Baseball · PCL - Second stage · Usa

Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express

Monday, 14 September 2026

Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.

Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express in PCL - Second stage (Baseball) on Monday, 14 September 2026. Model prediction: Salt Lake Bees 42% vs Round Rock Express 58%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

UsaPCL - Second stage
Salt Lake BeesSalt Lake BeesvsRound Rock ExpressRound Rock Express
14 Sept03:05
Past · result pending. The scheduled start has passed. A live or final status has not been confirmed.
Predicted Winner
Round Rock Express
58%to win
by ~1.3 runs vs Salt Lake Bees
Projected Total
8.93runs
3.815.12
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.64runs
2.023.62
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected
123456789
Salt Lake Bees0.80.10.10.80.30.00.90.50.4
Round Rock Express0.10.50.51.31.30.40.00.80.3
Tot0.90.50.62.01.60.40.91.20.7
from last 5+4 games
Salt Lake Bees
Last 10: 46 (40%)
RPG: 3.9 — Allowed: 5.2 — Run env: 9.1
Round Rock Express
Last 10: 46 (40%)
RPG: 4 — Allowed: 3.9 — Run env: 7.9
Salt Lake Bees Form
Salt Lake Bees
L1d
L2d
W3d
L4d
L5d
W8d
L8d
W9d
W10d
L11d
4W · 6L
13 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
0-13L
By inning:6-01-00-00-00-00-03-03-00-0
12 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
4-5L
By inning:0-00-00-03-02-00-10-00-20-1
11 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
11-1W
By inning:0-10-40-40-00-00-11-00-10-
10 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
1-6L
By inning:2-00-01-00-10-00-00-01-02-0
09 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
1-5L
By inning:1-00-00-02-00-10-00-01-01-0
06 Sept
Sacramento River Cats vs Salt Lake Bees
3-6W
06 Sept
Sacramento River Cats vs Salt Lake Bees
6-3L
05 Sept
Sacramento River Cats vs Salt Lake Bees
7-8W
04 Sept
Sacramento River Cats vs Salt Lake Bees
3-4W
03 Sept
Sacramento River Cats vs Salt Lake Bees
3-1L
Round Rock Express Form
Round Rock Express
W1d
W2d
L3d
W4d
W5d
L8d
L8d
L9d
L10d
L11d
4W · 6L
13 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
0-13W
By inning:6-01-00-00-00-00-03-03-00-0
12 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
4-5W
By inning:0-00-00-03-02-00-10-00-20-1
11 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
11-1L
By inning:0-10-40-40-00-00-11-00-10-
10 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
1-6W
By inning:2-00-01-00-10-00-00-01-02-0
09 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
1-5W
By inning:1-00-00-02-00-10-00-01-01-0
06 Sept
Round Rock Express vs Oklahoma City Dodgers
1-3L
06 Sept
Round Rock Express vs Oklahoma City Dodgers
1-2L
05 Sept
Round Rock Express vs Oklahoma City Dodgers
2-5L
04 Sept
Round Rock Express vs Oklahoma City Dodgers
3-5L
03 Sept
Round Rock Express vs Oklahoma City Dodgers
3-7L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
13 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
0-13
By inning:6-01-00-00-00-00-03-03-00-0
12 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
4-5
By inning:0-00-00-03-02-00-10-00-20-1
11 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
11-1
By inning:0-10-40-40-00-00-11-00-10-
10 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
1-6
By inning:2-00-01-00-10-00-00-01-02-0
09 Sept
Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express
1-5
By inning:1-00-00-02-00-10-00-01-01-0
31 May
Round Rock Express vs Salt Lake Bees
6-8
31 May
Round Rock Express vs Salt Lake Bees
7-4
30 May
Round Rock Express vs Salt Lake Bees
5-7
29 May
Round Rock Express vs Salt Lake Bees
16-11
28 May
Round Rock Express vs Salt Lake Bees
5-4
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Salt Lake Bees 3 / Round Rock Express 7. Average total: 12.
Model output
{
  "expected_runs": {
    "team_1": 3.81,
    "team_2": 5.12,
    "total": 8.93
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 42,
    "team_2": 58
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 4,
      "losses": 6,
      "win_rate": 0.4,
      "avg_rf": 3.9,
      "avg_ra": 5.2,
      "w_avg_rf": 3.88,
      "w_avg_ra": 5.45,
      "run_rate": 9.1,
      "blowout_rate": 0.3
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 4,
      "losses": 6,
      "win_rate": 0.4,
      "avg_rf": 4,
      "avg_ra": 3.9,
      "w_avg_rf": 4.38,
      "w_avg_ra": 3.75,
      "run_rate": 7.9,
      "blowout_rate": 0.3
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 3,
    "t2_wins": 7,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.3,
    "avg_total": 12
  },
  "confidence": 81,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Round Rock Express",
    "probability": 58,
    "margin_runs": 1.3,
    "opponent": "Salt Lake Bees",
    "opponent_probability": 42
  },
  "total_runs": {
    "projected_total": 8.93,
    "team_1_proj": 3.81,
    "team_2_proj": 5.12,
    "market": null
  },
  "first_five": {
    "team_1": 2.02,
    "team_2": 3.62,
    "total": 5.64,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "inning_scores": null,
  "inning_prediction": {
    "home": [
      0.76,
      0.06,
      0.13,
      0.76,
      0.31,
      0,
      0.94,
      0.45,
      0.41
    ],
    "away": [
      0.12,
      0.47,
      0.47,
      1.28,
      1.28,
      0.43,
      0,
      0.76,
      0.32
    ],
    "per_inning_total": [
      0.88,
      0.53,
      0.6,
      2.04,
      1.59,
      0.43,
      0.94,
      1.21,
      0.73
    ],
    "first_five": {
      "home": 2.02,
      "away": 3.62,
      "total": 5.64
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 4,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.199,
      "i2": 0.015,
      "i3": 0.033,
      "i4": 0.2,
      "i5": 0.08,
      "i6": 0,
      "i7": 0.246,
      "i8": 0.119,
      "i9": 0.107
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.023,
      "i2": 0.091,
      "i3": 0.091,
      "i4": 0.25,
      "i5": 0.25,
      "i6": 0.085,
      "i7": 0,
      "i8": 0.148,
      "i9": 0.062
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": null,
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
      "pick": "Salt Lake Bees +ML",
      "team": "Salt Lake Bees",
      "win_prob": 42,
      "confidence": 81,
      "reason": "Salt Lake Bees has a live shot (42%) at a price the market may shade."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "baseball",
  "league": "PCL - Second stage",
  "country": "Usa",
  "match": "Salt Lake Bees vs Round Rock Express",
  "date": "2026-09-14",
  "time": "03:05",
  "status": null,
  "score": null,
  "innings": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Salt Lake Bees",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "0-13",
        "home_points": 0,
        "away_points": 13,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            6,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            3,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "4-5",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            2,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "11.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "11-1",
        "home_points": 11,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
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            0
          ],
          "away": [
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            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "1-6",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            2,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
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            2
          ],
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "1-5",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 6,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Sacramento River Cats",
        "away": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "score": "3-6",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Sacramento River Cats",
        "away": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "score": "6-3",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Sacramento River Cats",
        "away": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "score": "7-8",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "04.09.26",
        "home": "Sacramento River Cats",
        "away": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "score": "3-4",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "03.09.26",
        "home": "Sacramento River Cats",
        "away": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "score": "3-1",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 4,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Round Rock Express",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "0-13",
        "home_points": 0,
        "away_points": 13,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
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            1,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            0,
            0,
            0,
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            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "4-5",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            2,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "11.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "11-1",
        "home_points": 11,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
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            0,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            1,
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            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "1-6",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            2,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            2
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "1-5",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 6,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Round Rock Express",
        "away": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
        "score": "1-3",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 4,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Round Rock Express",
        "away": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
        "score": "1-2",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 3,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Round Rock Express",
        "away": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
        "score": "2-5",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "04.09.26",
        "home": "Round Rock Express",
        "away": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
        "score": "3-5",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "03.09.26",
        "home": "Round Rock Express",
        "away": "Oklahoma City Dodgers",
        "score": "3-7",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "0-13",
        "home_points": 0,
        "away_points": 13,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
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            1,
            0,
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            0,
            0,
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            3,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
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            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "4-5",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
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            2,
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            2,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "11.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "11-1",
        "home_points": 11,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
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            0,
            1,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            1
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        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "1-6",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            2,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            2
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
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            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "away": "Round Rock Express",
        "score": "1-5",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 6,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "31.05.26",
        "home": "Round Rock Express",
        "away": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "score": "6-8",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 14,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "31.05.26",
        "home": "Round Rock Express",
        "away": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "score": "7-4",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "30.05.26",
        "home": "Round Rock Express",
        "away": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "score": "5-7",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "29.05.26",
        "home": "Round Rock Express",
        "away": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "score": "16-11",
        "home_points": 16,
        "away_points": 11,
        "total_points": 27,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "28.05.26",
        "home": "Round Rock Express",
        "away": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "score": "5-4",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 3.81,
      "team_2": 5.12,
      "total": 8.93
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 42,
      "team_2": 58
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 4,
        "losses": 6,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "avg_rf": 3.9,
        "avg_ra": 5.2,
        "w_avg_rf": 3.88,
        "w_avg_ra": 5.45,
        "run_rate": 9.1,
        "blowout_rate": 0.3
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 4,
        "losses": 6,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "avg_rf": 4,
        "avg_ra": 3.9,
        "w_avg_rf": 4.38,
        "w_avg_ra": 3.75,
        "run_rate": 7.9,
        "blowout_rate": 0.3
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 3,
      "t2_wins": 7,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.3,
      "avg_total": 12
    },
    "confidence": 81,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Round Rock Express",
      "probability": 58,
      "margin_runs": 1.3,
      "opponent": "Salt Lake Bees",
      "opponent_probability": 42
    },
    "total_runs": {
      "projected_total": 8.93,
      "team_1_proj": 3.81,
      "team_2_proj": 5.12,
      "market": null
    },
    "first_five": {
      "team_1": 2.02,
      "team_2": 3.62,
      "total": 5.64,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "inning_scores": null,
    "inning_prediction": {
      "home": [
        0.76,
        0.06,
        0.13,
        0.76,
        0.31,
        0,
        0.94,
        0.45,
        0.41
      ],
      "away": [
        0.12,
        0.47,
        0.47,
        1.28,
        1.28,
        0.43,
        0,
        0.76,
        0.32
      ],
      "per_inning_total": [
        0.88,
        0.53,
        0.6,
        2.04,
        1.59,
        0.43,
        0.94,
        1.21,
        0.73
      ],
      "first_five": {
        "home": 2.02,
        "away": 3.62,
        "total": 5.64
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 4,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.199,
        "i2": 0.015,
        "i3": 0.033,
        "i4": 0.2,
        "i5": 0.08,
        "i6": 0,
        "i7": 0.246,
        "i8": 0.119,
        "i9": 0.107
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.023,
        "i2": 0.091,
        "i3": 0.091,
        "i4": 0.25,
        "i5": 0.25,
        "i6": 0.085,
        "i7": 0,
        "i8": 0.148,
        "i9": 0.062
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": null,
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
        "pick": "Salt Lake Bees +ML",
        "team": "Salt Lake Bees",
        "win_prob": 42,
        "confidence": 81,
        "reason": "Salt Lake Bees has a live shot (42%) at a price the market may shade."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "model": {
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 42,
      "team_2": 58
    },
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 3.81,
      "team_2": 5.12,
      "total": 8.93
    },
    "predicted_winner": "Round Rock Express",
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  }
}

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