Baseball · MLB · Usa
Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox
Wednesday, 23 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 23 September 2026. Model prediction: Kansas City Royals 47% vs Chicago White Sox 53%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Kansas City Royalsvs
Chicago White Sox23 Sept • 02:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Chicago White Sox
53%to win
by ~0.51 runs vs Kansas City R…
Projected Total
8.08runs
3.79 – 4.29
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.52runs
2.61 – 1.91
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Royals | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Chicago White Sox | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Tot | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 |
from last 5+5 games
Kansas City Royals
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 3 — Allowed: 4.1 — Run env: 7.1
Chicago White Sox
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 4.2 — Allowed: 4.7 — Run env: 8.9
Kansas City Royals Form
Kansas City Royals
L0d
L3d
L4d
W4d
W6d
L7d
L9d
W10d
L10d
L11d
By inning:0-10-00-10-01-21-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-00-01-10-20-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-10-01-20-10-10-—
By inning:1-00-02-00-00-20-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-10-11-01-30-00-00-00-—
Chicago White Sox Form
Chicago White Sox
L0d
W1d
L3d
W3d
L4d
L5d
L6d
L7d
W9d
L10d
By inning:0-30-00-01-01-14-10-00-00-2
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-06-10-00-01-2
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-30-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-30-01-13-00-00-00-12-0
By inning:1-10-11-10-00-30-00-11-00-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:1-22-21-01-00-00-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-01-10-00-1
By inning:0-00-00-101-10-20-40-50-00-—
By inning:1-20-00-20-10-00-01-00-10-—
By inning:0-00-20-13-00-20-00-10-02-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Kansas City Royals 3 / Chicago White Sox 7. Average total: 8.2.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.79,
"team_2": 4.29,
"total": 8.08
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 47,
"team_2": 53
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 3,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 2.87,
"w_avg_ra": 3.98,
"run_rate": 7.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 4.2,
"avg_ra": 4.7,
"w_avg_rf": 4.21,
"w_avg_ra": 4.7,
"run_rate": 8.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 8.2
},
"confidence": 77,
"winner": {
"team": "Chicago White Sox",
"probability": 53,
"margin_runs": 0.51,
"opponent": "Kansas City Royals",
"opponent_probability": 47
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.08,
"team_1_proj": 3.79,
"team_2_proj": 4.29,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.61,
"team_2": 1.91,
"total": 4.52,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.19,
0.19,
0.19,
0.53,
1.51,
0.3,
0.34,
0.53,
0
],
"away": [
0.49,
0.64,
0.12,
0.17,
0.49,
1.27,
0.12,
0.17,
0.82
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.68,
0.83,
0.31,
0.7,
2,
1.57,
0.46,
0.7,
0.82
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.61,
"away": 1.91,
"total": 4.52
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.05,
"i3": 0.05,
"i4": 0.14,
"i5": 0.4,
"i6": 0.08,
"i7": 0.09,
"i8": 0.14,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.114,
"i2": 0.149,
"i3": 0.029,
"i4": 0.04,
"i5": 0.114,
"i6": 0.295,
"i7": 0.029,
"i8": 0.04,
"i9": 0.19
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Kansas City Royals +ML",
"team": "Kansas City Royals",
"win_prob": 47,
"confidence": 77,
"reason": "Kansas City Royals has a live shot (47%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White Sox",
"date": "2026-09-23",
"time": "02:40",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Kansas City Royals",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "4-2",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "5-1",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Boston Red Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "4-5",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Toronto Blue Jays",
"score": "2-9",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Chicago White Sox",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
4,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
3,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Cleveland Guardians",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "3-7",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
6,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "St.Louis Cardinals",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
1,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "3-9",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "10-1",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Minnesota Twins",
"score": "4-6",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "28.06.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "4-5",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.06.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "27.06.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "22-1",
"home_points": 22,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 23,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
10,
1,
2,
4,
5,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.05.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "6-2",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.05.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.05.26",
"home": "Chicago White Sox",
"away": "Kansas City Royals",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "12.04.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "11.04.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "11.04.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "10.04.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Chicago White Sox",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": null,
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.79,
"team_2": 4.29,
"total": 8.08
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 47,
"team_2": 53
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 3,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 2.87,
"w_avg_ra": 3.98,
"run_rate": 7.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 4.2,
"avg_ra": 4.7,
"w_avg_rf": 4.21,
"w_avg_ra": 4.7,
"run_rate": 8.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 8.2
},
"confidence": 77,
"winner": {
"team": "Chicago White Sox",
"probability": 53,
"margin_runs": 0.51,
"opponent": "Kansas City Royals",
"opponent_probability": 47
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.08,
"team_1_proj": 3.79,
"team_2_proj": 4.29,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 2.61,
"team_2": 1.91,
"total": 4.52,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.19,
0.19,
0.19,
0.53,
1.51,
0.3,
0.34,
0.53,
0
],
"away": [
0.49,
0.64,
0.12,
0.17,
0.49,
1.27,
0.12,
0.17,
0.82
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.68,
0.83,
0.31,
0.7,
2,
1.57,
0.46,
0.7,
0.82
],
"first_five": {
"home": 2.61,
"away": 1.91,
"total": 4.52
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.05,
"i2": 0.05,
"i3": 0.05,
"i4": 0.14,
"i5": 0.4,
"i6": 0.08,
"i7": 0.09,
"i8": 0.14,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.114,
"i2": 0.149,
"i3": 0.029,
"i4": 0.04,
"i5": 0.114,
"i6": 0.295,
"i7": 0.029,
"i8": 0.04,
"i9": 0.19
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Kansas City Royals +ML",
"team": "Kansas City Royals",
"win_prob": 47,
"confidence": 77,
"reason": "Kansas City Royals has a live shot (47%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 47,
"team_2": 53
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.79,
"team_2": 4.29,
"total": 8.08
},
"predicted_winner": "Chicago White Sox",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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