hawks 66%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Orix Buffaloesvs
Fukuoka S. Hawks16 Sept • 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Fukuoka S. Hawks
66%to win
by ~2.6 runs vs Orix Buffaloes
Projected Total
8.34runs
2.87 – 5.47
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.27runs
1.89 – 3.38
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orix Buffaloes | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Fukuoka S. Hawks | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Tot | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
from last 5+5 games
Orix Buffaloes
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 2.7 — Allowed: 4.4 — Run env: 7.1
Fukuoka S. Hawks
Last 10: 9–1 (90%)
RPG: 6.2 — Allowed: 2.6 — Run env: 8.8
Orix Buffaloes Form
Orix Buffaloes
L0d
W3d
W4d
L5d
L6d
L7d
L9d
W10d
W11d
L13d
By inning:0-00-00-01-03-11-10-10-00-0
By inning:0-00-20-10-00-02-00-21-00-—
By inning:1-00-00-00-23-10-20-00-00-—
By inning:0-14-00-02-00-20-00-00-12-0
By inning:0-01-00-05-00-01-00-01-00-0
Fukuoka S. Hawks Form
Fukuoka S. Hawks
W0d
W2d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
L9d
W10d
W11d
By inning:0-00-00-01-03-11-10-10-00-0
By inning:0-00-01-30-23-00-20-00-00-—
By inning:1-20-00-30-00-00-01-00-02-—
By inning:1-10-00-00-70-00-00-20-10-—
By inning:0-00-11-10-10-00-00-01-00-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-00-01-03-11-10-10-00-0
By inning:0-01-04-00-20-00-00-10-01-0
By inning:0-00-00-40-01-01-01-00-00-—
By inning:2-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-01-00-02-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Orix Buffaloes 4 / Fukuoka S. Hawks 6. Average total: 8.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 2.87,
"team_2": 5.47,
"total": 8.34
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 34,
"team_2": 66
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 2.7,
"avg_ra": 4.4,
"w_avg_rf": 2.84,
"w_avg_ra": 4.51,
"run_rate": 7.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 6.2,
"avg_ra": 2.6,
"w_avg_rf": 6.24,
"w_avg_ra": 2.7,
"run_rate": 8.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 8
},
"confidence": 87,
"winner": {
"team": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"probability": 66,
"margin_runs": 2.6,
"opponent": "Orix Buffaloes",
"opponent_probability": 34
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.34,
"team_1_proj": 2.87,
"team_2_proj": 5.47,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.89,
"team_2": 3.38,
"total": 5.27,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.14,
0.36,
0,
0.62,
0.77,
0.57,
0,
0.26,
0.14
],
"away": [
1.37,
0,
0.82,
0,
1.19,
0.37,
0.64,
0.55,
0.55
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.51,
0.36,
0.82,
0.62,
1.96,
0.94,
0.64,
0.81,
0.69
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.89,
"away": 3.38,
"total": 5.27
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.125,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.215,
"i5": 0.27,
"i6": 0.198,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.092,
"i9": 0.05
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.25,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.15,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.217,
"i6": 0.067,
"i7": 0.117,
"i8": 0.1,
"i9": 0.1
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Fukuoka S. Hawks to win",
"team": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"win_prob": 66,
"confidence": 87,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.6 runs; form 90% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"date": "2026-09-16",
"time": "12:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Orix Buffaloes",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
4,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "0-8",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
5,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "4-0",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-4",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
2,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
],
"away": [
2,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "11-1",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
7,
0,
0,
2,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "14-1",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "8-2",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.08.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "22.08.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "7-1",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "23.07.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "22.07.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "22-2",
"home_points": 22,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 24,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "21.07.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "1-2",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.07.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": null,
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 2.87,
"team_2": 5.47,
"total": 8.34
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 34,
"team_2": 66
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 2.7,
"avg_ra": 4.4,
"w_avg_rf": 2.84,
"w_avg_ra": 4.51,
"run_rate": 7.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 6.2,
"avg_ra": 2.6,
"w_avg_rf": 6.24,
"w_avg_ra": 2.7,
"run_rate": 8.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 8
},
"confidence": 87,
"winner": {
"team": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"probability": 66,
"margin_runs": 2.6,
"opponent": "Orix Buffaloes",
"opponent_probability": 34
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.34,
"team_1_proj": 2.87,
"team_2_proj": 5.47,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.89,
"team_2": 3.38,
"total": 5.27,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.14,
0.36,
0,
0.62,
0.77,
0.57,
0,
0.26,
0.14
],
"away": [
1.37,
0,
0.82,
0,
1.19,
0.37,
0.64,
0.55,
0.55
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.51,
0.36,
0.82,
0.62,
1.96,
0.94,
0.64,
0.81,
0.69
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.89,
"away": 3.38,
"total": 5.27
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.125,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.215,
"i5": 0.27,
"i6": 0.198,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.092,
"i9": 0.05
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.25,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.15,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.217,
"i6": 0.067,
"i7": 0.117,
"i8": 0.1,
"i9": 0.1
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Fukuoka S. Hawks to win",
"team": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"win_prob": 66,
"confidence": 87,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.6 runs; form 90% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 34,
"team_2": 66
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 2.87,
"team_2": 5.47,
"total": 8.34
},
"predicted_winner": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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