Baseball · MLB · Usa
Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins
Wednesday, 23 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 23 September 2026. Model prediction: Chicago Cubs 54% vs Miami Marlins 46%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Chicago Cubsvs
Miami Marlins23 Sept • 02:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Chicago Cubs
54%to win
by ~0.62 runs vs Miami Marlins
Projected Total
11.16runs
5.89 – 5.27
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.12runs
0.88 – 3.24
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Miami Marlins | 1.8 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Tot | 2.6 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 3.2 | 2.3 | 0.3 | 1.3 |
from last 5+5 games
Chicago Cubs
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 5 — Allowed: 4.9 — Run env: 9.9
Miami Marlins
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 6.1 — Allowed: 6.3 — Run env: 12.4
Chicago Cubs Form
Chicago Cubs
L0d
W1d
L3d
W4d
W5d
L6d
L7d
L9d
L10d
W11d
By inning:0-00-10-00-20-02-02-00-02-0
By inning:0-00-30-20-00-00-23-00-00-—
By inning:1-00-00-00-00-23-10-00-00-—
By inning:0-10-00-10-00-03-00-00-20-—
By inning:1-00-30-20-40-01-20-10-00-—
Miami Marlins Form
Miami Marlins
W0d
L1d
W3d
W4d
L4d
L6d
L7d
L9d
W10d
L11d
By inning:0-10-00-01-00-00-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-03-00-32-00-10-02-00-20-2
By inning:0-00-00-03-00-00-00-00-21-4
By inning:2-00-30-00-00-10-00-00-01-—
By inning:0-00-01-00-00-01-14-00-10-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-21-01-11-50-00-20-00-—
By inning:0-00-03-01-21-21-00-10-00-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-03-01-10-01-0
By inning:1-10-00-00-00-00-00-01-00-0
By inning:1-00-00-10-00-08-00-00-05-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Chicago Cubs 6 / Miami Marlins 4. Average total: 9.3.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.89,
"team_2": 5.27,
"total": 11.16
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 54,
"team_2": 46
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 5,
"avg_ra": 4.9,
"w_avg_rf": 5.03,
"w_avg_ra": 4.74,
"run_rate": 9.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 6.1,
"avg_ra": 6.3,
"w_avg_rf": 5.99,
"w_avg_ra": 6.15,
"run_rate": 12.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 9.3
},
"confidence": 68,
"winner": {
"team": "Chicago Cubs",
"probability": 54,
"margin_runs": 0.62,
"opponent": "Miami Marlins",
"opponent_probability": 46
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.16,
"team_1_proj": 5.89,
"team_2_proj": 5.27,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 0.88,
"team_2": 3.24,
"total": 4.12,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.88,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3.05,
1.57,
0,
0.39
],
"away": [
1.75,
0,
0.57,
0.79,
0.13,
0.17,
0.7,
0.26,
0.88
],
"per_inning_total": [
2.63,
0,
0.57,
0.79,
0.13,
3.22,
2.27,
0.26,
1.27
],
"first_five": {
"home": 0.88,
"away": 3.24,
"total": 4.12
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.15,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.517,
"i7": 0.267,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.067
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.333,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.108,
"i4": 0.15,
"i5": 0.025,
"i6": 0.033,
"i7": 0.133,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.167
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Miami Marlins +ML",
"team": "Miami Marlins",
"win_prob": 46,
"confidence": 68,
"reason": "Miami Marlins has a live shot (46%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Chicago Cubs vs Miami Marlins",
"date": "2026-09-23",
"time": "02:40",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Chicago Cubs",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Atlanta Braves",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
3,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
"score": "12-2",
"home_points": 12,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
3,
2,
4,
0,
2,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Milwaukee Brewers",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "10-3",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Miami Marlins",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "16.09.26",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "8-7",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
2,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
4
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
3,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "2-6",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
4,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "14-15",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 15,
"total_points": 29,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "5-7",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "4-9",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "10-3",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "10-3",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
1,
5,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
3,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
1,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "21.05.25",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "1-2",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "21.05.25",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "1-14",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 14,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
8,
0,
0,
5
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "20.05.25",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "8-7",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "15.05.25",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "14.05.25",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "13.05.25",
"home": "Chicago Cubs",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "25.08.24",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "7-2",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.89,
"team_2": 5.27,
"total": 11.16
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 54,
"team_2": 46
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 5,
"avg_ra": 4.9,
"w_avg_rf": 5.03,
"w_avg_ra": 4.74,
"run_rate": 9.9,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 6.1,
"avg_ra": 6.3,
"w_avg_rf": 5.99,
"w_avg_ra": 6.15,
"run_rate": 12.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 9.3
},
"confidence": 68,
"winner": {
"team": "Chicago Cubs",
"probability": 54,
"margin_runs": 0.62,
"opponent": "Miami Marlins",
"opponent_probability": 46
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.16,
"team_1_proj": 5.89,
"team_2_proj": 5.27,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 0.88,
"team_2": 3.24,
"total": 4.12,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.88,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3.05,
1.57,
0,
0.39
],
"away": [
1.75,
0,
0.57,
0.79,
0.13,
0.17,
0.7,
0.26,
0.88
],
"per_inning_total": [
2.63,
0,
0.57,
0.79,
0.13,
3.22,
2.27,
0.26,
1.27
],
"first_five": {
"home": 0.88,
"away": 3.24,
"total": 4.12
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.15,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0.517,
"i7": 0.267,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.067
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.333,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.108,
"i4": 0.15,
"i5": 0.025,
"i6": 0.033,
"i7": 0.133,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.167
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Miami Marlins +ML",
"team": "Miami Marlins",
"win_prob": 46,
"confidence": 68,
"reason": "Miami Marlins has a live shot (46%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 54,
"team_2": 46
},
"prediction_quality": "medium",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.89,
"team_2": 5.27,
"total": 11.16
},
"predicted_winner": "Chicago Cubs",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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