Baseball · MLB · Usa
Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs
Saturday, 19 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs in MLB (Baseball) on Saturday, 19 September 2026. Model prediction: Cincinnati Reds 33% vs Chicago Cubs 67%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Cincinnati Redsvs
Chicago Cubs19 Sept • 01:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Chicago Cubs
67%to win
by ~2.91 runs vs Cincinnati Re…
Projected Total
11.35runs
4.22 – 7.13
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.62runs
3.31 – 2.31
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Chicago Cubs | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Tot | 1.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
from last 5+5 games
Cincinnati Reds
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 4.4 — Allowed: 8.4 — Run env: 12.8
Chicago Cubs
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
RPG: 5.3 — Allowed: 4.4 — Run env: 9.7
Cincinnati Reds Form
Cincinnati Reds
L0d
W2d
L2d
L3d
L5d
L6d
L7d
W9d
W9d
L10d
By inning:0-01-00-02-00-00-01-00-00-1
By inning:0-00-20-00-00-03-00-11-00-0
By inning:0-41-01-13-30-50-00-04-00-—
By inning:0-20-60-00-10-80-00-00-30-—
By inning:0-00-10-21-60-00-20-20-10-—
Chicago Cubs Form
Chicago Cubs
W0d
L2d
W3d
W4d
L5d
L6d
L8d
L9d
W10d
W10d
By inning:0-00-30-20-00-00-23-00-00-—
By inning:1-00-00-00-00-23-10-00-00-—
By inning:0-10-00-10-00-03-00-00-20-—
By inning:1-00-30-20-40-01-20-10-00-—
By inning:0-30-30-11-00-00-10-00-05-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-10-10-03-13-00-01-00-10-1
By inning:0-32-32-00-11-30-00-40-30-—
By inning:0-10-00-21-01-05-02-10-41-0
By inning:2-00-00-42-00-00-04-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-21-02-12-00-00-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Cincinnati Reds 3 / Chicago Cubs 7. Average total: 11.4.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.22,
"team_2": 7.13,
"total": 11.35
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 33,
"team_2": 67
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 4.4,
"avg_ra": 8.4,
"w_avg_rf": 4.12,
"w_avg_ra": 8.48,
"run_rate": 12.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 5.3,
"avg_ra": 4.4,
"w_avg_rf": 5.37,
"w_avg_ra": 4.32,
"run_rate": 9.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 11.4
},
"confidence": 88,
"winner": {
"team": "Chicago Cubs",
"probability": 67,
"margin_runs": 2.91,
"opponent": "Cincinnati Reds",
"opponent_probability": 33
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.35,
"team_1_proj": 4.22,
"team_2_proj": 7.13,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.31,
"team_2": 2.31,
"total": 5.62,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.35,
1.09,
0.19,
1.02,
0.66,
0.12,
0.61,
0.19,
0
],
"away": [
1.6,
0.53,
0.18,
0,
0,
3.38,
1.43,
0,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.95,
1.62,
0.37,
1.02,
0.66,
3.5,
2.04,
0.19,
0
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.31,
"away": 2.31,
"total": 5.62
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.082,
"i2": 0.258,
"i3": 0.044,
"i4": 0.242,
"i5": 0.157,
"i6": 0.029,
"i7": 0.145,
"i8": 0.044,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.225,
"i2": 0.075,
"i3": 0.025,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.475,
"i7": 0.2,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Chicago Cubs to win",
"team": "Chicago Cubs",
"win_prob": 67,
"confidence": 88,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.9 runs; form 50% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 11.3)",
"projected": 11.35,
"confidence": 88,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 11.2 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs",
"date": "2026-09-19",
"time": "01:40",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Cincinnati Reds",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "13-9",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 22,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
1,
3,
5,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "20-0",
"home_points": 20,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
6,
0,
1,
8,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "14-1",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
2,
6,
0,
2,
2,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "6-3",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "12-8",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "7-10",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Chicago Cubs",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
3,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "12-2",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
3,
2,
4,
0,
2,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
5
],
"away": [
3,
3,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "10-3",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "31.08.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "5-7",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.08.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "17-5",
"home_points": 17,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 22,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
3,
3,
0,
1,
3,
0,
4,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.08.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "8-10",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
5,
2,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
1,
4,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.07.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
4,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.07.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.07.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-0",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.05.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "8-3",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.05.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.05.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.05.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.22,
"team_2": 7.13,
"total": 11.35
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 33,
"team_2": 67
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 4.4,
"avg_ra": 8.4,
"w_avg_rf": 4.12,
"w_avg_ra": 8.48,
"run_rate": 12.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 5.3,
"avg_ra": 4.4,
"w_avg_rf": 5.37,
"w_avg_ra": 4.32,
"run_rate": 9.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 11.4
},
"confidence": 88,
"winner": {
"team": "Chicago Cubs",
"probability": 67,
"margin_runs": 2.91,
"opponent": "Cincinnati Reds",
"opponent_probability": 33
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.35,
"team_1_proj": 4.22,
"team_2_proj": 7.13,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.31,
"team_2": 2.31,
"total": 5.62,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.35,
1.09,
0.19,
1.02,
0.66,
0.12,
0.61,
0.19,
0
],
"away": [
1.6,
0.53,
0.18,
0,
0,
3.38,
1.43,
0,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.95,
1.62,
0.37,
1.02,
0.66,
3.5,
2.04,
0.19,
0
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.31,
"away": 2.31,
"total": 5.62
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.082,
"i2": 0.258,
"i3": 0.044,
"i4": 0.242,
"i5": 0.157,
"i6": 0.029,
"i7": 0.145,
"i8": 0.044,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.225,
"i2": 0.075,
"i3": 0.025,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.475,
"i7": 0.2,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Chicago Cubs to win",
"team": "Chicago Cubs",
"win_prob": 67,
"confidence": 88,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.9 runs; form 50% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 11.3)",
"projected": 11.35,
"confidence": 88,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 11.2 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 33,
"team_2": 67
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.22,
"team_2": 7.13,
"total": 11.35
},
"predicted_winner": "Chicago Cubs",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Baseball board.