Baseball · PCL - Second stage · Usa
Round Rock Express vs Tacoma Rainiers
Thursday, 17 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Round Rock Express vs Tacoma Rainiers in PCL - Second stage (Baseball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. Model prediction: Round Rock Express 53% vs Tacoma Rainiers 47%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • PCL - Second stage
Round Rock Expressvs
Tacoma Rainiers17 Sept • 02:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Round Rock Express
53%to win
by ~0.48 runs vs Tacoma Rainie…
Projected Total
9.77runs
5.12 – 4.64
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.82runs
3.62 – 2.2
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Round Rock Express | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| Tacoma Rainiers | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 |
| Tot | 0.3 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 |
from last 4+5 games
Round Rock Express
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 4 — Allowed: 3.9 — Run env: 7.9
Tacoma Rainiers
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
RPG: 5.7 — Allowed: 5.6 — Run env: 11.3
Round Rock Express Form
Round Rock Express
W1d
W2d
L3d
W4d
W5d
L8d
L8d
L9d
L10d
L11d
By inning:6-01-00-00-00-00-03-03-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-03-02-00-10-00-20-1
By inning:0-10-40-40-00-00-11-00-10-—
By inning:2-00-01-00-10-00-00-01-02-0
By inning:1-00-00-02-00-10-00-01-01-0
Tacoma Rainiers Form
Tacoma Rainiers
L1d
W2d
W3d
L4d
W6d
L8d
W9d
L9d
W11d
W11d
By inning:0-00-02-00-01-00-00-00-11-0
By inning:0-10-00-03-80-00-00-01-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-10-01-21-00-00-01-0
By inning:1-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-03-2
By inning:0-00-02-00-00-03-20-20-02-4
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-02-10-00-03-00-00-00-01-0
By inning:0-00-10-30-00-11-00-00-00-—
By inning:1-12-00-23-01-11-00-01-20-1
By inning:0-04-01-10-00-02-00-00-11-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-40-01-20-10-50-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Round Rock Express 5 / Tacoma Rainiers 5. Average total: 10.7.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.12,
"team_2": 4.64,
"total": 9.77
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 53,
"team_2": 47
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4,
"avg_ra": 3.9,
"w_avg_rf": 4.38,
"w_avg_ra": 3.75,
"run_rate": 7.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 5.7,
"avg_ra": 5.6,
"w_avg_rf": 5.54,
"w_avg_ra": 5.46,
"run_rate": 11.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 10.7
},
"confidence": 77,
"winner": {
"team": "Round Rock Express",
"probability": 53,
"margin_runs": 0.48,
"opponent": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"opponent_probability": 47
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.77,
"team_1_proj": 5.12,
"team_2_proj": 4.64,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.62,
"team_2": 2.2,
"total": 5.82,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.12,
0.47,
0.47,
1.28,
1.28,
0.44,
0,
0.76,
0.32
],
"away": [
0.23,
0,
0.73,
0.7,
0.54,
0.71,
0,
0.23,
1.5
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.35,
0.47,
1.2,
1.98,
1.82,
1.15,
0,
0.99,
1.82
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.62,
"away": 2.2,
"total": 5.82
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.023,
"i2": 0.091,
"i3": 0.091,
"i4": 0.25,
"i5": 0.25,
"i6": 0.085,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.148,
"i9": 0.062
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.157,
"i4": 0.15,
"i5": 0.117,
"i6": 0.152,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.324
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Tacoma Rainiers +ML",
"team": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"win_prob": 47,
"confidence": 77,
"reason": "Tacoma Rainiers has a live shot (47%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "PCL - Second stage",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Round Rock Express vs Tacoma Rainiers",
"date": "2026-09-17",
"time": "02:45",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Round Rock Express",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Salt Lake Bees",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "0-13",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 13,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
6,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
3,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Salt Lake Bees",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "4-5",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Salt Lake Bees",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "11-1",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
4,
4,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Salt Lake Bees",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Salt Lake Bees",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Round Rock Express",
"away": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Round Rock Express",
"away": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
"score": "1-2",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Round Rock Express",
"away": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Round Rock Express",
"away": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Round Rock Express",
"away": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
"score": "3-7",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "El Paso Chihuahuas",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "El Paso Chihuahuas",
"score": "9-4",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
8,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "El Paso Chihuahuas",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "El Paso Chihuahuas",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "El Paso Chihuahuas",
"score": "8-7",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
0,
4
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Albuquerque Isotopes",
"away": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"score": "10-6",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Albuquerque Isotopes",
"away": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"score": "2-6",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Albuquerque Isotopes",
"away": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"score": "11-6",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Albuquerque Isotopes",
"away": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"score": "8-9",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Albuquerque Isotopes",
"away": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "28.06.26",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.06.26",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "5-1",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.06.26",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "7-9",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
0,
3,
1,
1,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
2,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.06.26",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "2-8",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
4,
1,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.06.26",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "12-1",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
4,
0,
2,
1,
5
]
}
},
{
"date": "24.06.26",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "27.07.25",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "1-8",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "27.07.25",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "8-4",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "26.07.25",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "25.07.25",
"home": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"away": "Round Rock Express",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.12,
"team_2": 4.64,
"total": 9.77
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 53,
"team_2": 47
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4,
"avg_ra": 3.9,
"w_avg_rf": 4.38,
"w_avg_ra": 3.75,
"run_rate": 7.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 5.7,
"avg_ra": 5.6,
"w_avg_rf": 5.54,
"w_avg_ra": 5.46,
"run_rate": 11.3,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 10.7
},
"confidence": 77,
"winner": {
"team": "Round Rock Express",
"probability": 53,
"margin_runs": 0.48,
"opponent": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"opponent_probability": 47
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 9.77,
"team_1_proj": 5.12,
"team_2_proj": 4.64,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.62,
"team_2": 2.2,
"total": 5.82,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.12,
0.47,
0.47,
1.28,
1.28,
0.44,
0,
0.76,
0.32
],
"away": [
0.23,
0,
0.73,
0.7,
0.54,
0.71,
0,
0.23,
1.5
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.35,
0.47,
1.2,
1.98,
1.82,
1.15,
0,
0.99,
1.82
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.62,
"away": 2.2,
"total": 5.82
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.023,
"i2": 0.091,
"i3": 0.091,
"i4": 0.25,
"i5": 0.25,
"i6": 0.085,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.148,
"i9": 0.062
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.157,
"i4": 0.15,
"i5": 0.117,
"i6": 0.152,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.324
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Tacoma Rainiers +ML",
"team": "Tacoma Rainiers",
"win_prob": 47,
"confidence": 77,
"reason": "Tacoma Rainiers has a live shot (47%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 53,
"team_2": 47
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.12,
"team_2": 4.64,
"total": 9.77
},
"predicted_winner": "Round Rock Express",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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