Baseball · NPB · Japan
Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStars
Thursday, 17 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStars in NPB (Baseball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. Model prediction: Yakult Swallows 29% vs Yokohama BayStars 71%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Yakult Swallowsvs
Yokohama BayStars17 Sept • 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Yokohama BayStars
71%to win
by ~3.53 runs vs Yakult Swallo…
Projected Total
8.22runs
2.35 – 5.88
no market line
First 5 (F5)
3.91runs
1.47 – 2.44
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yakult Swallows | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Yokohama BayStars | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
| Tot | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 0.2 |
from last 5+4 games
Yakult Swallows
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 2.8 — Allowed: 5.2 — Run env: 8
Yokohama BayStars
Last 10: 9–1 (90%)
RPG: 6 — Allowed: 1.7 — Run env: 7.7
Yakult Swallows Form
Yakult Swallows
L0d
L1d
W2d
W3d
L5d
L6d
W7d
L10d
L11d
L12d
By inning:3-03-10-10-00-20-00-00-03-0
By inning:2-00-00-00-00-00-01-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-20-00-10-01-00-—
By inning:0-43-00-03-00-00-00-10-00-0
By inning:0-10-20-30-20-00-00-00-01-—
Yokohama BayStars Form
Yokohama BayStars
W0d
W1d
W2d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W6d
L7d
W9d
W10d
By inning:1-40-50-11-00-00-00-10-20-—
By inning:0-10-10-00-02-01-00-10-00-0
By inning:0-40-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-01-03-00-00-00-00-00-23-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-03-03-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-10-20-30-20-00-00-00-01-—
By inning:1-00-10-10-01-00-70-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-01-1
By inning:0-00-00-20-00-01-00-00-00-—
By inning:3-10-00-10-00-10-00-00-00-1
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Yakult Swallows 4 / Yokohama BayStars 6. Average total: 8.3.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 2.35,
"team_2": 5.88,
"total": 8.22
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 29,
"team_2": 71
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 2.8,
"avg_ra": 5.2,
"w_avg_rf": 2.79,
"w_avg_ra": 5.23,
"run_rate": 8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 6,
"avg_ra": 1.7,
"w_avg_rf": 6.33,
"w_avg_ra": 1.7,
"run_rate": 7.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 8.3
},
"confidence": 91,
"winner": {
"team": "Yokohama BayStars",
"probability": 71,
"margin_runs": 3.53,
"opponent": "Yakult Swallows",
"opponent_probability": 29
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.22,
"team_1_proj": 2.35,
"team_2_proj": 5.88,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.47,
"team_2": 2.44,
"total": 3.91,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.9,
0.27,
0.18,
0.12,
0,
0,
0.25,
0.47,
0.16
],
"away": [
0.73,
0,
0,
0.73,
0.98,
1.96,
0,
1.47,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.63,
0.27,
0.18,
0.85,
0.98,
1.96,
0.25,
1.94,
0.16
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.47,
"away": 2.44,
"total": 3.91
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.385,
"i2": 0.117,
"i3": 0.075,
"i4": 0.05,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.107,
"i8": 0.2,
"i9": 0.067
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.125,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.125,
"i5": 0.167,
"i6": 0.333,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.25,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Yokohama BayStars to win",
"team": "Yokohama BayStars",
"win_prob": 71,
"confidence": 91,
"reason": "Projected edge ~3.5 runs; form 90% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Yakult Swallows vs Yokohama BayStars",
"date": "2026-09-17",
"time": "12:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Yakult Swallows",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "4-9",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "8-1",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
2,
3,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "9-2",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "1-1",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "4-7",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Yokohama BayStars",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "13-2",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
5,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "5-0",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "8-1",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "9-2",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "8-1",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
2,
3,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "9-2",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
7,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.08.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.08.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "7-2",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "19.07.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "5-1",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "18.07.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "8-0",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "17.07.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yakult Swallows",
"score": "12-4",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.07.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "4-6",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 2.35,
"team_2": 5.88,
"total": 8.22
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 29,
"team_2": 71
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 2.8,
"avg_ra": 5.2,
"w_avg_rf": 2.79,
"w_avg_ra": 5.23,
"run_rate": 8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 6,
"avg_ra": 1.7,
"w_avg_rf": 6.33,
"w_avg_ra": 1.7,
"run_rate": 7.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.6
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 8.3
},
"confidence": 91,
"winner": {
"team": "Yokohama BayStars",
"probability": 71,
"margin_runs": 3.53,
"opponent": "Yakult Swallows",
"opponent_probability": 29
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.22,
"team_1_proj": 2.35,
"team_2_proj": 5.88,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.47,
"team_2": 2.44,
"total": 3.91,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.9,
0.27,
0.18,
0.12,
0,
0,
0.25,
0.47,
0.16
],
"away": [
0.73,
0,
0,
0.73,
0.98,
1.96,
0,
1.47,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.63,
0.27,
0.18,
0.85,
0.98,
1.96,
0.25,
1.94,
0.16
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.47,
"away": 2.44,
"total": 3.91
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.385,
"i2": 0.117,
"i3": 0.075,
"i4": 0.05,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.107,
"i8": 0.2,
"i9": 0.067
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.125,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.125,
"i5": 0.167,
"i6": 0.333,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.25,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Yokohama BayStars to win",
"team": "Yokohama BayStars",
"win_prob": 71,
"confidence": 91,
"reason": "Projected edge ~3.5 runs; form 90% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 29,
"team_2": 71
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 2.35,
"team_2": 5.88,
"total": 8.22
},
"predicted_winner": "Yokohama BayStars",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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