Baseball · MLB · Usa
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds
Sunday, 13 September 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Milwaukee Brewers3-4Cincinnati Reds
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds in MLB (Baseball) was played on Sunday, 13 September 2026. Final score: Milwaukee Brewers 3-4 Cincinnati Reds. Pre-match model prediction: Milwaukee Brewers 72% vs Cincinnati Reds 28%. See the head-to-head record and recent form. Compare the result with the pre-match model prediction.
Usa • MLB
Milwaukee Brewersvs
Cincinnati Reds13 Sept • 21:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Milwaukee Brewers3-4Cincinnati Reds
Predicted Winner
Milwaukee Brewers
72%to win
by ~3.73 runs vs Cincinnati Re…
Projected Total
13.36runs
8.54 – 4.81
no market line
First 5 (F5)
live2runs
0 – 2
actual F5 score
Inning Line Score
live| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee Brewers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Milwaukee Brewers
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
RPG: 7.4 — Allowed: 5.1 — Run env: 12.5
Cincinnati Reds
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 5 — Allowed: 8.3 — Run env: 13.3
Milwaukee Brewers Form
Milwaukee Brewers
L3d
W3d
W4d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L10d
L10d
W11d
L12d
By inning:0-00-20-00-00-03-00-11-00-0
By inning:0-41-01-13-30-50-00-04-00-—
By inning:0-20-60-00-10-80-00-00-30-—
By inning:0-30-30-11-00-00-10-00-05-—
By inning:1-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-02-2
Cincinnati Reds Form
Cincinnati Reds
W3d
L3d
L4d
L6d
L7d
L8d
W10d
W10d
L11d
W14d
By inning:0-00-20-00-00-03-00-11-00-0
By inning:0-41-01-13-30-50-00-04-00-—
By inning:0-20-60-00-10-80-00-00-30-—
By inning:0-00-10-21-60-00-20-20-10-—
By inning:0-10-12-00-00-10-00-00-00-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-20-00-00-03-00-11-00-0
By inning:0-41-01-13-30-50-00-04-00-—
By inning:0-20-60-00-10-80-00-00-30-—
By inning:0-10-20-13-23-30-00-01-31-—
By inning:1-10-01-00-10-00-11-10-10-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Milwaukee Brewers 6 / Cincinnati Reds 4. Average total: 12.6.
Milwaukee Brewers
1.49
Implied 63.7%
Edge +8.3%
Cincinnati Reds
2.62
Implied 36.3%
Edge -8.3%
Bookmaker vig: 5.28%
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 8.54,
"team_2": 4.81,
"total": 13.36
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 72,
"team_2": 28
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 7.4,
"avg_ra": 5.1,
"w_avg_rf": 7.8,
"w_avg_ra": 5.06,
"run_rate": 12.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 5,
"avg_ra": 8.3,
"w_avg_rf": 4.77,
"w_avg_ra": 8.69,
"run_rate": 13.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 12.6
},
"confidence": 91,
"winner": {
"team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"probability": 72,
"margin_runs": 3.73,
"opponent": "Cincinnati Reds",
"opponent_probability": 28
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 13.36,
"team_1_proj": 8.54,
"team_2_proj": 4.81,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 0,
"team_2": 2,
"total": 2,
"source": "actual"
},
"inning_scores": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"f5_home": 0,
"f5_away": 2
},
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.71,
0.24,
0.24,
1.07,
0,
1.61,
0,
1.49,
3.2
],
"away": [
0.71,
1.32,
0.21,
0.68,
1.08,
0.14,
0.46,
0.21,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.42,
1.56,
0.45,
1.75,
1.08,
1.75,
0.46,
1.7,
3.2
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.26,
"away": 4,
"total": 6.26
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.083,
"i2": 0.028,
"i3": 0.028,
"i4": 0.125,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.188,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.174,
"i9": 0.375
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.148,
"i2": 0.274,
"i3": 0.044,
"i4": 0.142,
"i5": 0.224,
"i6": 0.029,
"i7": 0.095,
"i8": 0.044,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Milwaukee Brewers to win",
"team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"win_prob": 72,
"confidence": 91,
"reason": "Projected edge ~3.7 runs; form 60% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 13.4)",
"projected": 13.36,
"confidence": 91,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 12.9 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds",
"date": "2026-09-13",
"time": "21:10",
"score": {
"home": 3,
"away": 4
},
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "13-9",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 22,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
1,
3,
5,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "20-0",
"home_points": 20,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
6,
0,
1,
8,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
5
],
"away": [
3,
3,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "12-8",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "7-10",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Cincinnati Reds",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "13-9",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 22,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
1,
3,
5,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "20-0",
"home_points": 20,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
6,
0,
1,
8,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "14-1",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
2,
6,
0,
2,
2,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "6-3",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "12-8",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "7-10",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "San Diego Padres",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "13-9",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 22,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
1,
3,
5,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "20-0",
"home_points": 20,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
6,
0,
1,
8,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "12-8",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
3,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
1,
2,
1,
2,
3,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "7-10",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.07.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.07.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "4-2",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.07.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "7-2",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "30.06.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 1.49,
"indicator": null,
"implied_pct": 63.7,
"edge_vs_model": 8.3
},
"away": {
"value": 2.62,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 36.3,
"edge_vs_model": -8.3
},
"vig_pct": 5.28
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 8.54,
"team_2": 4.81,
"total": 13.36
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 72,
"team_2": 28
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 7.4,
"avg_ra": 5.1,
"w_avg_rf": 7.8,
"w_avg_ra": 5.06,
"run_rate": 12.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 5,
"avg_ra": 8.3,
"w_avg_rf": 4.77,
"w_avg_ra": 8.69,
"run_rate": 13.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 12.6
},
"confidence": 91,
"winner": {
"team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"probability": 72,
"margin_runs": 3.73,
"opponent": "Cincinnati Reds",
"opponent_probability": 28
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 13.36,
"team_1_proj": 8.54,
"team_2_proj": 4.81,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 0,
"team_2": 2,
"total": 2,
"source": "actual"
},
"inning_scores": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"f5_home": 0,
"f5_away": 2
},
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.71,
0.24,
0.24,
1.07,
0,
1.61,
0,
1.49,
3.2
],
"away": [
0.71,
1.32,
0.21,
0.68,
1.08,
0.14,
0.46,
0.21,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.42,
1.56,
0.45,
1.75,
1.08,
1.75,
0.46,
1.7,
3.2
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.26,
"away": 4,
"total": 6.26
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.083,
"i2": 0.028,
"i3": 0.028,
"i4": 0.125,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.188,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.174,
"i9": 0.375
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.148,
"i2": 0.274,
"i3": 0.044,
"i4": 0.142,
"i5": 0.224,
"i6": 0.029,
"i7": 0.095,
"i8": 0.044,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Milwaukee Brewers to win",
"team": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"win_prob": 72,
"confidence": 91,
"reason": "Projected edge ~3.7 runs; form 60% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 13.4)",
"projected": 13.36,
"confidence": 91,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 12.9 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 72,
"team_2": 28
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 8.54,
"team_2": 4.81,
"total": 13.36
},
"predicted_winner": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"event_status": "FINISHED",
"status": "FINISHED",
"status_checked_at": "2026-09-15T04:34:53.631898Z",
"finished": true,
"source_match_id": "Y7mVepBa",
"source_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/match/baseball/cincinnati-reds-EkWXj6U9/milwaukee-brewers-CGzqC60o/?mid=Y7mVepBa",
"score_home": 3,
"score_away": 4,
"period_scores": [],
"set_scores": [],
"quarters": null,
"_page_modified_at": "2026-09-15T04:34:53.631898Z"
}Prediction alerts
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