Baseball · MLB · Usa
Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds
Wednesday, 23 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 23 September 2026. Model prediction: Atlanta Braves 66% vs Cincinnati Reds 34%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Atlanta Bravesvs
Cincinnati Reds23 Sept • 02:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Atlanta Braves
66%to win
by ~2.69 runs vs Cincinnati Re…
Projected Total
10.38runs
6.53 – 3.84
no market line
First 5 (F5)
7.57runs
4.48 – 3.09
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Braves | 0.7 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 |
| Cincinnati Reds | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Tot | 1.0 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.8 | 0.0 |
from last 5+5 games
Atlanta Braves
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
RPG: 4.2 — Allowed: 4.6 — Run env: 8.8
Cincinnati Reds
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 3.7 — Allowed: 7.8 — Run env: 11.5
Atlanta Braves Form
Atlanta Braves
W0d
L1d
L3d
W3d
W4d
W6d
L6d
L7d
L9d
W10d
By inning:0-00-10-00-20-02-02-00-02-0
By inning:0-00-30-20-00-00-23-00-00-—
By inning:0-12-00-00-00-00-00-17-00-2
By inning:1-00-00-00-80-00-10-01-30-—
By inning:0-13-00-00-00-00-00-10-00-1
Cincinnati Reds Form
Cincinnati Reds
L0d
L1d
W3d
L3d
L4d
L6d
L7d
L8d
W10d
W10d
By inning:0-01-02-00-00-00-01-00-00-0
By inning:0-01-00-02-00-00-01-00-00-1
By inning:0-00-20-00-00-03-00-11-00-0
By inning:0-41-01-13-30-50-00-04-00-—
By inning:0-20-60-00-10-80-00-00-30-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:1-10-00-10-11-11-10-10-01-—
By inning:0-01-21-00-01-00-01-00-01-0
By inning:1-03-00-00-20-14-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-13-10-00-00-00-01-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-20-02-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Atlanta Braves 7 / Cincinnati Reds 3. Average total: 8.5.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 6.53,
"team_2": 3.84,
"total": 10.38
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 66,
"team_2": 34
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.2,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.45,
"w_avg_ra": 4.7,
"run_rate": 8.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 3.7,
"avg_ra": 7.8,
"w_avg_rf": 3.39,
"w_avg_ra": 7.81,
"run_rate": 11.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 7,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_total": 8.5
},
"confidence": 87,
"winner": {
"team": "Atlanta Braves",
"probability": 66,
"margin_runs": 2.69,
"opponent": "Cincinnati Reds",
"opponent_probability": 34
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 10.38,
"team_1_proj": 6.53,
"team_2_proj": 3.84,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 4.48,
"team_2": 3.09,
"total": 7.57,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.65,
2.59,
0.37,
0.87,
0,
0.37,
0,
1.67,
0
],
"away": [
0.32,
1.13,
0.44,
0.6,
0.6,
0,
0.64,
0.12,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.97,
3.72,
0.81,
1.47,
0.6,
0.37,
0.64,
1.79,
0
],
"first_five": {
"home": 4.48,
"away": 3.09,
"total": 7.57
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.1,
"i2": 0.397,
"i3": 0.057,
"i4": 0.133,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.256,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.082,
"i2": 0.293,
"i3": 0.115,
"i4": 0.156,
"i5": 0.157,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.167,
"i8": 0.03,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Atlanta Braves to win",
"team": "Atlanta Braves",
"win_prob": 66,
"confidence": 87,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.7 runs; form 50% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 10.4)",
"projected": 10.38,
"confidence": 87,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 10.2 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati Reds",
"date": "2026-09-23",
"time": "02:15",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Atlanta Braves",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
3,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "4-9",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
7,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "12-2",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
8,
0,
1,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"score": "6-5",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Philadelphia Phillies",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "4-5",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Cincinnati Reds",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "0-4",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
2,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "13-9",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 22,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0
],
"away": [
4,
0,
1,
3,
5,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "20-0",
"home_points": 20,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
6,
0,
1,
8,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "14-1",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "6-3",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "12-8",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 20,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "31.05.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "31.05.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "30.05.26",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "3-8",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "03.08.25",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.08.25",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "01.08.25",
"home": "Cincinnati Reds",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "11-12",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 23,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.05.25",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.05.25",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.05.25",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.05.25",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Cincinnati Reds",
"score": "4-0",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 6.53,
"team_2": 3.84,
"total": 10.38
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 66,
"team_2": 34
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.2,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.45,
"w_avg_ra": 4.7,
"run_rate": 8.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 3.7,
"avg_ra": 7.8,
"w_avg_rf": 3.39,
"w_avg_ra": 7.81,
"run_rate": 11.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 7,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_total": 8.5
},
"confidence": 87,
"winner": {
"team": "Atlanta Braves",
"probability": 66,
"margin_runs": 2.69,
"opponent": "Cincinnati Reds",
"opponent_probability": 34
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 10.38,
"team_1_proj": 6.53,
"team_2_proj": 3.84,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 4.48,
"team_2": 3.09,
"total": 7.57,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.65,
2.59,
0.37,
0.87,
0,
0.37,
0,
1.67,
0
],
"away": [
0.32,
1.13,
0.44,
0.6,
0.6,
0,
0.64,
0.12,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.97,
3.72,
0.81,
1.47,
0.6,
0.37,
0.64,
1.79,
0
],
"first_five": {
"home": 4.48,
"away": 3.09,
"total": 7.57
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.1,
"i2": 0.397,
"i3": 0.057,
"i4": 0.133,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.256,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.082,
"i2": 0.293,
"i3": 0.115,
"i4": 0.156,
"i5": 0.157,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.167,
"i8": 0.03,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Atlanta Braves to win",
"team": "Atlanta Braves",
"win_prob": 66,
"confidence": 87,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.7 runs; form 50% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Over)",
"pick": "Over (projected 10.4)",
"projected": 10.38,
"confidence": 87,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 10.2 > league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 66,
"team_2": 34
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 6.53,
"team_2": 3.84,
"total": 10.38
},
"predicted_winner": "Atlanta Braves",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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