Baseball · MLB · Usa
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins
Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins in MLB (Baseball) on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. Model prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks 54% vs Miami Marlins 46%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Usa • MLB
Arizona Diamondbacksvs
Miami Marlins16 Sept • 04:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Arizona Diamondbacks
54%to win
by ~0.61 runs vs Miami Marlins
Projected Total
11.06runs
5.83 – 5.23
no market line
First 5 (F5)
7.91runs
5.17 – 2.74
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Diamondba… | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 3.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Miami Marlins | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
| Tot | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3.7 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.9 |
from last 5+5 games
Arizona Diamondbacks
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
RPG: 4.5 — Allowed: 4.1 — Run env: 8.6
Miami Marlins
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 5.8 — Allowed: 6.7 — Run env: 12.5
Arizona Diamondbacks Form
Arizona Diamondba…
W0d
L2d
L2d
W3d
L5d
W6d
W8d
W9d
W9d
L10d
By inning:0-03-00-32-00-10-02-00-20-2
By inning:2-00-00-00-13-02-00-30-00-2
By inning:0-00-00-10-06-00-10-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-01-40-50-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-10-11-01-30-00-00-00-—
Miami Marlins Form
Miami Marlins
L0d
W2d
W3d
L3d
L5d
L6d
L8d
W9d
L10d
L10d
By inning:0-03-00-32-00-10-02-00-20-2
By inning:0-00-00-03-00-00-00-00-21-4
By inning:2-00-30-00-00-10-00-00-01-—
By inning:0-00-01-00-00-01-14-00-10-0
By inning:0-06-02-00-30-00-56-11-20-3
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-03-00-32-00-10-02-00-20-2
By inning:0-10-00-00-10-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-10-60-10-00-00-00-—
By inning:1-10-10-11-00-00-31-03-40-—
By inning:1-00-10-10-00-00-00-05-20-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Arizona Diamondbacks 4 / Miami Marlins 6. Average total: 11.5.
Arizona Diamondbacks
1.66
Implied 57.4%
Edge -3.4%
Miami Marlins
2.24
Implied 42.6%
Edge +3.4%
Bookmaker vig: 4.88%
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.83,
"team_2": 5.23,
"total": 11.06
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 54,
"team_2": 46
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 4.76,
"w_avg_ra": 4.35,
"run_rate": 8.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 5.8,
"avg_ra": 6.7,
"w_avg_rf": 5.91,
"w_avg_ra": 6.71,
"run_rate": 12.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 11.5
},
"confidence": 68,
"winner": {
"team": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"probability": 54,
"margin_runs": 0.61,
"opponent": "Miami Marlins",
"opponent_probability": 46
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.06,
"team_1_proj": 5.83,
"team_2_proj": 5.23,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 5.17,
"team_2": 2.74,
"total": 7.91,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.33,
0.74,
0.23,
0.33,
3.54,
0.33,
0.33,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0.7,
0.42,
0.71,
0.78,
0.13,
0.17,
1.11,
0.33,
0.87
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.03,
1.16,
0.94,
1.11,
3.67,
0.5,
1.44,
0.33,
0.87
],
"first_five": {
"home": 5.17,
"away": 2.74,
"total": 7.91
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.057,
"i2": 0.126,
"i3": 0.04,
"i4": 0.057,
"i5": 0.606,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0.057,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.133,
"i2": 0.08,
"i3": 0.135,
"i4": 0.15,
"i5": 0.025,
"i6": 0.033,
"i7": 0.213,
"i8": 0.063,
"i9": 0.167
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Miami Marlins +ML",
"team": "Miami Marlins",
"win_prob": 46,
"confidence": 68,
"reason": "Miami Marlins has a live shot (46%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "MLB",
"country": "Usa",
"match": "Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins",
"date": "2026-09-16",
"time": "04:40",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "8-7",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
2,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Texas Rangers",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
3,
2,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
3,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Texas Rangers",
"score": "2-6",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
6,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Texas Rangers",
"score": "9-1",
"home_points": 9,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
5,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Kansas City Royals",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "4-5",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Houston Astros",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Miami Marlins",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "8-7",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
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0,
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],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
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0,
2,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
4
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
3,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Los Angeles Dodgers",
"score": "2-6",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
4,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "14-15",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 15,
"total_points": 29,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
6,
2,
0,
0,
0,
6,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
5,
1,
2,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "5-7",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "07.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "New York Mets",
"score": "4-9",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "10-3",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "5-6",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Chicago Cubs",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "8-7",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
3,
0,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
1,
0,
0,
2,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.06.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.06.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "8-0",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
6,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.06.26",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "10-6",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 16,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
3,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
1,
0,
0,
3,
0,
4
]
}
},
{
"date": "29.06.25",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "4-6",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
5,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "28.06.25",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "7-8",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "28.06.25",
"home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"away": "Miami Marlins",
"score": "8-9",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 17,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "17.04.25",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "4-6",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "17.04.25",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "2-6",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "16.04.25",
"home": "Miami Marlins",
"away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"score": "4-10",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": {
"value": 1.66,
"indicator": "down",
"implied_pct": 57.4,
"edge_vs_model": -3.4
},
"away": {
"value": 2.24,
"indicator": "up",
"implied_pct": 42.6,
"edge_vs_model": 3.4
},
"vig_pct": 4.88
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.83,
"team_2": 5.23,
"total": 11.06
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 54,
"team_2": 46
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 4.76,
"w_avg_ra": 4.35,
"run_rate": 8.6,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 5.8,
"avg_ra": 6.7,
"w_avg_rf": 5.91,
"w_avg_ra": 6.71,
"run_rate": 12.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 11.5
},
"confidence": 68,
"winner": {
"team": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"probability": 54,
"margin_runs": 0.61,
"opponent": "Miami Marlins",
"opponent_probability": 46
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 11.06,
"team_1_proj": 5.83,
"team_2_proj": 5.23,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 5.17,
"team_2": 2.74,
"total": 7.91,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.33,
0.74,
0.23,
0.33,
3.54,
0.33,
0.33,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0.7,
0.42,
0.71,
0.78,
0.13,
0.17,
1.11,
0.33,
0.87
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.03,
1.16,
0.94,
1.11,
3.67,
0.5,
1.44,
0.33,
0.87
],
"first_five": {
"home": 5.17,
"away": 2.74,
"total": 7.91
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.057,
"i2": 0.126,
"i3": 0.04,
"i4": 0.057,
"i5": 0.606,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0.057,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.133,
"i2": 0.08,
"i3": 0.135,
"i4": 0.15,
"i5": 0.025,
"i6": 0.033,
"i7": 0.213,
"i8": 0.063,
"i9": 0.167
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Miami Marlins +ML",
"team": "Miami Marlins",
"win_prob": 46,
"confidence": 68,
"reason": "Miami Marlins has a live shot (46%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 54,
"team_2": 46
},
"prediction_quality": "medium",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.83,
"team_2": 5.23,
"total": 11.06
},
"predicted_winner": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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