Baseball · NPB · Japan
Nippon Ham Fighters vs Orix Buffaloes
Sunday, 20 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Nippon Ham Fighters vs Orix Buffaloes in NPB (Baseball) on Sunday, 20 September 2026. Model prediction: Nippon Ham Fighters 60% vs Orix Buffaloes 40%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Nippon Ham Fightersvs
Orix Buffaloes20 Sept • 08:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Nippon Ham Fighters
60%to win
by ~1.68 runs vs Orix Buffaloes
Projected Total
7.55runs
4.62 – 2.93
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.9runs
3.96 – 1.94
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nippon Ham Fighte… | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Orix Buffaloes | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| Tot | 0.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.1 |
from last 5+5 games
Nippon Ham Fighters
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
RPG: 3.6 — Allowed: 3.5 — Run env: 7.1
Orix Buffaloes
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 2.7 — Allowed: 4.4 — Run env: 7.1
Nippon Ham Fighters Form
Nippon Ham Fighte…
W2d
W3d
L5d
L6d
L7d
W9d
W10d
W11d
L13d
W14d
By inning:1-02-01-00-10-03-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-30-00-00-01-01-0
By inning:0-00-11-10-10-00-00-01-00-—
By inning:0-12-01-30-10-00-00-00-01-—
By inning:0-20-00-20-00-00-01-00-100-—
Orix Buffaloes Form
Orix Buffaloes
L0d
W3d
W4d
L5d
L6d
L7d
L9d
W10d
W11d
L13d
By inning:0-00-00-01-03-11-10-10-00-0
By inning:0-00-20-10-00-02-00-21-00-—
By inning:1-00-00-00-23-10-20-00-00-—
By inning:0-14-00-02-00-20-00-00-12-0
By inning:0-01-00-05-00-01-00-01-00-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-02-00-03-01-21-02-04-50-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-02-03-20-06-21-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-21-00-40-—
By inning:0-20-00-10-00-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:2-10-03-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Nippon Ham Fighters 8 / Orix Buffaloes 2. Average total: 8.9.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.62,
"team_2": 2.93,
"total": 7.55
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 60,
"team_2": 40
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 3.6,
"avg_ra": 3.5,
"w_avg_rf": 3.72,
"w_avg_ra": 3.63,
"run_rate": 7.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 2.7,
"avg_ra": 4.4,
"w_avg_rf": 2.84,
"w_avg_ra": 4.51,
"run_rate": 7.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 8.9
},
"confidence": 83,
"winner": {
"team": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"probability": 60,
"margin_runs": 1.68,
"opponent": "Orix Buffaloes",
"opponent_probability": 40
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.55,
"team_1_proj": 4.62,
"team_2_proj": 2.93,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.96,
"team_2": 1.94,
"total": 5.9,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.32,
0.31,
0.99,
2.34,
0,
0,
0,
0.66,
0
],
"away": [
0.15,
0.37,
0,
0.63,
0.79,
0.58,
0,
0.27,
0.15
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.47,
0.68,
0.99,
2.97,
0.79,
0.58,
0,
0.93,
0.15
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.96,
"away": 1.94,
"total": 5.9
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.069,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.215,
"i4": 0.507,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.143,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.125,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.215,
"i5": 0.27,
"i6": 0.198,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.092,
"i9": 0.05
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Nippon Ham Fighters to win",
"team": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"win_prob": 60,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Projected edge ~1.7 runs; form 50% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Orix Buffaloes +ML",
"team": "Orix Buffaloes",
"win_prob": 40,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Orix Buffaloes has a live shot (40%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Nippon Ham Fighters vs Orix Buffaloes",
"date": "2026-09-20",
"time": "08:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
1,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-3",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
3,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "14-1",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
10
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "1-1",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Orix Buffaloes",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
4,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "0-8",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
5,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "4-0",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "7-13",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 13,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
3,
1,
1,
2,
4,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
5,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.08.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "4-12",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
3,
0,
6,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.08.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "6-2",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
4
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.07.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-0",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.07.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.07.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "0-7",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.07.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "9-1",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.07.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "6-0",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "30.06.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "9-2",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "10.05.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.62,
"team_2": 2.93,
"total": 7.55
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 60,
"team_2": 40
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 3.6,
"avg_ra": 3.5,
"w_avg_rf": 3.72,
"w_avg_ra": 3.63,
"run_rate": 7.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 2.7,
"avg_ra": 4.4,
"w_avg_rf": 2.84,
"w_avg_ra": 4.51,
"run_rate": 7.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 8.9
},
"confidence": 83,
"winner": {
"team": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"probability": 60,
"margin_runs": 1.68,
"opponent": "Orix Buffaloes",
"opponent_probability": 40
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.55,
"team_1_proj": 4.62,
"team_2_proj": 2.93,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.96,
"team_2": 1.94,
"total": 5.9,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.32,
0.31,
0.99,
2.34,
0,
0,
0,
0.66,
0
],
"away": [
0.15,
0.37,
0,
0.63,
0.79,
0.58,
0,
0.27,
0.15
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.47,
0.68,
0.99,
2.97,
0.79,
0.58,
0,
0.93,
0.15
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.96,
"away": 1.94,
"total": 5.9
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.069,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.215,
"i4": 0.507,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.143,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.125,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.215,
"i5": 0.27,
"i6": 0.198,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.092,
"i9": 0.05
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Nippon Ham Fighters to win",
"team": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"win_prob": 60,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Projected edge ~1.7 runs; form 50% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Orix Buffaloes +ML",
"team": "Orix Buffaloes",
"win_prob": 40,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Orix Buffaloes has a live shot (40%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 60,
"team_2": 40
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.62,
"team_2": 2.93,
"total": 7.55
},
"predicted_winner": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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