Baseball · MLB · Usa
New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays
Wednesday, 23 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 23 September 2026. Model prediction: New York Yankees 49% vs Tampa Bay Rays 51%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
New York Yankeesvs
Tampa Bay Rays23 Sept • 02:05
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Tampa Bay Rays
51%to win
by ~0.14 runs vs New York Yank…
Projected Total
8.82runs
4.34 – 4.48
no market line
First 5 (F5)
3.16runs
1.81 – 1.35
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Yankees | 0.1 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Tampa Bay Rays | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Tot | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 2.5 | 0.4 | 2.4 | 0.4 |
from last 4+5 games
New York Yankees
Last 10: 8–2 (80%)
RPG: 5.5 — Allowed: 3.2 — Run env: 8.7
Tampa Bay Rays
Last 10: 8–2 (80%)
RPG: 5.6 — Allowed: 3.1 — Run env: 8.7
New York Yankees Form
New York Yankees
W0d
W1d
W3d
L4d
W4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
L10d
W10d
By inning:2-00-11-00-00-04-00-00-01-—
By inning:0-00-01-00-00-00-20-06-11-0
By inning:0-10-00-10-00-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:1-02-01-00-11-00-11-05-01-0
By inning:0-11-30-00-00-10-01-01-11-—
Tampa Bay Rays Form
Tampa Bay Rays
W0d
W3d
W3d
W4d
L6d
W6d
W7d
L10d
W10d
W11d
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-01-00-00-00-1
By inning:0-30-00-40-20-22-00-32-00-—
By inning:1-00-00-00-00-21-00-10-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-10-00-00-00-2
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-31-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-10-06-21-00-03-11-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-10-00-10-00-10-00-—
By inning:0-00-23-00-40-00-01-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-03-10-00-01-01-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-2
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — New York Yankees 4 / Tampa Bay Rays 6. Average total: 7.4.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.34,
"team_2": 4.48,
"total": 8.82
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_rf": 5.5,
"avg_ra": 3.2,
"w_avg_rf": 5.6,
"w_avg_ra": 3.24,
"run_rate": 8.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_rf": 5.6,
"avg_ra": 3.1,
"w_avg_rf": 5.53,
"w_avg_ra": 2.88,
"run_rate": 8.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 7.4
},
"confidence": 76,
"winner": {
"team": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"probability": 51,
"margin_runs": 0.14,
"opponent": "New York Yankees",
"opponent_probability": 49
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.82,
"team_1_proj": 4.34,
"team_2_proj": 4.48,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.81,
"team_2": 1.35,
"total": 3.16,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.09,
1.54,
0.09,
0,
0.09,
0.72,
0.36,
1.09,
0.36
],
"away": [
0.45,
0,
0,
0.9,
0,
1.79,
0,
1.35,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.54,
1.54,
0.09,
0.9,
0.09,
2.51,
0.36,
2.44,
0.36
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.81,
"away": 1.35,
"total": 3.16
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.021,
"i2": 0.354,
"i3": 0.021,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.021,
"i6": 0.167,
"i7": 0.083,
"i8": 0.25,
"i9": 0.083
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.1,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.2,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.4,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.3,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays",
"date": "2026-09-23",
"time": "02:05",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "New York Yankees",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "1-8",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
1,
0,
0,
4,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Minnesota Twins",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "3-8",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
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0,
6,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
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2,
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]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
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"away": [
1,
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]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "2-12",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
1,
0,
1,
0,
1,
5,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
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}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
1
],
"away": [
1,
3,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "10-3",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Colorado Rockies",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "San Diego Padres",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Athletics",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
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1,
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"away": [
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},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "14-4",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
2,
0
],
"away": [
3,
0,
4,
2,
2,
0,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
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1,
0,
0,
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"away": [
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2,
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1,
0
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}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "Houston Astros",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
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0,
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],
"away": [
0,
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0,
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2
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
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1
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0,
3
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}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Atlanta Braves",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Texas Rangers",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Texas Rangers",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Texas Rangers",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "09.07.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "4-12",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
6,
1,
0,
3,
1,
1,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.07.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "3-0",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.07.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.07.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "24.05.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.05.26",
"home": "New York Yankees",
"away": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "12.04.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "12.04.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "11.04.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "17.03.26",
"home": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"away": "New York Yankees",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": null,
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.34,
"team_2": 4.48,
"total": 8.82
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_rf": 5.5,
"avg_ra": 3.2,
"w_avg_rf": 5.6,
"w_avg_ra": 3.24,
"run_rate": 8.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.5
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 8,
"losses": 2,
"win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_rf": 5.6,
"avg_ra": 3.1,
"w_avg_rf": 5.53,
"w_avg_ra": 2.88,
"run_rate": 8.7,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 7.4
},
"confidence": 76,
"winner": {
"team": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"probability": 51,
"margin_runs": 0.14,
"opponent": "New York Yankees",
"opponent_probability": 49
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.82,
"team_1_proj": 4.34,
"team_2_proj": 4.48,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.81,
"team_2": 1.35,
"total": 3.16,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.09,
1.54,
0.09,
0,
0.09,
0.72,
0.36,
1.09,
0.36
],
"away": [
0.45,
0,
0,
0.9,
0,
1.79,
0,
1.35,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.54,
1.54,
0.09,
0.9,
0.09,
2.51,
0.36,
2.44,
0.36
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.81,
"away": 1.35,
"total": 3.16
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.021,
"i2": 0.354,
"i3": 0.021,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.021,
"i6": 0.167,
"i7": 0.083,
"i8": 0.25,
"i9": 0.083
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.1,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.2,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.4,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.3,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.34,
"team_2": 4.48,
"total": 8.82
},
"predicted_winner": "Tampa Bay Rays",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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