Baseball · MLB · Usa

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees

Saturday, 19 September 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees in MLB (Baseball) on Saturday, 19 September 2026. Model prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks 47% vs New York Yankees 53%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.

UsaMLB
Arizona DiamondbacksArizona DiamondbacksvsNew York YankeesNew York Yankees
19 Sept04:40
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
New York Yankees
53%to win
by ~0.54 runs vs Arizona Diamo…
Projected Total
9.02runs
4.244.78
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.95runs
3.751.2
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected
123456789
Arizona Diamondba…0.20.50.20.22.60.20.20.00.0
New York Yankees0.10.90.10.00.10.80.81.60.4
Tot0.31.40.30.22.71.01.01.60.4
from last 5+4 games
Arizona Diamondbacks
Last 10: 64 (60%)
RPG: 4.5 — Allowed: 4.1 — Run env: 8.6
New York Yankees
Last 10: 73 (70%)
RPG: 4.9 — Allowed: 3.4 — Run env: 8.3
Arizona Diamondbacks Form
Arizona Diamondba…
W0d
L2d
L2d
W3d
L5d
W6d
W8d
W9d
W9d
L10d
6W · 4L
15 Sept
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins
8-7W
By inning:0-03-00-32-00-10-02-00-20-2
13 Sept
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers
6-7L
By inning:2-00-00-00-13-02-00-30-00-2
13 Sept
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers
2-6L
By inning:0-00-00-10-06-00-10-00-00-0
12 Sept
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Texas Rangers
9-1W
By inning:0-00-00-00-01-40-50-00-00-
10 Sept
Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks
5-2L
By inning:0-00-10-11-01-30-00-00-00-
09 Sept
Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks
3-5W
07 Sept
Kansas City Royals vs Arizona Diamondbacks
4-5W
06 Sept
Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks
2-3W
06 Sept
Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks
3-4W
05 Sept
Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks
3-1L
New York Yankees Form
New York Yankees
W0d
W2d
L3d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W6d
L9d
W9d
L10d
7W · 3L
15 Sept
Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees
3-8W
By inning:0-00-01-00-00-00-20-06-11-0
13 Sept
New York Yankees vs New York Mets
2-0W
By inning:0-10-00-10-00-00-00-00-00-
12 Sept
New York Yankees vs New York Mets
2-12L
By inning:1-02-01-00-11-00-11-05-01-0
12 Sept
New York Yankees vs New York Mets
6-4W
By inning:0-11-30-00-00-10-01-01-11-
11 Sept
New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies
10-3W
By inning:0-21-20-00-00-00-01-61-00-
10 Sept
New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies
6-1W
09 Sept
New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies
5-3W
06 Sept
San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees
4-3L
06 Sept
San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees
1-5W
05 Sept
San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees
3-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10
04 Apr
New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks
9-7
By inning:0-41-00-22-30-00-04-00-00-
03 Apr
New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks
3-4
By inning:2-02-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-3
02 Apr
New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks
5-7
By inning:0-00-02-10-30-00-00-05-00-1
03 Apr
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees
5-6
By inning:0-00-10-02-00-10-00-00-00-0
03 Apr
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees
7-0
By inning:0-30-00-00-00-00-00-30-10-
02 Apr
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees
2-5
25 Sept
New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks
6-4
24 Sept
New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks
1-7
23 Sept
New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks
7-1
31 Jul
New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks
7-5
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Arizona Diamondbacks 4 / New York Yankees 6. Average total: 9.8.
Model output
{
  "expected_runs": {
    "team_1": 4.24,
    "team_2": 4.78,
    "total": 9.02
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 47,
    "team_2": 53
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 6,
      "losses": 4,
      "win_rate": 0.6,
      "avg_rf": 4.5,
      "avg_ra": 4.1,
      "w_avg_rf": 4.76,
      "w_avg_ra": 4.35,
      "run_rate": 8.6,
      "blowout_rate": 0.1
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 7,
      "losses": 3,
      "win_rate": 0.7,
      "avg_rf": 4.9,
      "avg_ra": 3.4,
      "w_avg_rf": 5.01,
      "w_avg_ra": 3.52,
      "run_rate": 8.3,
      "blowout_rate": 0.4
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 4,
    "t2_wins": 6,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.4,
    "avg_total": 9.8
  },
  "confidence": 77,
  "winner": {
    "team": "New York Yankees",
    "probability": 53,
    "margin_runs": 0.54,
    "opponent": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
    "opponent_probability": 47
  },
  "total_runs": {
    "projected_total": 9.02,
    "team_1_proj": 4.24,
    "team_2_proj": 4.78,
    "market": null
  },
  "first_five": {
    "team_1": 3.75,
    "team_2": 1.2,
    "total": 4.95,
    "source": "projected_from_form"
  },
  "inning_scores": null,
  "inning_prediction": {
    "home": [
      0.24,
      0.53,
      0.17,
      0.24,
      2.57,
      0.24,
      0.24,
      0,
      0
    ],
    "away": [
      0.1,
      0.9,
      0.1,
      0,
      0.1,
      0.8,
      0.8,
      1.59,
      0.4
    ],
    "per_inning_total": [
      0.34,
      1.43,
      0.27,
      0.24,
      2.67,
      1.04,
      1.04,
      1.59,
      0.4
    ],
    "first_five": {
      "home": 3.75,
      "away": 1.2,
      "total": 4.95
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 4,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.057,
      "i2": 0.126,
      "i3": 0.04,
      "i4": 0.057,
      "i5": 0.606,
      "i6": 0.057,
      "i7": 0.057,
      "i8": 0,
      "i9": 0
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.021,
      "i2": 0.188,
      "i3": 0.021,
      "i4": 0,
      "i5": 0.021,
      "i6": 0.167,
      "i7": 0.167,
      "i8": 0.333,
      "i9": 0.083
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": null,
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
      "pick": "Arizona Diamondbacks +ML",
      "team": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
      "win_prob": 47,
      "confidence": 77,
      "reason": "Arizona Diamondbacks has a live shot (47%) at a price the market may shade."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "baseball",
  "league": "MLB",
  "country": "Usa",
  "match": "Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees",
  "date": "2026-09-19",
  "time": "04:40",
  "status": null,
  "score": null,
  "innings": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "away": "Miami Marlins",
        "score": "8-7",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            3,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            2
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "away": "Texas Rangers",
        "score": "6-7",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            2,
            0,
            0,
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            3,
            2,
            0,
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          "away": [
            0,
            0,
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            0,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            2
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "away": "Texas Rangers",
        "score": "2-6",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            6,
            0,
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          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
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            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "away": "Texas Rangers",
        "score": "9-1",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
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          ],
          "away": [
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "Kansas City Royals",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "5-2",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
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          ],
          "away": [
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "Kansas City Royals",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "3-5",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "07.09.26",
        "home": "Kansas City Royals",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "4-5",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Houston Astros",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "2-3",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Houston Astros",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "3-4",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Houston Astros",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "3-1",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 4,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "New York Yankees",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "Minnesota Twins",
        "away": "New York Yankees",
        "score": "3-8",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "New York Mets",
        "score": "2-0",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 2,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "New York Mets",
        "score": "2-12",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 12,
        "total_points": 14,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            2,
            1,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            1,
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            1
          ],
          "away": [
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            1,
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            1,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "New York Mets",
        "score": "6-4",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
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            0,
            1,
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          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            3,
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            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "11.09.26",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "10-3",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            2,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            6,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "6-1",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "5-3",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "New York Yankees",
        "score": "4-3",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "New York Yankees",
        "score": "1-5",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 6,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "New York Yankees",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "04.04.25",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "9-7",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 16,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
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          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "03.04.25",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "3-4",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
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            2,
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          ],
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            0,
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            3
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "02.04.25",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "5-7",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            5,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
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            1,
            3,
            0,
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            0,
            0,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "03.04.24",
        "home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "away": "New York Yankees",
        "score": "5-6",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "03.04.24",
        "home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "away": "New York Yankees",
        "score": "7-0",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 0,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            3,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "02.04.24",
        "home": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "away": "New York Yankees",
        "score": "2-5",
        "home_points": 2,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "25.09.23",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "6-4",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "24.09.23",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "1-7",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "23.09.23",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "7-1",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "31.07.19",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "score": "7-5",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": null,
      "away": null,
      "vig_pct": null
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 4.24,
      "team_2": 4.78,
      "total": 9.02
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 47,
      "team_2": 53
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 6,
        "losses": 4,
        "win_rate": 0.6,
        "avg_rf": 4.5,
        "avg_ra": 4.1,
        "w_avg_rf": 4.76,
        "w_avg_ra": 4.35,
        "run_rate": 8.6,
        "blowout_rate": 0.1
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 7,
        "losses": 3,
        "win_rate": 0.7,
        "avg_rf": 4.9,
        "avg_ra": 3.4,
        "w_avg_rf": 5.01,
        "w_avg_ra": 3.52,
        "run_rate": 8.3,
        "blowout_rate": 0.4
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 4,
      "t2_wins": 6,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.4,
      "avg_total": 9.8
    },
    "confidence": 77,
    "winner": {
      "team": "New York Yankees",
      "probability": 53,
      "margin_runs": 0.54,
      "opponent": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
      "opponent_probability": 47
    },
    "total_runs": {
      "projected_total": 9.02,
      "team_1_proj": 4.24,
      "team_2_proj": 4.78,
      "market": null
    },
    "first_five": {
      "team_1": 3.75,
      "team_2": 1.2,
      "total": 4.95,
      "source": "projected_from_form"
    },
    "inning_scores": null,
    "inning_prediction": {
      "home": [
        0.24,
        0.53,
        0.17,
        0.24,
        2.57,
        0.24,
        0.24,
        0,
        0
      ],
      "away": [
        0.1,
        0.9,
        0.1,
        0,
        0.1,
        0.8,
        0.8,
        1.59,
        0.4
      ],
      "per_inning_total": [
        0.34,
        1.43,
        0.27,
        0.24,
        2.67,
        1.04,
        1.04,
        1.59,
        0.4
      ],
      "first_five": {
        "home": 3.75,
        "away": 1.2,
        "total": 4.95
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 4,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.057,
        "i2": 0.126,
        "i3": 0.04,
        "i4": 0.057,
        "i5": 0.606,
        "i6": 0.057,
        "i7": 0.057,
        "i8": 0,
        "i9": 0
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.021,
        "i2": 0.188,
        "i3": 0.021,
        "i4": 0,
        "i5": 0.021,
        "i6": 0.167,
        "i7": 0.167,
        "i8": 0.333,
        "i9": 0.083
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": null,
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "moneyline (underdog)",
        "pick": "Arizona Diamondbacks +ML",
        "team": "Arizona Diamondbacks",
        "win_prob": 47,
        "confidence": 77,
        "reason": "Arizona Diamondbacks has a live shot (47%) at a price the market may shade."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "model": {
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 47,
      "team_2": 53
    },
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 4.24,
      "team_2": 4.78,
      "total": 9.02
    },
    "predicted_winner": "New York Yankees",
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  }
}

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