Baseball · Serie A1 - Play Offs · Italy
Macerata vs Parma
Thursday, 20 August 2026
Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.Archived fixture
A final score is not available in this archive.
Macerata vs Parma in Serie A1 - Play Offs (Baseball) was scheduled for Thursday, 20 August 2026. A final score is not available in this archive. Pre-match model prediction: Macerata 44% vs Parma 56%. See the head-to-head record and recent form.
Italy • Serie A1 - Play Offs
Maceratavs
Parma20 Aug • 21:00
Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.
Predicted Winner
Parma
56%to win
by ~0.93 runs vs Macerata
Projected Total
12.16runs
5.62 – 6.54
no market line
First 5 (F5)
8.44runs
3.94 – 4.5
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macerata | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| Parma | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Tot | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.9 |
from last 5+5 games
Macerata
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 6.4 — Allowed: 4.3 — Run env: 10.7
Parma
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 9.3 — Allowed: 4 — Run env: 13.3
Macerata Form
Macerata
W
L
L
W
W
W
W
L
W
W
Macerata vs Parma
By inning:0-10-10-10-10-00-20-00-11-—
Macerata vs Parma
By inning:1-04-00-32-02-10-03-00-00-5
Parma vs Macerata
By inning:0-02-00-30-00-10-00-01-00-—
Parma vs Macerata
By inning:2-00-01-02-21-12-00-00-10-0
Nettuno vs Macerata
By inning:3-00-00-00-10-00-03-00-03-0
Nettuno vs Macerata
Macerata vs Nettuno
Macerata vs Nettuno
BSC Grosseto vs Macerata
BSC Grosseto vs Macerata
Parma Form
Parma
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
W
W
Macerata vs Parma
By inning:0-10-10-10-10-00-20-00-11-—
Macerata vs Parma
By inning:1-04-00-32-02-10-03-00-00-5
Parma vs Macerata
By inning:0-02-00-30-00-10-00-01-00-—
Parma vs Macerata
By inning:2-00-01-02-21-12-00-00-10-0
Reggio Emilia vs Parma
By inning:1-21-01-05-01-20-00-00-00-0
Reggio Emilia vs Parma
Parma vs Reggio Emilia
Parma vs Reggio Emilia
Parma vs Reggio Emilia
Parma vs Reggio Emilia
Head-to-Head
Last 10
Macerata vs Parma
7-1↗
By inning:0-10-10-10-10-00-20-00-11-—
Macerata vs Parma
9-12↗
By inning:1-04-00-32-02-10-03-00-00-5
Parma vs Macerata
4-3↗
By inning:0-02-00-30-00-10-00-01-00-—
Parma vs Macerata
4-8↗
By inning:2-00-01-02-21-12-00-00-10-0
Parma vs Macerata
6-5↗
By inning:1-02-00-42-00-00-10-00-00-0
Parma vs Macerata
2-6↗
Parma vs Macerata
6-0↗
Parma vs Macerata
8-10↗
Macerata vs Parma
2-10↗
Macerata vs Parma
2-7↗
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Macerata 4 / Parma 6. Average total: 11.2.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.62,
"team_2": 6.54,
"total": 12.16
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 44,
"team_2": 56
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 6.4,
"avg_ra": 4.3,
"w_avg_rf": 6.57,
"w_avg_ra": 4.43,
"run_rate": 10.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 9.3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 8.46,
"w_avg_ra": 4.46,
"run_rate": 13.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 11.2
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Parma",
"probability": 56,
"margin_runs": 0.93,
"opponent": "Macerata",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 12.16,
"team_1_proj": 5.62,
"team_2_proj": 6.54,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.94,
"team_2": 4.5,
"total": 8.44,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.1,
0.38,
0.84,
1.87,
0.75,
0,
0.28,
0.28,
1.12
],
"away": [
1.17,
1.06,
0.79,
0.52,
0.96,
0.7,
0,
0.62,
0.73
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.27,
1.44,
1.63,
2.39,
1.71,
0.7,
0.28,
0.9,
1.85
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.94,
"away": 4.5,
"total": 8.44
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.017,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.15,
"i4": 0.333,
"i5": 0.133,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.05,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.2
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.179,
"i2": 0.162,
"i3": 0.12,
"i4": 0.079,
"i5": 0.147,
"i6": 0.107,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.095,
"i9": 0.111
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Macerata +ML",
"team": "Macerata",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Macerata has a live shot (44%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "Serie A1 - Play Offs",
"country": "Italy",
"match": "Macerata vs Parma",
"date": "2026-08-20",
"time": "21:00",
"status": null,
"score": "{'home': 2, 'away': 7}",
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Macerata",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Macerata",
"away": "Parma",
"score": "7-1",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
1,
1,
1,
0,
2,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Macerata",
"away": "Parma",
"score": "9-12",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 21,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
4,
0,
2,
2,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
5
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
1,
2,
1,
2,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Nettuno",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "1-9",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Nettuno",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "8-9",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Macerata",
"away": "Nettuno",
"score": "8-4",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Macerata",
"away": "Nettuno",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "BSC Grosseto",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "BSC Grosseto",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "5-7",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Parma",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Macerata",
"away": "Parma",
"score": "7-1",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
1,
1,
1,
0,
2,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Macerata",
"away": "Parma",
"score": "9-12",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 21,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
4,
0,
2,
2,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
5
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
1,
2,
1,
2,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Reggio Emilia",
"away": "Parma",
"score": "4-9",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
1,
1,
5,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Reggio Emilia",
"away": "Parma",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Reggio Emilia",
"score": "9-1",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Reggio Emilia",
"score": "16-2",
"home_points": 16,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Reggio Emilia",
"score": "16-0",
"home_points": 16,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Reggio Emilia",
"score": "19-1",
"home_points": 19,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "",
"home": "Macerata",
"away": "Parma",
"score": "7-1",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
1,
1,
1,
0,
2,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Macerata",
"away": "Parma",
"score": "9-12",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 21,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
4,
0,
2,
2,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
5
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
1,
2,
1,
2,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "2-6",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "6-0",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Parma",
"away": "Macerata",
"score": "8-10",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Macerata",
"away": "Parma",
"score": "2-10",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "",
"home": "Macerata",
"away": "Parma",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.62,
"team_2": 6.54,
"total": 12.16
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 44,
"team_2": 56
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 6.4,
"avg_ra": 4.3,
"w_avg_rf": 6.57,
"w_avg_ra": 4.43,
"run_rate": 10.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 9.3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 8.46,
"w_avg_ra": 4.46,
"run_rate": 13.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 11.2
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Parma",
"probability": 56,
"margin_runs": 0.93,
"opponent": "Macerata",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 12.16,
"team_1_proj": 5.62,
"team_2_proj": 6.54,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.94,
"team_2": 4.5,
"total": 8.44,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.1,
0.38,
0.84,
1.87,
0.75,
0,
0.28,
0.28,
1.12
],
"away": [
1.17,
1.06,
0.79,
0.52,
0.96,
0.7,
0,
0.62,
0.73
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.27,
1.44,
1.63,
2.39,
1.71,
0.7,
0.28,
0.9,
1.85
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.94,
"away": 4.5,
"total": 8.44
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.017,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.15,
"i4": 0.333,
"i5": 0.133,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.05,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.2
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.179,
"i2": 0.162,
"i3": 0.12,
"i4": 0.079,
"i5": 0.147,
"i6": 0.107,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.095,
"i9": 0.111
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Macerata +ML",
"team": "Macerata",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Macerata has a live shot (44%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 44,
"team_2": 56
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.62,
"team_2": 6.54,
"total": 12.16
},
"predicted_winner": "Parma",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"_page_published_at": "2026-08-20T05:48:06.065096+03:00",
"_page_modified_at": "2026-08-20T05:48:06.065096+03:00"
}Prediction alerts
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