Baseball · Division 1 - Play Offs · France

Montpellier vs Savigny

Sunday, 13 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Montpellier11-7Savigny

Montpellier vs Savigny in Division 1 - Play Offs (Baseball) was played on Sunday, 13 September 2026. Final score: Montpellier 11-7 Savigny. Pre-match model prediction: Montpellier 38% vs Savigny 62%. See the head-to-head record and recent form. Compare the result with the pre-match model prediction.

FranceDivision 1 - Play Offs
MontpellierMontpelliervsSavignySavigny
13 Sept12:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Montpellier11-7Savigny
Predicted Winner
Savigny
62%to win
by ~1.94 runs vs Montpellier
Projected Total
13.27runs
5.677.6
no market line
First 5 (F5)
live
11runs
29
actual F5 score
Inning Line Score
live
123456789R
Montpellier0002000147
Savigny2700001111
Montpellier
Last 10: 46 (40%)
RPG: 5.7 — Allowed: 7.4 — Run env: 13.1
Savigny
Last 10: 73 (70%)
RPG: 7.2 — Allowed: 5.5 — Run env: 12.7
Montpellier Form
Montpellier
L3d
W3d
L4d
L17d
L18d
L38d
L39d
W45d
W46d
W52d
4W · 6L
13 Sept
Savigny vs Montpellier
8-6L
By inning:1-02-40-00-00-02-00-01-40-
13 Sept
Montpellier vs Savigny
11-7W
By inning:0-20-70-02-00-00-00-11-14-
12 Sept
Savigny vs Montpellier
5-0L
By inning:0-10-00-00-00-20-10-10-00-
30 Aug
Savigny vs Montpellier
8-5L
By inning:3-00-11-00-00-10-11-00-50-
29 Aug
Savigny vs Montpellier
18-5L
By inning:1-00-00-40-24-10-110-
09 Aug
Rouen vs Montpellier
7-1L
08 Aug
Rouen vs Montpellier
13-3L
02 Aug
Montpellier vs Stade Toulousain
13-3W
01 Aug
Montpellier vs Stade Toulousain
7-1W
26 Jul
La Rochelle vs Montpellier
4-6W
Savigny Form
Savigny
W3d
L3d
W4d
W17d
W18d
L38d
W39d
W45d
W46d
L52d
7W · 3L
13 Sept
Savigny vs Montpellier
8-6W
By inning:1-02-40-00-00-02-00-01-40-
13 Sept
Montpellier vs Savigny
11-7L
By inning:0-20-70-02-00-00-00-11-14-
12 Sept
Savigny vs Montpellier
5-0W
By inning:0-10-00-00-00-20-10-10-00-
30 Aug
Savigny vs Montpellier
8-5W
By inning:3-00-11-00-00-10-11-00-50-
29 Aug
Savigny vs Montpellier
18-5W
By inning:1-00-00-40-24-10-110-
09 Aug
Senart vs Savigny
10-4L
08 Aug
Senart vs Savigny
2-3W
02 Aug
Paris vs Savigny
2-6W
01 Aug
Paris vs Savigny
3-7W
26 Jul
Savigny vs Beziers Pirates
6-11L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
13 Sept
Savigny vs Montpellier
8-6
By inning:1-02-40-00-00-02-00-01-40-
13 Sept
Montpellier vs Savigny
11-7
By inning:0-20-70-02-00-00-00-11-14-
12 Sept
Savigny vs Montpellier
5-0
By inning:0-10-00-00-00-20-10-10-00-
30 Aug
Savigny vs Montpellier
8-5
By inning:3-00-11-00-00-10-11-00-50-
29 Aug
Savigny vs Montpellier
18-5
By inning:1-00-00-40-24-10-110-
26 Apr
Montpellier vs Savigny
17-15
25 Apr
Montpellier vs Savigny
5-13
06 Jul
Savigny vs Montpellier
7-9
05 Jul
Savigny vs Montpellier
12-10
27 Apr
Montpellier vs Savigny
3-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Montpellier 4 / Savigny 6. Average total: 16.4.
Model output
{
  "expected_runs": {
    "team_1": 5.67,
    "team_2": 7.6,
    "total": 13.27
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 38,
    "team_2": 62
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 4,
      "losses": 6,
      "win_rate": 0.4,
      "avg_rf": 5.7,
      "avg_ra": 7.4,
      "w_avg_rf": 5.61,
      "w_avg_ra": 7.67,
      "run_rate": 13.1,
      "blowout_rate": 0.6
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 7,
      "losses": 3,
      "win_rate": 0.7,
      "avg_rf": 7.2,
      "avg_ra": 5.5,
      "w_avg_rf": 7.34,
      "w_avg_ra": 5.52,
      "run_rate": 12.7,
      "blowout_rate": 0.4
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 4,
    "t2_wins": 6,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.4,
    "avg_total": 16.4
  },
  "confidence": 84,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Savigny",
    "probability": 62,
    "margin_runs": 1.94,
    "opponent": "Montpellier",
    "opponent_probability": 38
  },
  "total_runs": {
    "projected_total": 13.27,
    "team_1_proj": 5.67,
    "team_2_proj": 7.6,
    "market": null
  },
  "first_five": {
    "team_1": 2,
    "team_2": 9,
    "total": 11,
    "source": "actual"
  },
  "inning_scores": {
    "home": [
      0,
      0,
      0,
      2,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      1,
      4
    ],
    "away": [
      2,
      7,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      1,
      1
    ],
    "f5_home": 2,
    "f5_away": 9
  },
  "inning_prediction": {
    "home": [
      0.23,
      0.71,
      0.25,
      0.45,
      0.66,
      1.06,
      0.23,
      1.44,
      0.65
    ],
    "away": [
      2.18,
      1.84,
      0.38,
      0,
      1.52,
      0.63,
      0.56,
      0.49,
      0
    ],
    "per_inning_total": [
      2.41,
      2.55,
      0.63,
      0.45,
      2.18,
      1.69,
      0.79,
      1.93,
      0.65
    ],
    "first_five": {
      "home": 2.3,
      "away": 5.92,
      "total": 8.22
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 4,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.04,
      "i2": 0.125,
      "i3": 0.044,
      "i4": 0.079,
      "i5": 0.116,
      "i6": 0.187,
      "i7": 0.04,
      "i8": 0.254,
      "i9": 0.114
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.287,
      "i2": 0.242,
      "i3": 0.05,
      "i4": 0,
      "i5": 0.2,
      "i6": 0.083,
      "i7": 0.073,
      "i8": 0.064,
      "i9": 0
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "Savigny to win",
      "team": "Savigny",
      "win_prob": 62,
      "confidence": 84,
      "reason": "Projected edge ~1.9 runs; form 70% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
    },
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
      "pick": "Montpellier +ML",
      "team": "Montpellier",
      "win_prob": 38,
      "confidence": 84,
      "reason": "Montpellier has a live shot (38%) at a price the market may shade."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "baseball",
  "league": "Division 1 - Play Offs",
  "country": "France",
  "match": "Montpellier vs Savigny",
  "date": "2026-09-13",
  "time": "12:00",
  "score": {
    "home": 11,
    "away": 7
  },
  "innings": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Montpellier",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "8-6",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 14,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            4,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            4
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Montpellier",
        "away": "Savigny",
        "score": "11-7",
        "home_points": 11,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            4
          ],
          "away": [
            2,
            7,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "5-0",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "30.08.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "8-5",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            3,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            5
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "29.08.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "18-5",
        "home_points": 18,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 23,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            4,
            2,
            1,
            11
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.08.26",
        "home": "Rouen",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "7-1",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "08.08.26",
        "home": "Rouen",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "13-3",
        "home_points": 13,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 16,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "02.08.26",
        "home": "Montpellier",
        "away": "Stade Toulousain",
        "score": "13-3",
        "home_points": 13,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 16,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "01.08.26",
        "home": "Montpellier",
        "away": "Stade Toulousain",
        "score": "7-1",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "26.07.26",
        "home": "La Rochelle",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "4-6",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Savigny",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "8-6",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 14,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            4,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            4
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Montpellier",
        "away": "Savigny",
        "score": "11-7",
        "home_points": 11,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            4
          ],
          "away": [
            2,
            7,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "5-0",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "30.08.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "8-5",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            3,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            5
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "29.08.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "18-5",
        "home_points": 18,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 23,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            4,
            2,
            1,
            11
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.08.26",
        "home": "Senart",
        "away": "Savigny",
        "score": "10-4",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 14,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "08.08.26",
        "home": "Senart",
        "away": "Savigny",
        "score": "2-3",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "02.08.26",
        "home": "Paris",
        "away": "Savigny",
        "score": "2-6",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "01.08.26",
        "home": "Paris",
        "away": "Savigny",
        "score": "3-7",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "26.07.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Beziers Pirates",
        "score": "6-11",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 11,
        "total_points": 17,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "8-6",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 14,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            4,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            4
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Montpellier",
        "away": "Savigny",
        "score": "11-7",
        "home_points": 11,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            4
          ],
          "away": [
            2,
            7,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "5-0",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "30.08.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "8-5",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            3,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            5
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "29.08.26",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "18-5",
        "home_points": 18,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 23,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            4,
            2,
            1,
            11
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "26.04.26",
        "home": "Montpellier",
        "away": "Savigny",
        "score": "17-15",
        "home_points": 17,
        "away_points": 15,
        "total_points": 32,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "25.04.26",
        "home": "Montpellier",
        "away": "Savigny",
        "score": "5-13",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 13,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.07.25",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "7-9",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 9,
        "total_points": 16,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.07.25",
        "home": "Savigny",
        "away": "Montpellier",
        "score": "12-10",
        "home_points": 12,
        "away_points": 10,
        "total_points": 22,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "27.04.25",
        "home": "Montpellier",
        "away": "Savigny",
        "score": "3-0",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 3,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 5.67,
      "team_2": 7.6,
      "total": 13.27
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 38,
      "team_2": 62
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 4,
        "losses": 6,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "avg_rf": 5.7,
        "avg_ra": 7.4,
        "w_avg_rf": 5.61,
        "w_avg_ra": 7.67,
        "run_rate": 13.1,
        "blowout_rate": 0.6
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 7,
        "losses": 3,
        "win_rate": 0.7,
        "avg_rf": 7.2,
        "avg_ra": 5.5,
        "w_avg_rf": 7.34,
        "w_avg_ra": 5.52,
        "run_rate": 12.7,
        "blowout_rate": 0.4
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 4,
      "t2_wins": 6,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.4,
      "avg_total": 16.4
    },
    "confidence": 84,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Savigny",
      "probability": 62,
      "margin_runs": 1.94,
      "opponent": "Montpellier",
      "opponent_probability": 38
    },
    "total_runs": {
      "projected_total": 13.27,
      "team_1_proj": 5.67,
      "team_2_proj": 7.6,
      "market": null
    },
    "first_five": {
      "team_1": 2,
      "team_2": 9,
      "total": 11,
      "source": "actual"
    },
    "inning_scores": {
      "home": [
        0,
        0,
        0,
        2,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        1,
        4
      ],
      "away": [
        2,
        7,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        1,
        1
      ],
      "f5_home": 2,
      "f5_away": 9
    },
    "inning_prediction": {
      "home": [
        0.23,
        0.71,
        0.25,
        0.45,
        0.66,
        1.06,
        0.23,
        1.44,
        0.65
      ],
      "away": [
        2.18,
        1.84,
        0.38,
        0,
        1.52,
        0.63,
        0.56,
        0.49,
        0
      ],
      "per_inning_total": [
        2.41,
        2.55,
        0.63,
        0.45,
        2.18,
        1.69,
        0.79,
        1.93,
        0.65
      ],
      "first_five": {
        "home": 2.3,
        "away": 5.92,
        "total": 8.22
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 4,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.04,
        "i2": 0.125,
        "i3": 0.044,
        "i4": 0.079,
        "i5": 0.116,
        "i6": 0.187,
        "i7": 0.04,
        "i8": 0.254,
        "i9": 0.114
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.287,
        "i2": 0.242,
        "i3": 0.05,
        "i4": 0,
        "i5": 0.2,
        "i6": 0.083,
        "i7": 0.073,
        "i8": 0.064,
        "i9": 0
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "Savigny to win",
        "team": "Savigny",
        "win_prob": 62,
        "confidence": 84,
        "reason": "Projected edge ~1.9 runs; form 70% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 60% over last 10"
      },
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
        "pick": "Montpellier +ML",
        "team": "Montpellier",
        "win_prob": 38,
        "confidence": 84,
        "reason": "Montpellier has a live shot (38%) at a price the market may shade."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "model": {
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 38,
      "team_2": 62
    },
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 5.67,
      "team_2": 7.6,
      "total": 13.27
    },
    "predicted_winner": "Savigny",
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "event_status": "FINISHED",
  "status": "FINISHED",
  "status_checked_at": "2026-09-15T00:35:18.260449Z",
  "finished": true,
  "source_match_id": "Sf1cBye2",
  "source_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/match/baseball/montpellier-jwtqOtnE/savigny-MBXvFx90/?mid=Sf1cBye2",
  "score_home": 11,
  "score_away": 7,
  "period_scores": [],
  "set_scores": [],
  "quarters": null,
  "_page_modified_at": "2026-09-15T00:35:18.260449Z"
}

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