Baseball · MLB · Usa
Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Model prediction: Toronto Blue Jays 44% vs Detroit Tigers 56%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Toronto Blue Jaysvs
Detroit Tigers16 Sept • 22:07
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Detroit Tigers
56%to win
by ~0.89 runs vs Toronto Blue …
Projected Total
9.04runs
4.07 – 4.96
no market line
First 5 (F5)
6.06runs
2.6 – 3.46
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Blue Jays | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Detroit Tigers | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.5 |
| Tot | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
from last 5+5 games
Toronto Blue Jays
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
RPG: 4.7 — Allowed: 3.8 — Run env: 8.5
Detroit Tigers
Last 10: 7–3 (70%)
RPG: 5.6 — Allowed: 3.1 — Run env: 8.7
Toronto Blue Jays Form
Toronto Blue Jays
L0d
W2d
W3d
L3d
L6d
W6d
L7d
L9d
W9d
W10d
By inning:0-20-00-00-00-00-04-31-01-0
By inning:0-00-10-00-01-30-00-00-40-—
By inning:0-20-00-31-00-00-12-10-00-—
By inning:1-05-00-00-10-00-11-00-00-2
By inning:0-00-00-10-10-00-00-00-00-—
Detroit Tigers Form
Detroit Tigers
W0d
W2d
W3d
W3d
W6d
L6d
W8d
L9d
W9d
L10d
By inning:0-20-00-00-00-00-04-31-01-0
By inning:1-20-30-00-20-10-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-03-21-20-02-00-01-70-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-01-10-40-00-11-—
By inning:0-20-00-32-00-00-00-10-10-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-20-00-00-00-00-04-31-01-0
By inning:2-00-02-00-00-00-00-00-10-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-11-00-00-0
By inning:0-02-00-10-00-00-10-00-00-1
By inning:0-00-00-00-02-10-01-02-01-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Toronto Blue Jays 4 / Detroit Tigers 6. Average total: 7.3.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.07,
"team_2": 4.96,
"total": 9.04
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 44,
"team_2": 56
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.7,
"avg_ra": 3.8,
"w_avg_rf": 4.75,
"w_avg_ra": 3.83,
"run_rate": 8.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 5.6,
"avg_ra": 3.1,
"w_avg_rf": 5.9,
"w_avg_ra": 3.19,
"run_rate": 8.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 7.3
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Detroit Tigers",
"probability": 56,
"margin_runs": 0.89,
"opponent": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.04,
"team_1_proj": 4.07,
"team_2_proj": 4.96,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.6,
"team_2": 3.46,
"total": 6.06,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.12,
0.58,
0.41,
0.68,
0.81,
0,
1.2,
0.13,
0.13
],
"away": [
1.39,
0,
0.43,
1.14,
0.5,
0.28,
0.6,
0.14,
0.5
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.51,
0.58,
0.84,
1.82,
1.31,
0.28,
1.8,
0.27,
0.63
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.6,
"away": 3.46,
"total": 6.06
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.029,
"i2": 0.143,
"i3": 0.1,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.2,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.295,
"i8": 0.033,
"i9": 0.033
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.28,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.086,
"i4": 0.229,
"i5": 0.1,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0.12,
"i8": 0.029,
"i9": 0.1
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Toronto Blue Jays +ML",
"team": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Toronto Blue Jays has a live shot (44%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Toronto Blue Jays vs Detroit Tigers",
"date": "2026-09-16",
"time": "22:07",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
1,
1
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"away": "Baltimore Orioles",
"score": "8-1",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
4
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"away": "Baltimore Orioles",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
3,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"away": "Baltimore Orioles",
"score": "4-7",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
5,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Athletics",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "2-9",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Detroit Tigers",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
1,
1
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "8-1",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
3,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "11-7",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
3,
1,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
2,
2,
0,
0,
0,
7
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "6-2",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
4,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "7-2",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "0-6",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
1,
1
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "17.05.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "16.05.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "1-2",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "16.05.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.03.26",
"home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
2,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.03.26",
"home": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"away": "Detroit Tigers",
"score": "5-0",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.03.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "4-4",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "25.02.26",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "4-4",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "27.07.25",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "10-4",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "27.07.25",
"home": "Detroit Tigers",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.07,
"team_2": 4.96,
"total": 9.04
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 44,
"team_2": 56
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.7,
"avg_ra": 3.8,
"w_avg_rf": 4.75,
"w_avg_ra": 3.83,
"run_rate": 8.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 7,
"losses": 3,
"win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_rf": 5.6,
"avg_ra": 3.1,
"w_avg_rf": 5.9,
"w_avg_ra": 3.19,
"run_rate": 8.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 7.3
},
"confidence": 79,
"winner": {
"team": "Detroit Tigers",
"probability": 56,
"margin_runs": 0.89,
"opponent": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"opponent_probability": 44
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.04,
"team_1_proj": 4.07,
"team_2_proj": 4.96,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.6,
"team_2": 3.46,
"total": 6.06,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.12,
0.58,
0.41,
0.68,
0.81,
0,
1.2,
0.13,
0.13
],
"away": [
1.39,
0,
0.43,
1.14,
0.5,
0.28,
0.6,
0.14,
0.5
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.51,
0.58,
0.84,
1.82,
1.31,
0.28,
1.8,
0.27,
0.63
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.6,
"away": 3.46,
"total": 6.06
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.029,
"i2": 0.143,
"i3": 0.1,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.2,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.295,
"i8": 0.033,
"i9": 0.033
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.28,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.086,
"i4": 0.229,
"i5": 0.1,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0.12,
"i8": 0.029,
"i9": 0.1
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Toronto Blue Jays +ML",
"team": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"win_prob": 44,
"confidence": 79,
"reason": "Toronto Blue Jays has a live shot (44%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 44,
"team_2": 56
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.07,
"team_2": 4.96,
"total": 9.04
},
"predicted_winner": "Detroit Tigers",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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