Baseball · NPB · Japan
Nippon Ham Fighters vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles
Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Nippon Ham Fighters vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles in NPB (Baseball) on Tuesday, 22 September 2026. Model prediction: Nippon Ham Fighters 60% vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles 40%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Nippon Ham Fightersvs
Rakuten Gold. Eagles22 Sept • 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Nippon Ham Fighters
60%to win
by ~1.58 runs vs Rakuten Gold.…
Projected Total
7.79runs
4.69 – 3.1
no market line
First 5 (F5)
6.1runs
4.29 – 1.81
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nippon Ham Fighte… | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 2.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Rakuten Gold. Eag… | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Tot | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
from last 5+4 games
Nippon Ham Fighters
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 4 — Allowed: 4.1 — Run env: 8.1
Rakuten Gold. Eagles
Last 10: 3–7 (30%)
RPG: 2.7 — Allowed: 4.1 — Run env: 6.8
Nippon Ham Fighters Form
Nippon Ham Fighte…
L0d
W2d
W3d
L5d
L6d
L7d
W9d
W10d
W11d
L13d
By inning:0-00-10-10-04-12-10-10-11-0
By inning:1-02-01-00-10-03-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-30-00-00-01-01-0
By inning:0-00-11-10-10-00-00-01-00-—
By inning:0-12-01-30-10-00-00-00-01-—
Rakuten Gold. Eagles Form
Rakuten Gold. Eag…
W0d
L3d
L5d
L6d
L7d
L9d
L10d
L11d
W13d
W14d
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-10-—
By inning:0-00-20-10-00-02-00-21-00-—
By inning:0-00-40-01-00-00-00-20-00-—
By inning:3-01-10-00-30-00-00-40-20-—
By inning:0-00-00-11-00-10-00-00-01-1
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-20-00-02-00-04-00-00-10-0
By inning:0-00-04-00-01-00-00-10-10-—
By inning:3-00-10-00-12-00-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-10-00-—
By inning:1-01-00-00-00-00-04-00-00-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Nippon Ham Fighters 8 / Rakuten Gold. Eagles 2. Average total: 6.4.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.69,
"team_2": 3.1,
"total": 7.79
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 60,
"team_2": 40
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 4.13,
"w_avg_ra": 4.24,
"run_rate": 8.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 2.7,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 2.56,
"w_avg_ra": 4.24,
"run_rate": 6.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 6.4
},
"confidence": 83,
"winner": {
"team": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"probability": 60,
"margin_runs": 1.58,
"opponent": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"opponent_probability": 40
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.79,
"team_1_proj": 4.69,
"team_2_proj": 3.1,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 4.29,
"team_2": 1.81,
"total": 6.1,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.19,
0.31,
0.88,
2.38,
0.53,
0.27,
0,
0,
0.14
],
"away": [
0,
0.91,
0.41,
0.23,
0.26,
0,
0.88,
0.16,
0.26
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.19,
1.22,
1.29,
2.61,
0.79,
0.27,
0.88,
0.16,
0.4
],
"first_five": {
"home": 4.29,
"away": 1.81,
"total": 6.1
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.04,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.187,
"i4": 0.507,
"i5": 0.114,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.029
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.292,
"i3": 0.133,
"i4": 0.075,
"i5": 0.083,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.283,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.083
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Nippon Ham Fighters to win",
"team": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"win_prob": 60,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Projected edge ~1.6 runs; form 40% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles +ML",
"team": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"win_prob": 40,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles has a live shot (40%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Nippon Ham Fighters vs Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"date": "2026-09-22",
"time": "12:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
1,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-3",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
3,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "14-1",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "1-1",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "10-4",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
4,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "4-0",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Orix Buffaloes",
"score": "5-1",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
4,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
4,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.08.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.08.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "0-6",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.08.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "26.07.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "6-2",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "25.07.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.07.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.07.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "4-1",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": null,
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.69,
"team_2": 3.1,
"total": 7.79
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 60,
"team_2": 40
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 4.13,
"w_avg_ra": 4.24,
"run_rate": 8.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 3,
"losses": 7,
"win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_rf": 2.7,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 2.56,
"w_avg_ra": 4.24,
"run_rate": 6.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 8,
"t2_wins": 2,
"t1_win_rate": 0.8,
"avg_total": 6.4
},
"confidence": 83,
"winner": {
"team": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"probability": 60,
"margin_runs": 1.58,
"opponent": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"opponent_probability": 40
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.79,
"team_1_proj": 4.69,
"team_2_proj": 3.1,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 4.29,
"team_2": 1.81,
"total": 6.1,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.19,
0.31,
0.88,
2.38,
0.53,
0.27,
0,
0,
0.14
],
"away": [
0,
0.91,
0.41,
0.23,
0.26,
0,
0.88,
0.16,
0.26
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.19,
1.22,
1.29,
2.61,
0.79,
0.27,
0.88,
0.16,
0.4
],
"first_five": {
"home": 4.29,
"away": 1.81,
"total": 6.1
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.04,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.187,
"i4": 0.507,
"i5": 0.114,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.029
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.292,
"i3": 0.133,
"i4": 0.075,
"i5": 0.083,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.283,
"i8": 0.05,
"i9": 0.083
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Nippon Ham Fighters to win",
"team": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"win_prob": 60,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Projected edge ~1.6 runs; form 40% vs 30% (last 10/10); H2H 80% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles +ML",
"team": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"win_prob": 40,
"confidence": 83,
"reason": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles has a live shot (40%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 60,
"team_2": 40
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.69,
"team_2": 3.1,
"total": 7.79
},
"predicted_winner": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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