Baseball · NPB · Japan
Nippon Ham Fighters vs Chiba Lotte Marines
Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Nippon Ham Fighters6-7Chiba Lotte Marines
Nippon Ham Fighters vs Chiba Lotte Marines in NPB (Baseball) was played on Tuesday, 15 September 2026. Final score: Nippon Ham Fighters 6-7 Chiba Lotte Marines. Pre-match model prediction: Nippon Ham Fighters 53% vs Chiba Lotte Marines 47%. See the head-to-head record and recent form. Compare the result with the pre-match model prediction.
Japan • NPB
Nippon Ham Fightersvs
Chiba Lotte Marines15 Sept • 12:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Nippon Ham Fighters6-7Chiba Lotte Marines
Predicted Winner
Nippon Ham Fighters
53%to win
by ~0.46 runs vs Chiba Lotte M…
Projected Total
9.12runs
4.79 – 4.33
no market line
First 5 (F5)
live7runs
4 – 3
actual F5 score
Inning Line Score
live| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nippon Ham Fighte… | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
| Chiba Lotte Marin… | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
Nippon Ham Fighters
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 4 — Allowed: 4.1 — Run env: 8.1
Chiba Lotte Marines
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
RPG: 4.5 — Allowed: 4.6 — Run env: 9.1
Nippon Ham Fighters Form
Nippon Ham Fighte…
L0d
W2d
W3d
L5d
L6d
L7d
W9d
W10d
W11d
L13d
By inning:0-00-10-10-04-12-10-10-11-0
By inning:1-02-01-00-10-03-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-30-00-00-01-01-0
By inning:0-00-11-10-10-00-00-01-00-—
By inning:0-12-01-30-10-00-00-00-01-—
Chiba Lotte Marines Form
Chiba Lotte Marin…
W0d
L2d
L3d
L4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L10d
L11d
By inning:0-00-10-10-04-12-10-10-11-0
By inning:0-00-01-30-23-00-20-00-00-—
By inning:1-20-00-30-00-00-01-00-02-—
By inning:1-10-00-00-70-00-00-20-10-—
By inning:0-00-40-01-00-00-00-20-00-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-10-10-04-12-10-10-11-0
By inning:2-10-00-00-02-30-00-10-00-—
By inning:0-00-03-11-53-30-00-00-00-—
By inning:1-00-00-40-01-20-02-00-00-—
By inning:0-10-00-10-00-02-10-00-00-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Nippon Ham Fighters 6 / Chiba Lotte Marines 4. Average total: 8.7.
Nippon Ham Fighters
1.42
Implied 65.9%
Edge -12.9%
Chiba Lotte Marines
2.74
Implied 34.1%
Edge +12.9%
Bookmaker vig: 6.92%
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.79,
"team_2": 4.33,
"total": 9.12
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 53,
"team_2": 47
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 4.13,
"w_avg_ra": 4.24,
"run_rate": 8.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.61,
"w_avg_ra": 4.85,
"run_rate": 9.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 8.7
},
"confidence": 67,
"winner": {
"team": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"probability": 53,
"margin_runs": 0.46,
"opponent": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"opponent_probability": 47
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.12,
"team_1_proj": 4.79,
"team_2_proj": 4.33,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 4,
"team_2": 3,
"total": 7,
"source": "actual"
},
"inning_scores": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0
],
"f5_home": 4,
"f5_away": 3
},
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.19,
0.32,
0.9,
2.43,
0.55,
0.27,
0,
0,
0.14
],
"away": [
0.42,
0.14,
1.03,
1.66,
0.14,
0.39,
0.3,
0.22,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.61,
0.46,
1.93,
4.09,
0.69,
0.66,
0.3,
0.22,
0.14
],
"first_five": {
"home": 4.39,
"away": 3.39,
"total": 7.78
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.04,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.187,
"i4": 0.507,
"i5": 0.114,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.029
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.098,
"i2": 0.033,
"i3": 0.239,
"i4": 0.384,
"i5": 0.033,
"i6": 0.09,
"i7": 0.07,
"i8": 0.052,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Chiba Lotte Marines +ML",
"team": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"win_prob": 47,
"confidence": 67,
"reason": "Chiba Lotte Marines has a live shot (47%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Nippon Ham Fighters vs Chiba Lotte Marines",
"date": "2026-09-15",
"time": "12:00",
"score": {
"home": 6,
"away": 7
},
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
1,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-3",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
3,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "14-1",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "1-1",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-4",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
2,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
],
"away": [
2,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "11-1",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
7,
0,
0,
2,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "10-4",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.08.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "9-7",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
3,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
5,
3,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
4,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.08.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "21.08.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.08.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "3-0",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.08.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "31.07.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.07.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 1.42,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 65.9,
"edge_vs_model": -12.9
},
"away": {
"value": 2.74,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 34.1,
"edge_vs_model": 12.9
},
"vig_pct": 6.92
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.79,
"team_2": 4.33,
"total": 9.12
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 53,
"team_2": 47
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 4.13,
"w_avg_ra": 4.24,
"run_rate": 8.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.61,
"w_avg_ra": 4.85,
"run_rate": 9.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 8.7
},
"confidence": 67,
"winner": {
"team": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"probability": 53,
"margin_runs": 0.46,
"opponent": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"opponent_probability": 47
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.12,
"team_1_proj": 4.79,
"team_2_proj": 4.33,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 4,
"team_2": 3,
"total": 7,
"source": "actual"
},
"inning_scores": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0
],
"f5_home": 4,
"f5_away": 3
},
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.19,
0.32,
0.9,
2.43,
0.55,
0.27,
0,
0,
0.14
],
"away": [
0.42,
0.14,
1.03,
1.66,
0.14,
0.39,
0.3,
0.22,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.61,
0.46,
1.93,
4.09,
0.69,
0.66,
0.3,
0.22,
0.14
],
"first_five": {
"home": 4.39,
"away": 3.39,
"total": 7.78
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.04,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.187,
"i4": 0.507,
"i5": 0.114,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.029
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.098,
"i2": 0.033,
"i3": 0.239,
"i4": 0.384,
"i5": 0.033,
"i6": 0.09,
"i7": 0.07,
"i8": 0.052,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Chiba Lotte Marines +ML",
"team": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"win_prob": 47,
"confidence": 67,
"reason": "Chiba Lotte Marines has a live shot (47%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 53,
"team_2": 47
},
"prediction_quality": "medium",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.79,
"team_2": 4.33,
"total": 9.12
},
"predicted_winner": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"source_match_id": "fmBGljxh",
"source_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/match/baseball/chiba-lotte-marines-KKlHBnlo/nippon-ham-fighters-AyxT5jRb/?mid=fmBGljxh",
"score_home": 6,
"score_away": 7,
"period_scores": [],
"set_scores": [],
"quarters": null,
"event_status": "FINISHED",
"status": "FINISHED",
"status_checked_at": "2026-09-15T12:54:57.355626Z",
"finished": true,
"_page_modified_at": "2026-09-15T12:54:57.355626Z"
}Prediction alerts
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