Baseball · MLB · Usa
Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Model prediction: Cleveland Guardians 51% vs Chicago White Sox 49%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Cleveland Guardiansvs
Chicago White Sox16 Sept • 01:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Cleveland Guardians
51%to win
by ~0.11 runs vs Chicago White…
Projected Total
8.89runs
4.5 – 4.39
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.5runs
2.6 – 1.9
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardia… | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Chicago White Sox | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Tot | 0.1 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.7 |
from last 5+5 games
Cleveland Guardians
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
RPG: 4.5 — Allowed: 4.6 — Run env: 9.1
Chicago White Sox
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 4 — Allowed: 4.1 — Run env: 8.1
Cleveland Guardians Form
Cleveland Guardia…
L0d
W2d
L3d
W3d
L5d
W6d
L8d
W9d
L9d
W10d
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-06-10-00-01-2
By inning:1-00-01-12-00-02-00-10-03-0
By inning:0-01-00-40-02-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-00-02-10-03-0
By inning:2-00-00-80-00-03-10-00-00-—
Chicago White Sox Form
Chicago White Sox
W0d
L2d
W2d
L3d
L4d
L5d
L6d
W8d
L9d
W10d
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-06-10-00-01-2
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-30-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-30-01-13-00-00-00-12-0
By inning:1-10-11-10-00-30-00-11-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-00-00-01-00-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-06-10-00-01-2
By inning:2-10-00-40-00-00-00-00-01-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-02-51-00-10-—
By inning:2-00-10-00-05-01-10-00-00-0
By inning:2-31-03-00-00-31-00-00-00-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Cleveland Guardians 4 / Chicago White Sox 6. Average total: 8.2.
Cleveland Guardians
1.76
Implied 53.9%
Edge -2.9%
Chicago White Sox
2.06
Implied 46.1%
Edge +2.9%
Bookmaker vig: 5.36%
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.5,
"team_2": 4.39,
"total": 8.89
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 51,
"team_2": 49
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.67,
"w_avg_ra": 4.63,
"run_rate": 9.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 3.95,
"w_avg_ra": 4.13,
"run_rate": 8.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 8.2
},
"confidence": 66,
"winner": {
"team": "Cleveland Guardians",
"probability": 51,
"margin_runs": 0.11,
"opponent": "Chicago White Sox",
"opponent_probability": 49
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.89,
"team_1_proj": 4.5,
"team_2_proj": 4.39,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.6,
"team_2": 1.9,
"total": 4.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0,
0.45,
2.15,
0,
0,
0.87,
0.9,
0,
0.13
],
"away": [
0.13,
0.65,
0.13,
0.61,
0.38,
1.17,
0.13,
0.61,
0.58
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.13,
1.1,
2.28,
0.61,
0.38,
2.04,
1.03,
0.61,
0.71
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.6,
"away": 1.9,
"total": 4.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.1,
"i3": 0.478,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.194,
"i7": 0.2,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.029
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.029,
"i2": 0.149,
"i3": 0.029,
"i4": 0.14,
"i5": 0.086,
"i6": 0.267,
"i7": 0.029,
"i8": 0.14,
"i9": 0.133
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
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{
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},
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"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "Cleveland Guardians",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
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"home_won": false,
"innings": {
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},
{
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"away": "Cleveland Guardians",
"score": "9-5",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
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},
{
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"home": "Baltimore Orioles",
"away": "Cleveland Guardians",
"score": "5-9",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Baltimore Orioles",
"away": "Cleveland Guardians",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
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},
{
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"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
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"home_won": true,
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},
{
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"score": "0-6",
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{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Chicago White Sox",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "3-7",
"home_points": 3,
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"home_won": false,
"innings": {
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{
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"away": "Chicago White Sox",
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"away": "Chicago White Sox",
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"away_points": 3,
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"innings": {
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},
{
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"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "0-2",
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},
{
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"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "3-9",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "10-1",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "4-6",
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"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
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"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "3-7",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
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],
"away": [
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}
},
{
"date": "09.08.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Cleveland Guardians",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
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"home_won": true,
"innings": {
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}
},
{
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"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Cleveland Guardians",
"score": "6-3",
"home_points": 6,
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"home_won": true,
"innings": {
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},
{
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},
{
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"home_won": false,
"innings": {
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},
{
"date": "05.07.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
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"home_won": false,
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},
{
"date": "04.07.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.07.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "24.06.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Cleveland Guardians",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "24.06.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Cleveland Guardians",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 1.76,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 53.9,
"edge_vs_model": -2.9
},
"away": {
"value": 2.06,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 46.1,
"edge_vs_model": 2.9
},
"vig_pct": 5.36
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.5,
"team_2": 4.39,
"total": 8.89
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 51,
"team_2": 49
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.67,
"w_avg_ra": 4.63,
"run_rate": 9.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 3.95,
"w_avg_ra": 4.13,
"run_rate": 8.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 8.2
},
"confidence": 66,
"winner": {
"team": "Cleveland Guardians",
"probability": 51,
"margin_runs": 0.11,
"opponent": "Chicago White Sox",
"opponent_probability": 49
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.89,
"team_1_proj": 4.5,
"team_2_proj": 4.39,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.6,
"team_2": 1.9,
"total": 4.5,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0,
0.45,
2.15,
0,
0,
0.87,
0.9,
0,
0.13
],
"away": [
0.13,
0.65,
0.13,
0.61,
0.38,
1.17,
0.13,
0.61,
0.58
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.13,
1.1,
2.28,
0.61,
0.38,
2.04,
1.03,
0.61,
0.71
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.6,
"away": 1.9,
"total": 4.5
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.1,
"i3": 0.478,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.194,
"i7": 0.2,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.029
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.029,
"i2": 0.149,
"i3": 0.029,
"i4": 0.14,
"i5": 0.086,
"i6": 0.267,
"i7": 0.029,
"i8": 0.14,
"i9": 0.133
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 51,
"team_2": 49
},
"prediction_quality": "medium",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.5,
"team_2": 4.39,
"total": 8.89
},
"predicted_winner": "Cleveland Guardians",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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