Baseball · MLB · Usa
Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves
Thursday, 17 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves in MLB (Baseball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. Model prediction: Chicago Cubs 53% vs Atlanta Braves 47%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Chicago Cubsvs
Atlanta Braves17 Sept • 02:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Chicago Cubs
53%to win
by ~0.47 runs vs Atlanta Braves
Projected Total
9.66runs
5.07 – 4.6
no market line
First 5 (F5)
3.91runs
0.76 – 3.15
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Atlanta Braves | 0.5 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 |
| Tot | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
from last 5+5 games
Chicago Cubs
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 5 — Allowed: 4.9 — Run env: 9.9
Atlanta Braves
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
RPG: 4.2 — Allowed: 4.6 — Run env: 8.8
Chicago Cubs Form
Chicago Cubs
L0d
W1d
L3d
W4d
W5d
L6d
L7d
L9d
L10d
W11d
By inning:0-00-10-00-20-02-02-00-02-0
By inning:0-00-30-20-00-00-23-00-00-—
By inning:1-00-00-00-00-23-10-00-00-—
By inning:0-10-00-10-00-03-00-00-20-—
By inning:1-00-30-20-40-01-20-10-00-—
Atlanta Braves Form
Atlanta Braves
W0d
L1d
L3d
W3d
W4d
W6d
L6d
L7d
L9d
W10d
By inning:0-00-10-00-20-02-02-00-02-0
By inning:0-00-30-20-00-00-23-00-00-—
By inning:0-12-00-00-00-00-00-17-00-2
By inning:1-00-00-00-80-00-10-01-30-—
By inning:0-13-00-00-00-00-00-10-00-1
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-10-00-20-02-02-00-02-0
By inning:0-00-30-20-00-00-23-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-01-00-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-11-00-00-00-30-—
By inning:0-00-00-12-00-40-00-00-00-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Chicago Cubs 5 / Atlanta Braves 5. Average total: 6.3.
Chicago Cubs
1.68
Implied 56.5%
Edge -3.5%
Atlanta Braves
2.18
Implied 43.5%
Edge +3.5%
Bookmaker vig: 5.4%
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.07,
"team_2": 4.6,
"total": 9.66
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 53,
"team_2": 47
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 5,
"avg_ra": 4.9,
"w_avg_rf": 5.03,
"w_avg_ra": 4.74,
"run_rate": 9.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.2,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.45,
"w_avg_ra": 4.7,
"run_rate": 8.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 6.3
},
"confidence": 77,
"winner": {
"team": "Chicago Cubs",
"probability": 53,
"margin_runs": 0.47,
"opponent": "Atlanta Braves",
"opponent_probability": 47
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.66,
"team_1_proj": 5.07,
"team_2_proj": 4.6,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 0.76,
"team_2": 3.15,
"total": 3.91,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.76,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2.62,
1.35,
0,
0.34
],
"away": [
0.46,
1.82,
0.26,
0.61,
0,
0.26,
0,
1.18,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.22,
1.82,
0.26,
0.61,
0,
2.88,
1.35,
1.18,
0.34
],
"first_five": {
"home": 0.76,
"away": 3.15,
"total": 3.91
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.15,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.517,
"i7": 0.267,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.067
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.1,
"i2": 0.397,
"i3": 0.057,
"i4": 0.133,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.256,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Atlanta Braves +ML",
"team": "Atlanta Braves",
"win_prob": 47,
"confidence": 77,
"reason": "Atlanta Braves has a live shot (47%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Chicago Cubs vs Atlanta Braves",
"date": "2026-09-17",
"time": "02:40",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Chicago Cubs",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
3,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "12-2",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
3,
2,
4,
0,
2,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "10-3",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Atlanta Braves",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
3,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "4-9",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
7,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "12-2",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
8,
0,
1,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "4-5",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
3,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.05.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.05.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.05.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.25",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "10.09.25",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.25",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.25",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.25",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 1.68,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 56.5,
"edge_vs_model": -3.5
},
"away": {
"value": 2.18,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 43.5,
"edge_vs_model": 3.5
},
"vig_pct": 5.4
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.07,
"team_2": 4.6,
"total": 9.66
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 53,
"team_2": 47
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 5,
"avg_ra": 4.9,
"w_avg_rf": 5.03,
"w_avg_ra": 4.74,
"run_rate": 9.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.2,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.45,
"w_avg_ra": 4.7,
"run_rate": 8.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 6.3
},
"confidence": 77,
"winner": {
"team": "Chicago Cubs",
"probability": 53,
"margin_runs": 0.47,
"opponent": "Atlanta Braves",
"opponent_probability": 47
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.66,
"team_1_proj": 5.07,
"team_2_proj": 4.6,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 0.76,
"team_2": 3.15,
"total": 3.91,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.76,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2.62,
1.35,
0,
0.34
],
"away": [
0.46,
1.82,
0.26,
0.61,
0,
0.26,
0,
1.18,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.22,
1.82,
0.26,
0.61,
0,
2.88,
1.35,
1.18,
0.34
],
"first_five": {
"home": 0.76,
"away": 3.15,
"total": 3.91
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.15,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.517,
"i7": 0.267,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.067
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.1,
"i2": 0.397,
"i3": 0.057,
"i4": 0.133,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.256,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Atlanta Braves +ML",
"team": "Atlanta Braves",
"win_prob": 47,
"confidence": 77,
"reason": "Atlanta Braves has a live shot (47%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 53,
"team_2": 47
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.07,
"team_2": 4.6,
"total": 9.66
},
"predicted_winner": "Chicago Cubs",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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