Baseball · MLB · Usa

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres

Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Colorado Rockies7-8San Diego Padres

Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres in MLB (Baseball) was played on Tuesday, 15 September 2026. Final score: Colorado Rockies 7-8 San Diego Padres. Pre-match model prediction: Colorado Rockies 32% vs San Diego Padres 68%. See the head-to-head record and recent form. Compare the result with the pre-match model prediction.

UsaMLB
Colorado RockiesColorado RockiesvsSan Diego PadresSan Diego Padres
15 Sept03:40
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Colorado Rockies7-8San Diego Padres
Predicted Winner
San Diego Padres
68%to win
by ~2.98 runs vs Colorado Rock…
Projected Total
11.38runs
4.27.18
no market line
First 5 (F5)
live
8runs
62
actual F5 score
Inning Line Score
live
123456789R
Colorado Rockies1410001108
San Diego Padres1000131107
Colorado Rockies
Last 10: 19 (10%)
RPG: 4.8 — Allowed: 7.8 — Run env: 12.6
San Diego Padres
Last 10: 91 (90%)
RPG: 5.3 — Allowed: 4 — Run env: 9.3
Colorado Rockies Form
Colorado Rockies
L0d
L2d
L3d
L3d
L4d
L5d
L6d
L9d
W9d
L10d
1W · 9L
15 Sept
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
7-8L
By inning:1-14-01-00-00-10-31-11-10-0
13 Sept
Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies
8-1L
By inning:1-20-30-00-20-10-00-00-00-
12 Sept
Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies
11-7L
By inning:0-00-03-21-20-02-00-01-70-
12 Sept
Detroit Tigers vs Colorado Rockies
6-2L
By inning:0-00-00-00-01-10-40-00-11-
11 Sept
New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies
10-3L
By inning:0-21-20-00-00-00-01-61-00-
10 Sept
New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies
6-1L
09 Sept
New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies
5-3L
06 Sept
Colorado Rockies vs St.Louis Cardinals
8-10L
06 Sept
Colorado Rockies vs St.Louis Cardinals
10-7W
05 Sept
Colorado Rockies vs St.Louis Cardinals
6-7L
San Diego Padres Form
San Diego Padres
W0d
W1d
W3d
W3d
W6d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L9d
W10d
9W · 1L
15 Sept
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
7-8W
By inning:1-14-01-00-00-10-31-11-10-0
14 Sept
San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres
4-6W
By inning:2-03-20-01-00-10-10-00-00-0
12 Sept
San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres
6-7W
By inning:0-22-11-01-01-01-01-00-30-0
12 Sept
San Francisco Giants vs San Diego Padres
5-7W
By inning:0-12-05-00-00-40-00-00-00-0
09 Sept
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals
9-2W
By inning:0-00-02-30-20-20-00-10-10-
09 Sept
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals
5-4W
08 Sept
San Diego Padres vs Washington Nationals
3-2W
06 Sept
San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees
4-3W
06 Sept
San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees
1-5L
05 Sept
San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees
3-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10
15 Sept
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
7-8
By inning:1-14-01-00-00-10-31-11-10-0
29 Jul
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
3-1
By inning:0-00-00-00-30-00-01-00-00-
29 Jul
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
8-7
By inning:0-00-24-00-00-10-12-21-10-1
23 Apr
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
8-10
By inning:0-12-40-01-11-00-10-11-05-0
23 Apr
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
8-3
By inning:1-00-40-00-10-00-11-10-11-
22 Apr
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres
0-1
12 Apr
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
7-2
12 Apr
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
9-5
11 Apr
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
5-2
10 Apr
San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies
7-3
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Colorado Rockies 1 / San Diego Padres 9. Average total: 10.4.
Colorado Rockies
2.74
Implied 34.6%
Edge -2.6%
San Diego Padres
1.45
Implied 65.4%
Edge +2.6%
Bookmaker vig: 5.46%
Model output
{
  "expected_runs": {
    "team_1": 4.2,
    "team_2": 7.18,
    "total": 11.38
  },
  "win_probability": {
    "team_1": 32,
    "team_2": 68
  },
  "form": {
    "team_1": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 1,
      "losses": 9,
      "win_rate": 0.1,
      "avg_rf": 4.8,
      "avg_ra": 7.8,
      "w_avg_rf": 4.61,
      "w_avg_ra": 7.89,
      "run_rate": 12.6,
      "blowout_rate": 0.3
    },
    "team_2": {
      "played": 10,
      "wins": 9,
      "losses": 1,
      "win_rate": 0.9,
      "avg_rf": 5.3,
      "avg_ra": 4,
      "w_avg_rf": 5.66,
      "w_avg_ra": 4.19,
      "run_rate": 9.3,
      "blowout_rate": 0.1
    }
  },
  "h2h_summary": {
    "considered": 10,
    "t1_wins": 1,
    "t2_wins": 9,
    "t1_win_rate": 0.1,
    "avg_total": 10.4
  },
  "confidence": 89,
  "winner": {
    "team": "San Diego Padres",
    "probability": 68,
    "margin_runs": 2.98,
    "opponent": "Colorado Rockies",
    "opponent_probability": 32
  },
  "total_runs": {
    "projected_total": 11.38,
    "team_1_proj": 4.2,
    "team_2_proj": 7.18,
    "market": null
  },
  "first_five": {
    "team_1": 6,
    "team_2": 2,
    "total": 8,
    "source": "actual"
  },
  "inning_scores": {
    "home": [
      1,
      4,
      1,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      1,
      1,
      0
    ],
    "away": [
      1,
      0,
      0,
      0,
      1,
      3,
      1,
      1,
      0
    ],
    "f5_home": 6,
    "f5_away": 2
  },
  "inning_prediction": {
    "home": [
      0.48,
      0.9,
      0.26,
      0.36,
      0.24,
      0.56,
      0.61,
      0.78,
      0
    ],
    "away": [
      0.97,
      0.95,
      1.44,
      0,
      1.71,
      0.98,
      0.21,
      0.93,
      0
    ],
    "per_inning_total": [
      1.45,
      1.85,
      1.7,
      0.36,
      1.95,
      1.54,
      0.82,
      1.71,
      0
    ],
    "first_five": {
      "home": 2.24,
      "away": 5.07,
      "total": 7.31
    },
    "source": "form",
    "t1_samples": 5,
    "t2_samples": 5,
    "t1_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.115,
      "i2": 0.215,
      "i3": 0.061,
      "i4": 0.086,
      "i5": 0.058,
      "i6": 0.133,
      "i7": 0.145,
      "i8": 0.186,
      "i9": 0
    },
    "t2_fractions": {
      "i1": 0.135,
      "i2": 0.133,
      "i3": 0.2,
      "i4": 0,
      "i5": 0.239,
      "i6": 0.136,
      "i7": 0.029,
      "i8": 0.129,
      "i9": 0
    }
  },
  "predictions": {
    "safe": {
      "market": "moneyline",
      "pick": "San Diego Padres to win",
      "team": "San Diego Padres",
      "win_prob": 68,
      "confidence": 89,
      "reason": "Projected edge ~3.0 runs; form 90% vs 10% (last 10/10); H2H 90% over last 10"
    },
    "high_risk": {
      "market": "total runs (Over)",
      "pick": "Over (projected 11.4)",
      "projected": 11.38,
      "confidence": 89,
      "reason": "Combined scoring environment 10.9 > league baseline."
    }
  },
  "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
Full match data
{
  "sport": "baseball",
  "league": "MLB",
  "country": "Usa",
  "match": "Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres",
  "date": "2026-09-15",
  "time": "03:40",
  "score": {
    "home": 7,
    "away": 8
  },
  "innings": null,
  "match_stats": null,
  "team_1": {
    "name": "Colorado Rockies",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "San Diego Padres",
        "score": "7-8",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            4,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            3,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "13.09.26",
        "home": "Detroit Tigers",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "8-1",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            2,
            3,
            0,
            2,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Detroit Tigers",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "11-7",
        "home_points": 11,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            3,
            1,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            2,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            7
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "Detroit Tigers",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "6-2",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            4,
            0,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "11.09.26",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "10-3",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            2,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            6,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "10.09.26",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "6-1",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "New York Yankees",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "5-3",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 8,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "8-10",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 10,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "10-7",
        "home_points": 10,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 17,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "St.Louis Cardinals",
        "score": "6-7",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "team_2": {
    "name": "San Diego Padres",
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "San Diego Padres",
        "score": "7-8",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            4,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            3,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "14.09.26",
        "home": "San Francisco Giants",
        "away": "San Diego Padres",
        "score": "4-6",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 6,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            2,
            3,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "San Francisco Giants",
        "away": "San Diego Padres",
        "score": "6-7",
        "home_points": 6,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 13,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
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            0,
            2,
            1,
            1,
            1,
            1,
            1,
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          ],
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            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "12.09.26",
        "home": "San Francisco Giants",
        "away": "San Diego Padres",
        "score": "5-7",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 12,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            2,
            5,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            4,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "9-2",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            3,
            2,
            2,
            0,
            1,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "09.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "5-4",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 4,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "08.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Washington Nationals",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "New York Yankees",
        "score": "4-3",
        "home_points": 4,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "06.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "New York Yankees",
        "score": "1-5",
        "home_points": 1,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 6,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "05.09.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "New York Yankees",
        "score": "3-2",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 5,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "head_to_head": {
    "last_10_matches": [
      {
        "date": "15.09.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "San Diego Padres",
        "score": "7-8",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 8,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            4,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            3,
            1,
            1,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "29.07.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "3-1",
        "home_points": 3,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 4,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            0,
            0,
            3,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "29.07.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "8-7",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 7,
        "total_points": 15,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            0,
            4,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            2,
            1,
            0
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            2,
            1,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "23.04.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "San Diego Padres",
        "score": "8-10",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 10,
        "total_points": 18,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            0,
            2,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            5
          ],
          "away": [
            1,
            4,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            0,
            0
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "23.04.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "San Diego Padres",
        "score": "8-3",
        "home_points": 8,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 11,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": {
          "home": [
            1,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            1
          ],
          "away": [
            0,
            4,
            0,
            1,
            0,
            1,
            1,
            1
          ]
        }
      },
      {
        "date": "22.04.26",
        "home": "Colorado Rockies",
        "away": "San Diego Padres",
        "score": "0-1",
        "home_points": 0,
        "away_points": 1,
        "total_points": 1,
        "home_won": false,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "12.04.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "7-2",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 9,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "12.04.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "9-5",
        "home_points": 9,
        "away_points": 5,
        "total_points": 14,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "11.04.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "5-2",
        "home_points": 5,
        "away_points": 2,
        "total_points": 7,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      },
      {
        "date": "10.04.26",
        "home": "San Diego Padres",
        "away": "Colorado Rockies",
        "score": "7-3",
        "home_points": 7,
        "away_points": 3,
        "total_points": 10,
        "home_won": true,
        "innings": null
      }
    ]
  },
  "odds": {
    "match_winner": {
      "home": {
        "value": 2.74,
        "indicator": "up",
        "implied_pct": 34.6,
        "edge_vs_model": -2.6
      },
      "away": {
        "value": 1.45,
        "indicator": "down",
        "implied_pct": 65.4,
        "edge_vs_model": 2.6
      },
      "vig_pct": 5.46
    }
  },
  "analysis": {
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 4.2,
      "team_2": 7.18,
      "total": 11.38
    },
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 32,
      "team_2": 68
    },
    "form": {
      "team_1": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 1,
        "losses": 9,
        "win_rate": 0.1,
        "avg_rf": 4.8,
        "avg_ra": 7.8,
        "w_avg_rf": 4.61,
        "w_avg_ra": 7.89,
        "run_rate": 12.6,
        "blowout_rate": 0.3
      },
      "team_2": {
        "played": 10,
        "wins": 9,
        "losses": 1,
        "win_rate": 0.9,
        "avg_rf": 5.3,
        "avg_ra": 4,
        "w_avg_rf": 5.66,
        "w_avg_ra": 4.19,
        "run_rate": 9.3,
        "blowout_rate": 0.1
      }
    },
    "h2h_summary": {
      "considered": 10,
      "t1_wins": 1,
      "t2_wins": 9,
      "t1_win_rate": 0.1,
      "avg_total": 10.4
    },
    "confidence": 89,
    "winner": {
      "team": "San Diego Padres",
      "probability": 68,
      "margin_runs": 2.98,
      "opponent": "Colorado Rockies",
      "opponent_probability": 32
    },
    "total_runs": {
      "projected_total": 11.38,
      "team_1_proj": 4.2,
      "team_2_proj": 7.18,
      "market": null
    },
    "first_five": {
      "team_1": 6,
      "team_2": 2,
      "total": 8,
      "source": "actual"
    },
    "inning_scores": {
      "home": [
        1,
        4,
        1,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        1,
        1,
        0
      ],
      "away": [
        1,
        0,
        0,
        0,
        1,
        3,
        1,
        1,
        0
      ],
      "f5_home": 6,
      "f5_away": 2
    },
    "inning_prediction": {
      "home": [
        0.48,
        0.9,
        0.26,
        0.36,
        0.24,
        0.56,
        0.61,
        0.78,
        0
      ],
      "away": [
        0.97,
        0.95,
        1.44,
        0,
        1.71,
        0.98,
        0.21,
        0.93,
        0
      ],
      "per_inning_total": [
        1.45,
        1.85,
        1.7,
        0.36,
        1.95,
        1.54,
        0.82,
        1.71,
        0
      ],
      "first_five": {
        "home": 2.24,
        "away": 5.07,
        "total": 7.31
      },
      "source": "form",
      "t1_samples": 5,
      "t2_samples": 5,
      "t1_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.115,
        "i2": 0.215,
        "i3": 0.061,
        "i4": 0.086,
        "i5": 0.058,
        "i6": 0.133,
        "i7": 0.145,
        "i8": 0.186,
        "i9": 0
      },
      "t2_fractions": {
        "i1": 0.135,
        "i2": 0.133,
        "i3": 0.2,
        "i4": 0,
        "i5": 0.239,
        "i6": 0.136,
        "i7": 0.029,
        "i8": 0.129,
        "i9": 0
      }
    },
    "predictions": {
      "safe": {
        "market": "moneyline",
        "pick": "San Diego Padres to win",
        "team": "San Diego Padres",
        "win_prob": 68,
        "confidence": 89,
        "reason": "Projected edge ~3.0 runs; form 90% vs 10% (last 10/10); H2H 90% over last 10"
      },
      "high_risk": {
        "market": "total runs (Over)",
        "pick": "Over (projected 11.4)",
        "projected": 11.38,
        "confidence": 89,
        "reason": "Combined scoring environment 10.9 > league baseline."
      }
    },
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "model": {
    "win_probability": {
      "team_1": 32,
      "team_2": 68
    },
    "prediction_quality": "high",
    "expected_runs": {
      "team_1": 4.2,
      "team_2": 7.18,
      "total": 11.38
    },
    "predicted_winner": "San Diego Padres",
    "model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
  },
  "source_match_id": "Kb2nL0vB",
  "source_url": "https://www.flashscore.com/match/baseball/colorado-rockies-naYhNOaA/san-diego-padres-8poQN9Ud/?mid=Kb2nL0vB",
  "score_home": 7,
  "score_away": 8,
  "period_scores": [],
  "set_scores": [],
  "quarters": null,
  "event_status": "FINISHED",
  "status": "FINISHED",
  "status_checked_at": "2026-09-15T03:45:36.915358Z",
  "finished": true,
  "_page_modified_at": "2026-09-15T03:45:36.915358Z"
}

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