Baseball · SM-sarja - Play Offs · Finland

Tigers vs Puumat

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Tigers6-2Puumat

Tigers vs Puumat in SM-sarja - Play Offs (Baseball) was played on Sunday, 13 September 2026. Final score: Tigers 6-2 Puumat. Pre-match model prediction: Tigers 26% vs Puumat 74%. See the head-to-head record and recent form. Compare the result with the pre-match model prediction.

FinlandSM-sarja - Play Offs
TigersTigersvsPuumatPuumat
13 Sept12:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Tigers6-2Puumat
Predicted Winner
Puumat
74%to win
by ~4.18 runs vs Tigers
Projected Total
14.61runs
5.219.39
no market line
First 5 (F5)
live
1runs
01
actual F5 score
Inning Line Score
live
123456789R
Tigers0000020002
Puumat010000416
Tigers
Last 10: 64 (60%)
RPG: 6.6 — Allowed: 7.3 — Run env: 13.9
Puumat
Last 10: 82 (80%)
RPG: 10.9 — Allowed: 4.1 — Run env: 15
Tigers Form
Tigers
L3d
W3d
L4d
W10d
L10d
W18d
W24d
L28d
W31d
W31d
6W · 4L
13 Sept
Puumat vs Tigers
14-3L
By inning:1-60-00-00-41-31-10-
13 Sept
Tigers vs Puumat
6-2W
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-02-00-40-10-
12 Sept
Puumat vs Tigers
12-3L
By inning:0-40-31-00-10-02-10-30-00-
06 Sept
Tigers vs Puumat
9-7W
By inning:1-10-00-21-20-02-01-42-00-
06 Sept
Puumat vs Tigers
14-4L
By inning:0-40-02-00-50-22-00-3
29 Aug
Tigers vs Expos
2-0W
23 Aug
Expos vs Tigers
4-8W
19 Aug
Helsinki Mets vs Tigers
14-13L
16 Aug
Expos vs Tigers
4-8W
16 Aug
Tigers vs XL5
10-2W
Puumat Form
Puumat
W3d
L3d
W4d
L10d
W10d
W18d
W24d
W31d
W33d
W35d
8W · 2L
13 Sept
Puumat vs Tigers
14-3W
By inning:1-60-00-00-41-31-10-
13 Sept
Tigers vs Puumat
6-2L
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-02-00-40-10-
12 Sept
Puumat vs Tigers
12-3W
By inning:0-40-31-00-10-02-10-30-00-
06 Sept
Tigers vs Puumat
9-7L
By inning:1-10-00-21-20-02-01-42-00-
06 Sept
Puumat vs Tigers
14-4W
By inning:0-40-02-00-50-22-00-3
29 Aug
XL5 vs Puumat
2-16W
23 Aug
Puumat vs XL5
14-4W
16 Aug
XL5 vs Puumat
4-5W
14 Aug
Expos vs Puumat
5-12W
12 Aug
Puumat vs XL5
13-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
13 Sept
Puumat vs Tigers
14-3
By inning:1-60-00-00-41-31-10-
13 Sept
Tigers vs Puumat
6-2
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-02-00-40-10-
12 Sept
Puumat vs Tigers
12-3
By inning:0-40-31-00-10-02-10-30-00-
06 Sept
Tigers vs Puumat
9-7
By inning:1-10-00-21-20-02-01-42-00-
06 Sept
Puumat vs Tigers
14-4
By inning:0-40-02-00-50-22-00-3
09 Aug
Tigers vs Puumat
6-19
15 Jul
Tigers vs Puumat
7-13
14 Jun
Puumat vs Tigers
5-0
24 May
Puumat vs Tigers
11-5
13 Sept
Tigers vs Puumat
10-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Tigers 3 / Puumat 7. Average total: 15.
Model output
{
  "expected_runs": {
    "team_1": 5.21,
    "team_2": 9.39,
    "total": 14.61
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 26,
    "team_2": 74
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 6,
      "losses": 4,
      "win_rate": 0.6,
      "avg_rf": 6.6,
      "avg_ra": 7.3,
      "w_avg_rf": 6.21,
      "w_avg_ra": 7.65,
      "run_rate": 13.9,
      "blowout_rate": 0.4
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 8,
      "losses": 2,
      "win_rate": 0.8,
      "avg_rf": 10.9,
      "avg_ra": 4.1,
      "w_avg_rf": 10.74,
      "w_avg_ra": 4.22,
      "run_rate": 15,
      "blowout_rate": 0.7
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 3,
    "t2_wins": 7,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.3,
    "avg_total": 15
  },
  "confidence": 93,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Puumat",
    "probability": 74,
    "margin_runs": 4.18,
    "opponent": "Tigers",
    "opponent_probability": 26
  },
  "total_runs": {
    "projected_total": 14.61,
    "team_1_proj": 5.21,
    "team_2_proj": 9.39,
    "market": null
  },
  "first_five": {
    "team_1": 0,
    "team_2": 1,
    "total": 1,
    "source": "actual"
  },
  "inning_scores": {
    "home": [
      0,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      2,
      0,
      0,
      0
    ],
    "away": [
      0,
      1,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      4,
      1
    ],
    "f5_home": 0,
    "f5_away": 1
  },
  "inning_prediction": {
    "home": [
      1.24,
      0.26,
      0,
      0.91,
      0.37,
      1.5,
      0.63,
      0.3,
      0
    ],
    "away": [
      0.84,
      0.31,
      1.98,
      0.41,
      0.63,
      2.82,
      2.09,
      0.31,
      0
    ],
    "per_inning_total": [
      2.08,
      0.57,
      1.98,
      1.32,
      1,
      4.32,
      2.72,
      0.61,
      0
    ],
    "first_five": {
      "home": 2.78,
      "away": 4.17,
      "total": 6.95
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.238,
      "i2": 0.05,
      "i3": 0,
      "i4": 0.174,
      "i5": 0.071,
      "i6": 0.288,
      "i7": 0.121,
      "i8": 0.057,
      "i9": 0
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.089,
      "i2": 0.033,
      "i3": 0.211,
      "i4": 0.044,
      "i5": 0.067,
      "i6": 0.3,
      "i7": 0.222,
      "i8": 0.033,
      "i9": 0
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "Puumat to win",
      "team": "Puumat",
      "win_prob": 74,
      "confidence": 93,
      "reason": "Projected edge ~4.2 runs; form 80% vs 60% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
    },
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "total runs (Over)",
      "pick": "Over (projected 14.6)",
      "projected": 14.61,
      "confidence": 93,
      "reason": "Combined scoring environment 14.4 > league baseline."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "baseball",
  "league": "SM-sarja - Play Offs",
  "country": "Finland",
  "match": "Tigers vs Puumat",
  "date": "2026-09-13",
  "time": "12:00",
  "score": {
    "home": 6,
    "away": 2
  },
  "innings": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Tigers",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "14-3",
        "home_points": 14,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 17,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            6,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            3,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Tigers",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "6-2",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "12-3",
        "home_points": 12,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            4,
            3,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            1,
            3,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Tigers",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "9-7",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 16,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            2,
            1,
            2,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            2,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "14-4",
        "home_points": 14,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            4,
            0,
            0,
            5,
            2,
            0,
            3
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "29.08.26",
        "home": "Tigers",
        "away": "Expos",
        "score": "2-0",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 2,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "23.08.26",
        "home": "Expos",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "4-8",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "19.08.26",
        "home": "Helsinki Mets",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "14-13",
        "home_points": 14,
        "away_points": 13,
        "total_points": 27,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "16.08.26",
        "home": "Expos",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "4-8",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "16.08.26",
        "home": "Tigers",
        "away": "XL5",
        "score": "10-2",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Puumat",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "14-3",
        "home_points": 14,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 17,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            6,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            3,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Tigers",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "6-2",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "12-3",
        "home_points": 12,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            4,
            3,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            1,
            3,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Tigers",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "9-7",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 16,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            2,
            1,
            2,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            2,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "14-4",
        "home_points": 14,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            4,
            0,
            0,
            5,
            2,
            0,
            3
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "29.08.26",
        "home": "XL5",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "2-16",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 16,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "23.08.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "XL5",
        "score": "14-4",
        "home_points": 14,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "16.08.26",
        "home": "XL5",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "4-5",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "14.08.26",
        "home": "Expos",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "5-12",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 12,
        "total_points": 17,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "12.08.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "XL5",
        "score": "13-1",
        "home_points": 13,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 14,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "14-3",
        "home_points": 14,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 17,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            6,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            3,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Tigers",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "6-2",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "12-3",
        "home_points": 12,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            4,
            3,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            1,
            3,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Tigers",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "9-7",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 16,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            2,
            1,
            2,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            2,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "14-4",
        "home_points": 14,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            4,
            0,
            0,
            5,
            2,
            0,
            3
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.08.26",
        "home": "Tigers",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "6-19",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 19,
        "total_points": 25,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "15.07.26",
        "home": "Tigers",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "7-13",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 13,
        "total_points": 20,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "14.06.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "5-0",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "24.05.26",
        "home": "Puumat",
        "away": "Tigers",
        "score": "11-5",
        "home_points": 11,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 16,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.25",
        "home": "Tigers",
        "away": "Puumat",
        "score": "10-0",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 5.21,
      "team_2": 9.39,
      "total": 14.61
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 26,
      "team_2": 74
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 6,
        "losses": 4,
        "win_rate": 0.6,
        "avg_rf": 6.6,
        "avg_ra": 7.3,
        "w_avg_rf": 6.21,
        "w_avg_ra": 7.65,
        "run_rate": 13.9,
        "blowout_rate": 0.4
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 8,
        "losses": 2,
        "win_rate": 0.8,
        "avg_rf": 10.9,
        "avg_ra": 4.1,
        "w_avg_rf": 10.74,
        "w_avg_ra": 4.22,
        "run_rate": 15,
        "blowout_rate": 0.7
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 3,
      "t2_wins": 7,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.3,
      "avg_total": 15
    },
    "confidence": 93,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Puumat",
      "probability": 74,
      "margin_runs": 4.18,
      "opponent": "Tigers",
      "opponent_probability": 26
    },
    "total_runs": {
      "projected_total": 14.61,
      "team_1_proj": 5.21,
      "team_2_proj": 9.39,
      "market": null
    },
    "first_five": {
      "team_1": 0,
      "team_2": 1,
      "total": 1,
      "source": "actual"
    },
    "inning_scores": {
      "home": [
        0,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        2,
        0,
        0,
        0
      ],
      "away": [
        0,
        1,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        4,
        1
      ],
      "f5_home": 0,
      "f5_away": 1
    },
    "inning_prediction": {
      "home": [
        1.24,
        0.26,
        0,
        0.91,
        0.37,
        1.5,
        0.63,
        0.3,
        0
      ],
      "away": [
        0.84,
        0.31,
        1.98,
        0.41,
        0.63,
        2.82,
        2.09,
        0.31,
        0
      ],
      "per_inning_total": [
        2.08,
        0.57,
        1.98,
        1.32,
        1,
        4.32,
        2.72,
        0.61,
        0
      ],
      "first_five": {
        "home": 2.78,
        "away": 4.17,
        "total": 6.95
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.238,
        "i2": 0.05,
        "i3": 0,
        "i4": 0.174,
        "i5": 0.071,
        "i6": 0.288,
        "i7": 0.121,
        "i8": 0.057,
        "i9": 0
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.089,
        "i2": 0.033,
        "i3": 0.211,
        "i4": 0.044,
        "i5": 0.067,
        "i6": 0.3,
        "i7": 0.222,
        "i8": 0.033,
        "i9": 0
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "Puumat to win",
        "team": "Puumat",
        "win_prob": 74,
        "confidence": 93,
        "reason": "Projected edge ~4.2 runs; form 80% vs 60% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
      },
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "total runs (Over)",
        "pick": "Over (projected 14.6)",
        "projected": 14.61,
        "confidence": 93,
        "reason": "Combined scoring environment 14.4 > league baseline."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "model": {
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 26,
      "team_2": 74
    },
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 5.21,
      "team_2": 9.39,
      "total": 14.61
    },
    "predicted_winner": "Puumat",
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "event_status": "FINISHED",
  "status": "FINISHED",
  "status_checked_at": "2026-09-15T00:38:10.009764Z",
  "finished": true,
  "source_match_id": "UspP5WC6",
  "source_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/match/baseball/puumat-reo9TnKG/tigers-d2RqNpcp/?mid=UspP5WC6",
  "score_home": 6,
  "score_away": 2,
  "period_scores": [],
  "set_scores": [],
  "quarters": null,
  "_page_modified_at": "2026-09-15T00:38:10.009764Z"
}

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