Baseball · MLB · Usa

Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners

Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Model prediction: Los Angeles Angels 49% vs Seattle Mariners 51%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

UsaMLB
Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles AngelsvsSeattle MarinersSeattle Mariners
16 Sept04:38
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Seattle Mariners
51%to win
by ~0.08 runs vs Los Angeles A…
Projected Total
9.52runs
4.724.8
no market line
First 5 (F5)
6.25runs
2.174.08
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected
123456789
Los Angeles Angels0.20.60.00.90.50.40.41.30.4
Seattle Mariners1.00.02.40.00.60.00.50.00.2
Tot1.20.62.40.91.10.40.91.30.7
from last 5+5 games
Los Angeles Angels
Last 10: 46 (40%)
RPG: 3.9 — Allowed: 3.3 — Run env: 7.2
Seattle Mariners
Last 10: 46 (40%)
RPG: 5.7 — Allowed: 4.9 — Run env: 10.6
Los Angeles Angels Form
Los Angeles Angels
W0d
L2d
L3d
L3d
W5d
W6d
L8d
L9d
W9d
L10d
4W · 6L
15 Sept
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
6-4W
By inning:0-20-00-23-00-20-01-00-00-
13 Sept
Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Angels
6-5L
By inning:0-00-00-01-01-00-10-12-41-
12 Sept
Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Angels
6-5L
By inning:0-10-30-00-00-00-00-03-02-1
12 Sept
Washington Nationals vs Los Angeles Angels
4-3L
By inning:1-00-00-00-10-00-01-00-31-
10 Sept
Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels
4-6W
By inning:0-00-05-01-00-20-10-00-00-1
09 Sept
Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels
1-6W
07 Sept
Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels
5-2L
06 Sept
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels
1-0L
06 Sept
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels
1-6W
05 Sept
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels
1-0L
Seattle Mariners Form
Seattle Mariners
L0d
L2d
W2d
L3d
W5d
W6d
L6d
W9d
L9d
L10d
4W · 6L
15 Sept
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
6-4L
By inning:0-20-00-23-00-20-01-00-00-
13 Sept
Athletics vs Seattle Mariners
8-7L
By inning:0-20-02-03-01-00-00-41-00-2
13 Sept
Athletics vs Seattle Mariners
1-19W
By inning:2-03-00-12-02-00-03-04-03-0
12 Sept
Athletics vs Seattle Mariners
6-5L
By inning:1-21-00-20-00-02-00-00-00-0
10 Sept
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers
4-3W
By inning:0-00-02-00-01-00-00-40-00-
09 Sept
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers
3-2W
09 Sept
Seattle Mariners vs Texas Rangers
5-10L
06 Sept
Seattle Mariners vs Athletics
2-0W
06 Sept
Seattle Mariners vs Athletics
2-6L
05 Sept
Seattle Mariners vs Athletics
6-7L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
15 Sept
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
6-4
By inning:0-20-00-23-00-20-01-00-00-
03 Jul
Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels
1-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-00-00-
01 Jul
Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels
8-3
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-53-30-00-
30 Jun
Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels
6-2
By inning:1-00-01-10-20-00-30-00-00-
05 Apr
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
8-7
By inning:0-12-00-10-23-20-00-00-01-0
05 Apr
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
1-0
04 Apr
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
1-3
14 Mar
Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners
6-2
03 Mar
Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels
6-7
14 Sept
Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels
11-2
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Los Angeles Angels 5 / Seattle Mariners 5. Average total: 8.4.
Los Angeles Angels
2.4
Implied 39.7%
Edge +9.3%
Seattle Mariners
1.58
Implied 60.3%
Edge -9.3%
Bookmaker vig: 4.96%
Model output
{
  "expected_runs": {
    "team_1": 4.72,
    "team_2": 4.8,
    "total": 9.52
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 49,
    "team_2": 51
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 4,
      "losses": 6,
      "win_rate": 0.4,
      "avg_rf": 3.9,
      "avg_ra": 3.3,
      "w_avg_rf": 4.14,
      "w_avg_ra": 3.58,
      "run_rate": 7.2,
      "blowout_rate": 0.2
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 4,
      "losses": 6,
      "win_rate": 0.4,
      "avg_rf": 5.7,
      "avg_ra": 4.9,
      "w_avg_rf": 6.03,
      "w_avg_ra": 4.9,
      "run_rate": 10.6,
      "blowout_rate": 0.2
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 5,
    "t2_wins": 5,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.5,
    "avg_total": 8.4
  },
  "confidence": 76,
  "winner": {
    "team": "Seattle Mariners",
    "probability": 51,
    "margin_runs": 0.08,
    "opponent": "Los Angeles Angels",
    "opponent_probability": 49
  },
  "total_runs": {
    "projected_total": 9.52,
    "team_1_proj": 4.72,
    "team_2_proj": 4.8,
    "market": null
  },
  "first_five": {
    "team_1": 2.17,
    "team_2": 4.08,
    "total": 6.25,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "inning_scores": null,
  "inning_prediction": {
    "home": [
      0.19,
      0.57,
      0,
      0.94,
      0.47,
      0.39,
      0.39,
      1.34,
      0.42
    ],
    "away": [
      1.04,
      0,
      2.4,
      0,
      0.64,
      0,
      0.48,
      0,
      0.24
    ],
    "per_inning_total": [
      1.23,
      0.57,
      2.4,
      0.94,
      1.11,
      0.39,
      0.87,
      1.34,
      0.66
    ],
    "first_five": {
      "home": 2.17,
      "away": 4.08,
      "total": 6.25
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.04,
      "i2": 0.12,
      "i3": 0,
      "i4": 0.2,
      "i5": 0.1,
      "i6": 0.083,
      "i7": 0.083,
      "i8": 0.283,
      "i9": 0.09
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.217,
      "i2": 0,
      "i3": 0.5,
      "i4": 0,
      "i5": 0.133,
      "i6": 0,
      "i7": 0.1,
      "i8": 0,
      "i9": 0.05
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": null,
    "high_risk": null
  },
  "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "baseball",
  "league": "MLB",
  "country": "Usa",
  "match": "Los Angeles Angels vs Seattle Mariners",
  "date": "2026-09-16",
  "time": "04:38",
  "status": null,
  "score": null,
  "innings": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Los Angeles Angels",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "away": "Seattle Mariners",
        "score": "6-4",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            2,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "6-5",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
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            1,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            1,
            4
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "6-5",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Washington Nationals",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "4-3",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Boston Red Sox",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "4-6",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
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        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Boston Red Sox",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "1-6",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "07.09.26",
        "home": "Boston Red Sox",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "5-2",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "1-0",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 1,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "1-6",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Pittsburgh Pirates",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "1-0",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 1,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "Seattle Mariners",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "away": "Seattle Mariners",
        "score": "6-4",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Athletics",
        "away": "Seattle Mariners",
        "score": "8-7",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
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          ]
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      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Athletics",
        "away": "Seattle Mariners",
        "score": "1-19",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 19,
        "total_points": 20,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
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            2,
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Athletics",
        "away": "Seattle Mariners",
        "score": "6-5",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
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            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Seattle Mariners",
        "away": "Texas Rangers",
        "score": "4-3",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            0,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Seattle Mariners",
        "away": "Texas Rangers",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Seattle Mariners",
        "away": "Texas Rangers",
        "score": "5-10",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 10,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Seattle Mariners",
        "away": "Athletics",
        "score": "2-0",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 2,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Seattle Mariners",
        "away": "Athletics",
        "score": "2-6",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Seattle Mariners",
        "away": "Athletics",
        "score": "6-7",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "away": "Seattle Mariners",
        "score": "6-4",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
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          "away": [
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            2,
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            0,
            0
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      },
      {
        "date": "03.07.26",
        "home": "Seattle Mariners",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "1-0",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 1,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "01.07.26",
        "home": "Seattle Mariners",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "8-3",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
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          ],
          "away": [
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            5,
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "30.06.26",
        "home": "Seattle Mariners",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "6-2",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            1,
            2,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "05.04.26",
        "home": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "away": "Seattle Mariners",
        "score": "8-7",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            1,
            2,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "05.04.26",
        "home": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "away": "Seattle Mariners",
        "score": "1-0",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 1,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "04.04.26",
        "home": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "away": "Seattle Mariners",
        "score": "1-3",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 4,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "14.03.26",
        "home": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "away": "Seattle Mariners",
        "score": "6-2",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "03.03.26",
        "home": "Seattle Mariners",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "6-7",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "14.09.25",
        "home": "Seattle Mariners",
        "away": "Los Angeles Angels",
        "score": "11-2",
        "home_points": 11,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": {
        "value": 2.4,
        "indicator": "up",
        "implied_pct": 39.7,
        "edge_vs_model": 9.3
      },
      "away": {
        "value": 1.58,
        "indicator": "down",
        "implied_pct": 60.3,
        "edge_vs_model": -9.3
      },
      "vig_pct": 4.96
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 4.72,
      "team_2": 4.8,
      "total": 9.52
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 49,
      "team_2": 51
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 4,
        "losses": 6,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "avg_rf": 3.9,
        "avg_ra": 3.3,
        "w_avg_rf": 4.14,
        "w_avg_ra": 3.58,
        "run_rate": 7.2,
        "blowout_rate": 0.2
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 4,
        "losses": 6,
        "win_rate": 0.4,
        "avg_rf": 5.7,
        "avg_ra": 4.9,
        "w_avg_rf": 6.03,
        "w_avg_ra": 4.9,
        "run_rate": 10.6,
        "blowout_rate": 0.2
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 5,
      "t2_wins": 5,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.5,
      "avg_total": 8.4
    },
    "confidence": 76,
    "winner": {
      "team": "Seattle Mariners",
      "probability": 51,
      "margin_runs": 0.08,
      "opponent": "Los Angeles Angels",
      "opponent_probability": 49
    },
    "total_runs": {
      "projected_total": 9.52,
      "team_1_proj": 4.72,
      "team_2_proj": 4.8,
      "market": null
    },
    "first_five": {
      "team_1": 2.17,
      "team_2": 4.08,
      "total": 6.25,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "inning_scores": null,
    "inning_prediction": {
      "home": [
        0.19,
        0.57,
        0,
        0.94,
        0.47,
        0.39,
        0.39,
        1.34,
        0.42
      ],
      "away": [
        1.04,
        0,
        2.4,
        0,
        0.64,
        0,
        0.48,
        0,
        0.24
      ],
      "per_inning_total": [
        1.23,
        0.57,
        2.4,
        0.94,
        1.11,
        0.39,
        0.87,
        1.34,
        0.66
      ],
      "first_five": {
        "home": 2.17,
        "away": 4.08,
        "total": 6.25
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.04,
        "i2": 0.12,
        "i3": 0,
        "i4": 0.2,
        "i5": 0.1,
        "i6": 0.083,
        "i7": 0.083,
        "i8": 0.283,
        "i9": 0.09
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.217,
        "i2": 0,
        "i3": 0.5,
        "i4": 0,
        "i5": 0.133,
        "i6": 0,
        "i7": 0.1,
        "i8": 0,
        "i9": 0.05
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": null,
      "high_risk": null
    },
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "model": {
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 49,
      "team_2": 51
    },
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 4.72,
      "team_2": 4.8,
      "total": 9.52
    },
    "predicted_winner": "Seattle Mariners",
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  }
}

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