Baseball · Bundesliga - Play Offs · Germany
Regensburg vs Bonn
Saturday, 19 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Regensburg vs Bonn in Bundesliga - Play Offs (Baseball) on Saturday, 19 September 2026. Model prediction: Regensburg 43% vs Bonn 57%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Germany • Bundesliga - Play Offs
Regensburgvs
Bonn19 Sept • 15:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Bonn
57%to win
by ~1.18 runs vs Regensburg
Projected Total
9.96runs
4.39 – 5.57
no market line
First 5 (F5)
3.15runs
1.76 – 1.39
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regensburg | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Bonn | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 |
| Tot | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 3.1 |
from last 5+4 games
Regensburg
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 6 — Allowed: 4 — Run env: 10
Bonn
Last 10: 8–2 (80%)
RPG: 7.3 — Allowed: 2.9 — Run env: 10.2
Regensburg Form
Regensburg
L2d
W8d
W8d
W15d
L16d
W23d
W29d
W30d
L43d
W44d
By inning:0-10-00-00-00-00-10-00-21-—
By inning:0-00-00-11-00-03-00-20-03-1
By inning:0-00-01-00-00-00-00-21-13-0
By inning:0-01-00-01-20-10-00-10-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-11-01-00-00-00-02-0
Bonn Form
Bonn
W2d
W8d
W8d
L9d
W15d
L16d
W23d
W29d
W30d
W43d
By inning:0-10-00-00-00-00-10-00-21-—
By inning:0-00-00-30-30-00-20-00-00-—
By inning:2-01-01-03-01-01-30-00-01-0
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-00-10-01-01-3
By inning:0-00-00-01-34-30-40-00-20-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-10-00-00-00-00-10-00-21-—
By inning:0-00-00-02-00-00-00-20-22-0
By inning:0-02-01-00-00-00-10-00-01-0
By inning:0-01-00-30-00-10-00-08-02-0
By inning:0-10-00-00-00-00-01-00-00-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Regensburg 4 / Bonn 6. Average total: 8.8.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.39,
"team_2": 5.57,
"total": 9.96
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 43,
"team_2": 57
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 6,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 5.75,
"w_avg_ra": 3.85,
"run_rate": 10,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_rf": 7.3,
"avg_ra": 2.9,
"w_avg_rf": 7.09,
"w_avg_ra": 2.83,
"run_rate": 10.2,
"blowout_rate": 0.7
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 8.8
},
"confidence": 80,
"winner": {
"team": "Bonn",
"probability": 57,
"margin_runs": 1.18,
"opponent": "Regensburg",
"opponent_probability": 43
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.96,
"team_1_proj": 4.39,
"team_2_proj": 5.57,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.76,
"team_2": 1.39,
"total": 3.15,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.22,
0.44,
0.22,
0.66,
0.22,
0.22,
1.02,
0.73,
0.66
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0.28,
1.11,
1.74,
0,
0,
2.44
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.22,
0.44,
0.22,
0.94,
1.33,
1.96,
1.02,
0.73,
3.1
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.76,
"away": 1.39,
"total": 3.15
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.1,
"i3": 0.05,
"i4": 0.15,
"i5": 0.05,
"i6": 0.05,
"i7": 0.233,
"i8": 0.167,
"i9": 0.15
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.05,
"i5": 0.2,
"i6": 0.312,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.438
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Regensburg +ML",
"team": "Regensburg",
"win_prob": 43,
"confidence": 80,
"reason": "Regensburg has a live shot (43%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "Bundesliga - Play Offs",
"country": "Germany",
"match": "Regensburg vs Bonn",
"date": "2026-09-19",
"time": "15:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Regensburg",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Regensburg",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Regensburg",
"score": "4-7",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Hamburg",
"away": "Regensburg",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Regensburg",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "4-2",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Regensburg",
"away": "Hamburg",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "22.08.26",
"home": "Cologne",
"away": "Regensburg",
"score": "0-14",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 14,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Regensburg",
"away": "Cologne",
"score": "9-6",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "15.08.26",
"home": "Regensburg",
"away": "Cologne",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.08.26",
"home": "Regensburg",
"away": "Paderborn",
"score": "7-8",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.08.26",
"home": "Regensburg",
"away": "Paderborn",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Bonn",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Regensburg",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Paderborn",
"score": "8-0",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
3,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Paderborn",
"away": "Bonn",
"score": "3-10",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
1,
1,
3,
1,
1,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Paderborn",
"away": "Bonn",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Paderborn",
"score": "12-5",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
3,
4,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Paderborn",
"score": "3-8",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "22.08.26",
"home": "Stuttgart",
"away": "Bonn",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Stuttgart",
"score": "7-2",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "15.08.26",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Stuttgart",
"score": "10-2",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.08.26",
"home": "Heidenheim",
"away": "Bonn",
"score": "3-12",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Regensburg",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.07.26",
"home": "Regensburg",
"away": "Bonn",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.07.26",
"home": "Regensburg",
"away": "Bonn",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.06.26",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Regensburg",
"score": "4-11",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 11,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
8,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.06.26",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Regensburg",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.07.19",
"home": "Regensburg",
"away": "Bonn",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.07.19",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Regensburg",
"score": "0-1",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.07.19",
"home": "Bonn",
"away": "Regensburg",
"score": "10-0",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "30.06.19",
"home": "Regensburg",
"away": "Bonn",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "29.06.19",
"home": "Regensburg",
"away": "Bonn",
"score": "4-6",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.39,
"team_2": 5.57,
"total": 9.96
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 43,
"team_2": 57
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 6,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 5.75,
"w_avg_ra": 3.85,
"run_rate": 10,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_rf": 7.3,
"avg_ra": 2.9,
"w_avg_rf": 7.09,
"w_avg_ra": 2.83,
"run_rate": 10.2,
"blowout_rate": 0.7
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 8.8
},
"confidence": 80,
"winner": {
"team": "Bonn",
"probability": 57,
"margin_runs": 1.18,
"opponent": "Regensburg",
"opponent_probability": 43
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.96,
"team_1_proj": 4.39,
"team_2_proj": 5.57,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.76,
"team_2": 1.39,
"total": 3.15,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.22,
0.44,
0.22,
0.66,
0.22,
0.22,
1.02,
0.73,
0.66
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0.28,
1.11,
1.74,
0,
0,
2.44
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.22,
0.44,
0.22,
0.94,
1.33,
1.96,
1.02,
0.73,
3.1
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.76,
"away": 1.39,
"total": 3.15
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.1,
"i3": 0.05,
"i4": 0.15,
"i5": 0.05,
"i6": 0.05,
"i7": 0.233,
"i8": 0.167,
"i9": 0.15
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.05,
"i5": 0.2,
"i6": 0.312,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.438
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Regensburg +ML",
"team": "Regensburg",
"win_prob": 43,
"confidence": 80,
"reason": "Regensburg has a live shot (43%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 43,
"team_2": 57
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.39,
"team_2": 5.57,
"total": 9.96
},
"predicted_winner": "Bonn",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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